TUweathermanDD Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:13 PM, swimmatte said: This can't be right......right? Surely, has .0045 for one hour, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:15 PM, Ji said: YouTube video forecasts are next lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:13 PM, Ji said: Jay Hatem weather going 2-3 Loudoun 1 downtown 1-2 DC burbs i follow Dave Johnson weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:15 PM, ddweatherman said: Surely, has .0045 for one hour, lol. Was missing the 12 UTC, thought that was showing 12 EST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:16 PM, leesburg 04 said: i follow Dave Johnson weather You guys should start up the Leesburg Weather Gang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:26 PM, Ian said: You guys should start up the Leesburg Weather Gang. Moe Larry and Curley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 2.5" in most of beltway area (Not DCA where Jet engines will leave the grass bare). My Final Call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:31 PM, mattmfm said: DT was mean to me on fb Guess we'll never know why his map was so outside sensibility. The need for attention can do that, I suppose. FB is the wrong venue for dissenting views. Page patrons are fanboys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 RNK extended the WWA to include Roanoke and points to the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Funny thing is some of the usually bullish mets are bearish. JB2 has never been bearish though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:46 PM, Ian said: Funny thing is some of the usually bullish mets are bearish. JB2 has never been bearish though. did he get a new job after being fired for busting forecasts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 6:29 PM, Ian said: Yeah Katie is slow. Maybe brain cells transferred to the baby? Lack of sleep is a biotch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:48 PM, Ji said: did he get a new job after being fired for busting forecasts? He is his own boss now so he is free to bust all the time without worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 238 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO RETURN OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY... .A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK RAPIDLY NORTHEAST INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT BEFORE PASSING OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE TO PRODUCE A MIXTURE OF WINTRY WEATHER THIS EVENING INTO SATURDAY. VAZ022>024-291000- /O.EXA.KRNK.WW.Y.0019.121229T0200Z-121229T2100Z/ ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE... LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA 238 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...ROANOKE...BOTETOURT...AND ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY. * HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW AND SLEET...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION 2 TO 4 INCHES...MAXIMIZED ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN..ESPECIALLY IN BOTETOURT AND ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY. * TIMING...LATE THIS EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ Blacksburg is really gung ho on this event. Couldn't be coming in at a better time for accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Too bad its such a fast mover as it is picking up some moisture down south. 1-3 throughout the entire area seems sensible to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 12 hours till game time and this forum is deader than a funeral home. what gives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:56 PM, Buddy1987 said: Blacksburg is really gung ho on this event. Couldn't be coming in at a better time for accumulations. Glad to see they are a little bullish this time. I usually find them fairly conservative in their forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 NAM Drier at 24 hours than the 12Z run... Good new is the 850 0 degree line is further south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:04 PM, Disc said: Glad to see they are a little bullish this time. I usually find them fairly conservative in their forecasts. I take that back. Their snow map is more conservative than the wording in their WWA. Regardless, anything over an inch out of this storm is a win for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:08 PM, PDIII said: NAM Drier at 24 hours than the 12Z run... Good new is the 850 0 degree line is further south and east. Would not look at the NAM anymore. Doesnt look very dry to me: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Another view at the moisture being picked up...... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-rb.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The 18Z NAM is awful. LOL I wouldn't even bother looking at it. Just pretend it doesn't exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:06 PM, zwyts said: it's been active...just an early afternoon lull I mean we could talk about the 18z NAM which is hilariously snow-holing us and delaying the start time by 4 hours, but is at least colder... It splits the precip between the two areas of low pressure. That would be a major screwjob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 7:03 PM, zwyts said: Mitchnick,,,,how does the 18 hr RAP look? some day you'll tell people you knew me, just wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:15 PM, PhineasC said: It splits the precip between the two areas of low pressure. That would be a major screwjob. Not being a weenie, but looking at radar its really impressive and the southern low is stronger, so I'd favor the colder solution. The wv does show solid digging bringing in all the moisture. NAM is off its rocker I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Bob Ryan says less than 50% for 1" at DCA now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 It's the cold sector that counts, not the warm sector. I don't care how hard it's raining in Alabama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:15 PM, PhineasC said: It splits the precip between the two areas of low pressure. That would be a major screwjob. saw that, but surface readings show the southern Low is much stronger and getting stronger Current Pressures http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=pr&inv=0&t=cur 3 hr changes http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=3p&inv=0&t=cur if you go back several hours from the current pressure map the deepening of the southern Low is even more impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:21 PM, Amped said: It's the cold sector that counts, not the warm sector. I don't care how hard it's raining in Alabama. +1 models showed the current precip accurately. That piece is going to dry out as the coastal gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 On 12/28/2012 at 8:21 PM, Amped said: It's the cold sector that counts, not the warm sector. I don't care how hard it's raining in Alabama. Yeah and sometimes that stuff can moisture rob. Radar looks decent tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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