PhineasC Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Still clear and temp dropping still. Agree that surface temps DC north should be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 33 degrees here, not bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I accidentally just watched local news weather. "Erica Grow" on Channel 9 just called for T-1" in the immediate metro area, 1-2" N+W of the Loudoun/Fairfax line, and 2-4" in BFE. But she also just called the Kennedy Center the "Lincoln Center....." uhboy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I doubt your worry is p-type. It's the p. Yeah, these latest model runs are not trending in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yeah, these latest model runs are not trending in our favor. Looks pretty good to me? http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The 4-5 nearest Weatherbug stations to me are running 33-35ish. One random one is at 37. It FEELS pretty cold out there but I'd almost believe the 37 more than the 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Looks pretty good to me? http://www.goes.noaa...LOOPS/ecwv.html I'm not nearly knowledgeable enough to make assumptions based on the WV imagery. The radar looks decent to my eyes, but the 18z models don't look very good for my area wrt precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Just for fun I took my cheap infrared thermometer and tested a couple spots in the yard. Walkway is reading like 30-32 while the grass and dirt along the walkway is in the upper 20s. Driveway and street (not heavily traveled) was around 30 as well. Should bode well for accumulation. I might be inclined to believe the 33ish Weatherbug readings around me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 still have a light N/NE wind. temps are in a good shape. i'm wondering how much of that energy is left as it crosses over the mountains and how soon the coastal takes over. this does look like at least a relatively decent event for dc and vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 32/22. Snow cover really helping out with cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 32.8 dp 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm not nearly knowledgeable enough to make assumptions based on the WV imagery. The radar looks decent to my eyes, but the 18z models don't look very good for my area wrt precip. Honestly, less than 12 hours from the storm, I'm really not worried what 18z models say. It's all about where the players actually are. It's almost like having NFL coaches watching old game film during halftime, instead of discussing the first half of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Doug K going for the DC screw job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Doug K going for the DC screw job what you going with Ian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 6p wet bulb temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 what you going with Ian? little to no sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Temps are OK to start but dews are scheduled to start rising. If we don't lose much more before precip gets started.. well, I'd rather not start at 34/35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 little to no sleep Welcome to the club! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Welcome to the club! im still catching up.. most of my thoughts are days old mixed with the interpretations of model data i've read here. since i have the forecast for tomorrow im going to probably go 3-6" for me and 6-12" for you. radar: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Already seeing a bit of frost on the cars and still have partially clear skies. Awesome moon right now with the thin overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 3-4 for me final from berk. http://www.examiner....for-dec-29-2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 im still catching up.. most of my thoughts are days old mixed with the interpretations of model data i've read here. since i have the forecast for tomorrow im going to probably go 3-6" for me and 6-12" for you. radar: Just a hint of that big gap filling in...eh....no more models or radar for me just obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Could always be an over performer. The RAP, which did really well with the last storm IMO, is starting to come around just a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 3-4 for me final from berk. http://www.examiner....for-dec-29-2012 Wow...no way am I even getting close to 4 inches. I will be happy with 0.5-1.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Just a hint of that big gap filling in...eh....no more models or radar for me just obs The area SE of STL looks good if it keeps coming east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Wow...no way am I even getting close to 4 inches. I will be happy with 0.5-1.5. Some wide range in forecasts along 95. Tho I think NWS is about as snowy as they come in the local market. JB2 is an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 6p wet bulb temps Been seeing this since about 5pm, good sign that air temps and wet bulb are already ranging 30-35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Been seeing this since about 5pm, good sign that air temps and wet bulb are already ranging 30-35. DCA is going nowhere in the temp dep but DP actually dropped one this hour.. I'll take it. IAD etc certainly look pretty decent for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Matt, I'm below 32 in Moco already, I'm guessing you're more talking about the city? Even then, I'm not so sure DC doesn't make it there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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