mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 DC split already becoming evident on composite reflectivity. If either airport records an inch, I will be thrilled. careful, that split, if it's what I think you're referring to west of ROA,is the mtn ridge that often causes a dead zone in the radar I think earlier there was a split but am not so convinced of that now after looking at the composite local radars down and around tri-cities, blacksburg, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ronnie Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 some flurries in Mt Airy MD area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 that's the least of his problems Complaining about a synoptic setup on the long range GFS is certainly a start. At any rate, hopefully the hill folks in this region do OK tomorrow morning. East of the fall line looks tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Complaining about a synoptic setup on the long range GFS is certainly a start. At any rate, hopefully the hill folks in this region do OK tomorrow morning. East of the fall line looks tough. well you promised be a big winter...im holding you to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 well you promised be a big winter...im holding you to it Maybe back when it looked like we might actually get a legit El Nino in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 it'll be by all of us before the Euro comes out at this rate! good luck down there Huff Thanks, I'd like to walk down to the lobby but three sleeping kids tell me otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Phin: You are kinda backing my point. I'm saying this barely even qualifies as a bust yet the negativity is insane. Maybe it is tongue-in-cheek, but still! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Driving up 95 to Frederick early in the morning...hoping I get pounded with virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmjokers Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 This may not be completely relevant to our forum but my parent's house in se mo got 5 inches today and they weren't even under a wwa. Definite over performer in that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 This may not be completely relevant to our forum but my parent's house in se mo got 5 inches today and they weren't even under a wwa. Definite over performer in that region. It's my understanding that it IS relevant, but in a bad way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Ian, was that your CWG update with the (9) SPI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP is finally getting there, for sure click on loop http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/list_files.php?model=rap&cycle=04¶m=precip_p01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP is finally getting there, for sure click on loop http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/list_files.php?model=rap&cycle=04¶m=precip_p01 On my phone right now, are you using sarcasm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 33/31.5 now with sleet and rain...occasionally a few big fat flakes too. I-64 seems to be the dividing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On my phone right now, are you using sarcasm? NO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP is finally getting there, for sure click on loop http://mag.ncep.noaa...aram=precip_p01 Mitch, we're the only one's hanging on to this thing huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Sleet snow mix here- more sleet than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Mitch, we're the only one's hanging on to this thing huh? well, after watching the radars over and over again and believing they have morphed into something not so bad and then seeing the RAP with probably about the best case we can expect at this late stage, who knows right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 that's what I want to see, a pressure reading/tendency like this http://www.ndbc.noaa...p?station=fbis1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm hanging on for dear life on this thing too. The only other thing left in my life is that the Redskins will somehow win on Sunday, but the latest SREFs are not encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm hanging on for dear life on this thing too. The only other thing left in my life is that the Redskins will somehow win on Sunday, but the latest SREFs are not encouraging. ever since ncep quit posting them, I've yet to look at them...and am probably a better weenie for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Ian, was that your CWG update with the (9) SPI? The rating is for 0.1" accumulation somewhere in the areas as measured by the three airports which seems quite likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Composite shows a band trying to set up across central MD. The flurry ob in Mt. Airy made me switch from base refl to see what's up. I may be snowing before 3am. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Composite shows a band trying to set up across central MD. The flurry ob in Mt. Airy made me switch from base refl to see what's up. I may be snowing before 3am. Interesting. Almost right on time per a good HRRR earlier. Posted somewhere back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 some heavy returns now in SW VA that really look to be heading NE http://www.accuweath...er-radar?play=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Are the SREFs bad for frozen precip because of that recent software change? And it won't be fixed until January. I kind of don't put stock into them in anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Almost right on time per a good HRRR earlier. Posted somewhere back. I've never messed around with the really short term models. I suck at that kind of forecasting so I typically stay away. I went to the hrrr site but could only find the real time panel. Got a link for the comp refl stuff? I have no clue how good the rap is. Mitch made me start looking at it today (thanks Mitch...i think). It seems to be picking up some lift and vorticity (small areas) in NC and VA. This hr 6 on 4z run: Same point in time for the 3-4 runs prior show it but continuously stronger each run. These are the little things that can help wring things out overhead as everything morphs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I've never messed around with the really short term models. I suck at that kind of forecasting so I typically stay away. I went to the hrrr site but could only find the real time panel. Got a link for the comp refl stuff? I have no clue how good the rap is. Mitch made me start looking at it today (thanks Mitch...i think). It seems to be picking up some lift and vorticity (small areas) in NC and VA. This hr 6 on 4z run: Same point in time for the 3-4 runs prior show it but continuously stronger each run. These are the little things that can help wring things out overhead as everything morphs. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_jet&domain=t3&run_time=29+Dec+2012+-+03Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'll be content if I measure a quarter inch of snow on my car top. I take what I can get. If I want more snow I need to move to Jay Peak. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 some heavy returns now in SW VA that really look to be heading NE http://www.accuweath...er-radar?play=1 On the NWS radar it looks ENE to me...I think it will pass mainly south of DC..We'll get whats in Central/Northern Kentucky and WV, plus whatever else may develop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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