CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 6 weeks waiting period getting to you? XXX AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 15z SREF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Even yesterday though, a lot of people thought he was being too bullish. My point is that he just hasn't wavered run-to-run at all this week. Yeah it hasn't changed much from a light event to 3-7" or so all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nam should come in a tad SE...northern stream is f'ing things up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 What year are you at PSU? My daughter was just admitted for the fall. Not sure what her plans are yet. Sorry just catching up... I'm a freshman, is she interested in meteo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Can you imagine the unmitigated apoplexy if this thing gets closer yet in the runs, then still ends up verifying S ? Prediction: no one in the 48 pages of this thread has offered any insight that hearkens to something like that taking place; what is fascinating from a purely sociological perspective, a "horror" like that is just as on the table as a greater impact scenario. But when the collective brain is so predisposed to a positive outcome, less 'the outcome' per se, ...well, you get what you paid for. The 18z runs come out. The NAM blankets the .75" QPF line from HFD - BED, and brings over an inch to PVD. Warnings go up on the 5 o'clock - a state of ecstatic bi-polar gaiety strikes as common enemies give hugs. The 00z backs off a little, "Meh, too much antecedent trend to believe it - 'sides, it only backed off 2 tenths unilaterally, so it must just be noise. Right Will?" "It's alright, son - there's no monster under your bed; go back to sleep." Zomb! Snow-lit starlet looks out his or her window 2 hours later, and the flurries and light snow taunt ends at PVD; everyone's partly cloudy with moon and stars by 3. That's the trouble with trend. Trending one way still mean discontinuity. We assume trending a given direction to be positive or negative, and by and large, that's the course of least regret. But, discontinuity means uncertainty. We can engineer our way toward delusion of despair here, but just remember, there really isn't any products out there - at least that I have seen - indicating 10" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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