TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 At 31.9 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 31.5 IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 3-4 for me final from berk. http://www.examiner....for-dec-29-2012 He needs his license revoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 for leesburg tho it's closing there and after ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 for leesburg tho it's closing there and after ... Hey ION, why don't you show us the good frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 little to no sleep Up all night for Rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Hey ION, why don't you show us the good frames. there's only one more before the end of the run and it's just moving into the area. will be a better tool in coming hours. tho it does have some precip pass thru the area for a few hours from ~6z-9z~ out ahead. could be nothing.. hrrr is really hit or miss imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 there's only one more before the end of the run and it's just moving into the area. will be a better tool in coming hours. tho it does have some precip pass thru the area for a few hours from ~6z-9z~ out ahead. could be nothing.. hrrr is really hit or miss imo. Yea I just took a look, looks decent at 15, I'd rather see it at around 11 or 12 tonight though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Up all night for Rain? problem with getting the cwg forecast day with a storm is i cover it in the a.m. as well.. plus i havent even gotten started on tonight's tasks other than catching up with what's going on. weenie mode. snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 just a bit?...it rakes us.....too bad BL temps are like 90....tricky storm Well, Matt, I didn't want to jump to any conclusions too early. The latest one is better still. It's borderline warm for you guys, but I only looked at 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 30 in Gaithersburg, 30 in Fort Meade, 31 here in Dundalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 there's only one more before the end of the run and it's just moving into the area. will be a better tool in coming hours. tho it does have some precip pass thru the area for a few hours from ~6z-9z~ out ahead. could be nothing.. hrrr is really hit or miss imo. RAP shows that same bunch of early precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Was this wall of precip in the deep south modeled to continue moving northeast? The last time I checked it was to slide east under the mid Atlantic states Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 3-4 for me final from berk. http://www.examiner....for-dec-29-2012 That's a really aggressive call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I stuck a thermometer outside - reading 34 in my front yard. Might be falling a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP shows that same bunch of early precip. You should skip 0z and catch some zzz. You're pretty set. Like Matt I'm not worried about precip looking at radar and how things are modeled to move etc. I still believe this probably has more upside bust potential than the other way but maybe I'm overlooking something that is critical. But it's still kinda early evening to say that definitively. I think closer to midnight the close call zone should be more apparent how things might end up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 You should skip 0z and catch some zzz. You're pretty set. Like Matt I'm not worried about precip looking at radar and how things are modeled to move etc. I still believe this probably has more upside bust potential than the other way but maybe I'm overlooking something that is critical. But it's still kinda early evening to say that definitively. I think closer to midnight the close call zone should be more apparent how things might end up. Yea I'm pretty confident I'll get my 1-2" and we could bust high. Radar is nice and the kestrel reads 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Temps have really dropped off nicely in many areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Temps have really dropped off nicely in many areas. I'm at or below freezing depending on what location I use near me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 RAP shows that same bunch of early precip. Pretty sure that's virga. Model doesn't really show any measurable. Our show looks to be 7-8 a.m. until early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Someone tried calling low bust on this due to current dry air mass, with us being virga'd to death. I don't see this being an issue from my weenie eyes. Can one of you smart guys confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 35 on my station and the other one >400'. The surrounding ones that are closer to 300' are all around 32 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'll probably try to sleep from about 11-4:30 depending on models...I can always take a nap after our rain is over.... At least it will be as cold as rain can get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Since we may be borderline tomorrow, I'll plug this app mentioned on the main W&F page: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I would probably say earlier...it wouldn't suprise me if you have light snow by 4am No idea when I'm crashing, but I plan to be up at 5. Have to make a trip to DC in the afternoon, but not leaving here until its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I would probably say earlier...it wouldn't suprise me if you have light snow by 4am does seem the main push around us holds off till around 12z on the hi res tho this stuff is often fast. there are some echoes breaking out to the sw too which may by the mood setting sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Pretty sure that's virga. Model doesn't really show any measurable. Our show looks to be 7-8 a.m. until early afternoon. I dont think models show virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 judging from the radar trends, if i'm along the md/pa line, i'm pretty happy right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I dont think models show virga. Man, you have better RAP graphics than the link I had. Awfully dry atmosphere here with dews in low 20's. Hope that first pulse can saturate that efficiently. Earlier start time can only help with paved surfaces accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Man, you have better RAP graphics than I do. Awfully dry atmosphere here with dews in low 20's. Hope that first pulse can saturate that efficiently. Earlier start time can only help with paved surfaces accumulating. That's from the NCEP site. It's actually working quite well now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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