mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 gfs qpf...meh again http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/gfs/00/gfs_namer_024_precip_p24.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The GFS will save us. lol...it's already out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I don't see you Matt or I getting an inch. I thought the Kammerer's forecast was a pretty good one. That's why I'm blase about the storm. Plus, the vort seems to go north of us while the weak southern low passes south and doesn't get its act together until it's by us which suggests precipitation will probably be on the light side (famous last words). Hope I'm wrong. I'm definitely not excited that DCA is 38/29 with an east wind.. no temp movement really so far. Wet bulbs rising there at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 LWX is about to put out a falling weenie warning as heavy, heavy weenie suicides are expected in the I-95 corridor for the next 3-6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I don't see you Matt or I getting an inch. I thought the Kammerer's forecast was a pretty good one. That's why I'm blase about the storm. Plus, the vort seems to go north of us while the weak southern low passes south and doesn't get its act together until it's by us which suggests precipitation will probably be on the light side (famous last words). Hope I'm wrong. the one upside that might have saved us...that this may come in super early and thump us with moderate snow is now likely a pipe dream....it looks late and warm and impotent and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 if GFS qpf is correct, there are going to be a lot of 3-5" busted snow forecasts in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 at least I'll get some sleep tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 gfs qpf...meh again http://mag.ncep.noaa..._precip_p24.gif we're on the wrong side of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 up to 9 hrs on the GFS looks OK, then 3 of the wheels fall off after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 at least I'll get some sleep tonight the best part is, the NAM does a similar dance at the end of the 0Z run just to draw us back in for 3 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 JB2 is still excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 d@mn the computers it's already snowing overhead of me http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?enlarge=true&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 If I get two inches out here I would be in range of forecasts. But did not have expectations. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nothing like losing .20 qpf right before the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nothing like losing .20 qpf right before the storm the euro will save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 d@mn the computers it's already snowing overhead of me http://beta.intellic...ue&animate=true The good ole Intellicast radar....the radar of choice for weenies and Hallucinators. Anyways, another crappy set-up for a storm...And watch,we'll be cold in Jan but the storm track will be suppressed...Lovely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 On a positive note, this looks pretty healthy presently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nothing like losing .20 qpf right before the storm banding coming to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Nothing like losing .20 qpf right before the storm Especially when you only had .25 to start with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Can someone explain to me why people are putting so much stock in the GFS/NAM 6 hours before the storm, when nowcast indications look healthy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Can someone explain to me why people are putting so much stock in the GFS/NAM 6 hours before the storm, when nowcast indications look healthy? models are smarter than most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Fox 5 still showing 2-5" out here, 1-2 for NOVA. Seems real bullish based on everything being posted in here (and radar). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 There shouldn't be such drastic changes 12 hours before game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Storm still looks juicy to me. But what do I know. According to weenie radar there is virga over me already. So we will see how that pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Meh....bring on spring time severe weather. On the brightside, we don't have to worry about northerners (hill country folk from Carroll County) gloating about their 3-5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I've been troubled with the dual low setup for days. Latest model runs really don't surprise me. Looking at radar during the mid afternoon it looked good and I was really hoping that a clear split between the shields wouldn't happen but man, you can see it plain as day. I guess the southern low can do some things to surprise us but I've been bearish all day. I should have taken the damn blue pill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I got an idea, let's erase the board with this storm and start all over http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=ref2&size=large&endDate=20121229&endTime=-1&duration=6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I got an idea, let's erase the board with this storm and start all over http://weather.rap.u...e=-1&duration=6 Now thats funny as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover33 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Im going to be optimistic until the end! the Radar looks healthy! And its 32 degrees out! Im counting on 2-4 even in the closer in western burbs (Western Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William) .. I can dream cant I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Im going to be optimistic until the end! the Radar looks healthy! And its 32 degrees out! Im counting on 2-4 even in the closer in western burbs (Western Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William) .. I can dream cant I? That's what weenies do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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