Buddy1987 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Was this wall of precip in the deep south modeled to continue moving northeast? The last time I checked it was to slide east under the mid Atlantic states Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 3-4 for me final from berk. http://www.examiner....for-dec-29-2012 That's a really aggressive call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I stuck a thermometer outside - reading 34 in my front yard. Might be falling a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP shows that same bunch of early precip. You should skip 0z and catch some zzz. You're pretty set. Like Matt I'm not worried about precip looking at radar and how things are modeled to move etc. I still believe this probably has more upside bust potential than the other way but maybe I'm overlooking something that is critical. But it's still kinda early evening to say that definitively. I think closer to midnight the close call zone should be more apparent how things might end up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 You should skip 0z and catch some zzz. You're pretty set. Like Matt I'm not worried about precip looking at radar and how things are modeled to move etc. I still believe this probably has more upside bust potential than the other way but maybe I'm overlooking something that is critical. But it's still kinda early evening to say that definitively. I think closer to midnight the close call zone should be more apparent how things might end up. Yea I'm pretty confident I'll get my 1-2" and we could bust high. Radar is nice and the kestrel reads 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Temps have really dropped off nicely in many areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Temps have really dropped off nicely in many areas. I'm at or below freezing depending on what location I use near me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 You should skip 0z and catch some zzz. You're pretty set. Like Matt I'm not worried about precip looking at radar and how things are modeled to move etc. I still believe this probably has more upside bust potential than the other way but maybe I'm overlooking something that is critical. But it's still kinda early evening to say that definitively. I think closer to midnight the close call zone should be more apparent how things might end up. I'll probably try to sleep from about 11-4:30 depending on models...I can always take a nap after our rain is over.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP shows that same bunch of early precip. Pretty sure that's virga. Model doesn't really show any measurable. Our show looks to be 7-8 a.m. until early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Someone tried calling low bust on this due to current dry air mass, with us being virga'd to death. I don't see this being an issue from my weenie eyes. Can one of you smart guys confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 35 on my station and the other one >400'. The surrounding ones that are closer to 300' are all around 32 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Pretty sure that's virga. Model doesn't really show any measurable. Our show looks to be 7-8 a.m. until early afternoon. I would probably say earlier...it wouldn't suprise me if you have light snow by 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'll probably try to sleep from about 11-4:30 depending on models...I can always take a nap after our rain is over.... At least it will be as cold as rain can get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Since we may be borderline tomorrow, I'll plug this app mentioned on the main W&F page: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I would probably say earlier...it wouldn't suprise me if you have light snow by 4am No idea when I'm crashing, but I plan to be up at 5. Have to make a trip to DC in the afternoon, but not leaving here until its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I would probably say earlier...it wouldn't suprise me if you have light snow by 4am does seem the main push around us holds off till around 12z on the hi res tho this stuff is often fast. there are some echoes breaking out to the sw too which may by the mood setting sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Pretty sure that's virga. Model doesn't really show any measurable. Our show looks to be 7-8 a.m. until early afternoon. I dont think models show virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 judging from the radar trends, if i'm along the md/pa line, i'm pretty happy right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I dont think models show virga. Man, you have better RAP graphics than the link I had. Awfully dry atmosphere here with dews in low 20's. Hope that first pulse can saturate that efficiently. Earlier start time can only help with paved surfaces accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Man, you have better RAP graphics than I do. Awfully dry atmosphere here with dews in low 20's. Hope that first pulse can saturate that efficiently. Earlier start time can only help with paved surfaces accumulating. That's from the NCEP site. It's actually working quite well now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Still 38 at DCA and dew up 3. I need a temp sensor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 That's from the NCEP site. It's actually working quite well now. Thanks. Glad to hear its back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 My station is 35.8 degrees with a dp at 29. Haven't seen a drop in roughly and hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 DT posted this via Facebook: Who gets screwed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Getting a 34 reading from my probably inaccurate thermometer. Infrared readings on the lawn are in the mid-upper 20's and my street is reading at like 28-30. I like where my temp is at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Have dropped roughly 8 degrees (44.3 to 36.2) since 3p. Dropped one degree in the last hour. Should be below freezing by midnight. DP @ 24.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Still 38 at DCA and dew up 3. I need a temp sensor. You're probably 36. 4000 Wisconsin is a very accurate weatherbug for you in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 DT posted this via Facebook: Who gets screwed? Usually a safe to bet that DT himself will get screwed in Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 So storm converges after passing DT in Richmond? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Sitting at 30 degrees with a dewpoint at 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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