phlwx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 solid 2-4 type event away from the coast seems to be the consensus outside of the Euro. Take it and run, weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Sounds good to me. And it might last for more than a few hours before melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 solid 2-4 type event away from the coast seems to be the consensus outside of the Euro. Take it and run, weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 solid 2-4 type event away from the coast seems to be the consensus outside of the Euro. Take it and run, weenies. Done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 here is the ukie from hr 48-60 precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 the 12z gefs fall in line with most guidance .25-.5 for region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Yea seems the EURO had a hiccup last night but everything is starting to come into line with a 1-4" event. Some QPF might be wasted towards the city as the BL cools. Still though a lot can change with these types of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 also, someone is going to get screwed in this when the coastal gets going. It will rob some of the moisture from the northern stream... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 also, someone is going to get screwed in this when the coastal gets going. It will rob some of the moisture from the northern stream... Delco? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Gefs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 also, someone is going to get screwed in this when the coastal gets going. It will rob some of the moisture from the northern stream... gotta think SNJ (Millville, Hammonton). I think Philly, N/W look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Delco? right over brookhaven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 gotta think SNJ (Millville, Hammonton). I think Philly, N/W look good. Yeah, that's my thinking too. The Northern stream system should be strong enough to make it to the city and N/W. SJ's snow will primarily depend upon the track of the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 gotta think SNJ (Millville, Hammonton). I think Philly, N/W look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 ggem is like other guidance .25-.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Better pray the Euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 tombo here for the PBP? if not, ill chime in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 so far on the euro at h5, the vort is digging better, but the hgts are a little bit supressed do to the wed storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 hr 48 has precip just starting to enter western parts of the region...850 line off shore frz line about 15 miles south of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 hr 54 has .1-.25 pa on west... less than .1 in jerz... frz line on pa tpk...850 line cape may through southern del Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 run looks awfully similar to gfs and others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 hr 60 coastal a lot further east... .1-.25 for jerz and .01-.1 for the rest...frz line on the fall line... basically its all northern stream no coastal affects Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 hr 54 has .1-.25 pa on west... less than .1 in jerz... frz line on pa tpk...850 line cape may through southern del Mixed or turn to rain for the city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFS says GET OVER HERE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Mixed or turn to rain for the city? 850 and 540 stay south of the city. I would say all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 everyone gets around .25 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Mixed or turn to rain for the city? should be fine, might start as a mix, but should transition over quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 almost seems like the coastal steal*s some precip from the northern vort during the transfer. ANd because its weaker, offshore, not as much precip gets thrown back towards us. Someone could get lucky with an inverted trough though in this set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 DAMN YOU 0Z EURO!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 should be fine, might start as a mix, but should transition over quickly. Could double my totals this year with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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