tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nam is over .4 qpf for phl, ilg and south jerz... north and west burbs and abe to rdg are .25-.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm glad to know that we are dead wrong about 36 hours before the first snowflake even arrives. Ignore that clown.. I got banned and suspended for a lot less then that. Keep up the great work down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Ignoring specific details still I like he trend for the coastal getting closer to the coast. Kind of helps keep precip over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nam is over .4 qpf for phl, ilg and south jerz... north and west burbs and abe to rdg are .25-.4 how far NW does the precip get?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nam qpf ptw .27 phl .43 dyl .28 abe .18 rdg .22 ttn .33 miv .43 acy .41 nxx .33 lom .34 ilg .45 dov .41 ukt .22 mpo .21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 phl looks to be all snow, but just barely.. warmest is right around hr 42 where the freeze level is at 900 ft...but its not that much warmer from that point down. So, sounds like a wet snow maybe mixed with some rain actually looking at the soundings more so...phillys layer that is above at 900' is .1 above, then its below the whole way down til the surface which is 32.8. On this run phl and immediate burbs would be the winners and right through chesco and lanc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 phl looks to be all snow, but just barely.. warmest is right around hr 42 where the freeze level is at 900 ft...but its not that much warmer from that point down. So, sounds like a wet snow maybe mixed with some rain Any chance this thing moves in earlier then modeled? I feel like that is a common thing for storms around here move in a couple hours ahead of schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 how far NW does the precip get?? avp gets .17 mpo is .21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Any chance this thing moves in earlier then modeled? I feel like that is a common thing for storms around here move in a couple hours ahead of schedule. very possible, this nam run actually slowed it down a little compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 actually looking at the soundings more so...phillys layer that is above at 900 is .1 above, then its below the whole way down til the surface which is 32.8. On this run phl and immediate burbs would be the winners and right through chesco and lanc I'm telling you, if someone under 250 ft on the coastal plain can surpass 4" of snow it would be quite a feat looking back on last winter and December thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm telling you, if someone under 250 ft on the coastal plain can surpass 4" of snow it would be quite a feat looking back on last winter and December thus far. one of the main reasons is their just hasn't been anything to drive the cold air into the coastal plain and lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 one of the main reasons is their just hasn't been anything to drive the cold air into the coastal plain and lock it in. Yeah. That's a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 clown map with adjusted ratios, bullseye right over delco lolz non ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 clown map with adjusted ratios, bullseye right over delco lolz Road trip to Brookhaven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 2-4 still looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 0z rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Pretty nice event on the High resolution 4KM nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 them continues to trend wetter, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Wow, ptype issues again per Rgem for Near i95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Ugh, I meant rgem continues to trend wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 RGEM definitely warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 RGEM definitely warmer. its pretty close to the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The Canadian models are notoriously too warm. I wouldn't fret much over RGEM temps, especially not the p-type algorithm on the charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The Canadian models are notoriously too warm. I wouldn't fret much over RGEM temps, especially not the p-type algorithm on the charts. agreed, but last storm they were to cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm on my phone. Can someone post the precipitation meteogram for PHL for the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 gfs good bit wetter and faster development of coastal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Looking at NAM temp profiles kilg is a little colder than phl and never gets above freezing at surface. Both are all snow. Millville changes to rain after about 2.5 inches has fallen.The 4km NAM has a warm layer near 930 mb and changes both kilg and kphl to rain for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Real nice run for Phl metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 peak intensity for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 phl is real close this run, but i think its just like the nam with that one area tickling freezing around 925 or so. solid run def 95 on north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.