Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 ukmet total qpf: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Steve take a poke around www.wcvb.com I bet they have the images as I saw it on their noon news. I had no idea it was this bad, bunch of houses wiped out. You're in a good spot. Like I said we need to look at this subjectively...we are going to have snowcover tip to tip by the weekend in all of New England. HUGE turnaround and sets a nice table for January. Meanwhile kind of excited that ski country may get 3-6 or 4-8. Heck Bretton Wood is almost 100% open too. Ignore has worked well for me. I'm a happier person, post less, and see anything important in quotes from others. Thanks, will check it out. Full moons and storms, like wine and roses, chocolates and Valentines day, KRS and feety pajamas, Ray and meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Quincy I like using the top 15 analog composites. It really worked out well for the last storm too. when no model was showing snow in Ct for the last storm it showed a 2-4 stripe and verified well with the screw zones in NNE. Here is the top 15 analogs for this event. I like using this too, as I recently discovered it a few weeks ago. The site and analogs have helped tremendously with forecasting the last two winter weather events. It's easy to nit-pick details as to why the analogs aren't good, but no two storms are ever going to be exactly the same. I should have perhaps clarified with my earlier post that I liked the orientation of heavy snow associated with the Feb. 7, 2003 event, vs. what we see this weekend. (Heaviest snow from NE CT up into interior eastern Mass.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 ukmet total qpf: That's pretty much all advisory snows...unless the Cape was able to overcome BL issues for a majority of their qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The question is do I still see more than Kevin with superior ratios? No--sorry. GEFS (12Z) is juiced up and west West of the op? I wouldn't call 6" a crush job. Nice event though as its trending. Maybe someone lucky picks up 8"+ if this keeps trending...prob interior SE MA. I might get crushed by 2.5" instead of 1.5". Bob,FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Stoked, overrunning QPF seems to be under modeled, track of the coastal inside or just outside the BM to me means little unless you are looking for comma head snows to cool your column at the last 500 feet or real big numbers I am sticking with my 4-6 for me and my good friend Gerome the optician. Are you talking about the stuff in the GL... ?? I was just noticing that the NAM appears somewhat underdone with that right now. Some obs in southern Lower MI are moderate S - rad is also apparently lying about that, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 These QPF maps aren't going to be 100% gold either. it's going to be very critical to see where the heavy bands set up. The best frontgenetical forcing right now appears to be modeled over RI and SE Mass., and we could see some 1-2"/hr snowfall rates clock someone with a storm total over 10 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 Steve http://www.wcvb.com/news/local/boston-north/Plum-Island-homes-again-risk-falling-into-ocean/-/11984708/17931776/-/kyq3rb/-/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Noon broadcasts whdh: Stuck with the mostly 2-4", 4-6 in a small stripe in NW RI,SE Mass WBZ: WOAH! Barry on board big time. 6-12 for BOS to most of RI, SE MASS, eastern CT, 3-6 ORH, 3-6 Cape, wow WCVB: 3-6", with a smalll 5-7 area in the same spot as channel 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 Wonkam on Channel 5, 1-3" on the Cape and here, 3-6" boston, Scott, CT Blizz, 5-7" in Easton, Bob, into RI and down by Steve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Burbank pulls the trigger but leaves options open for less or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Steve http://www.wcvb.com/...rb/-/index.html Yea I just watched that. I missed it, when you heading to SR. My friend called and said Jordon had 16+. Amazing turnaround this year. GO GO GO Tip , no not the GL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I really like 2-4" for NW mass, with 3-5" for western CT through HFD and ORH. 4-7" from CT river eastward with maybe a weenie 6-10" in RI and interior SE Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Burbank pulls the trigger but leaves options open for less or more He said he was going to wait for the EURO... surprised he didn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Good trends obviously and the bl certainly won't torch to 495 like last storm (I don't think ha). On ride home from vt, the drop off in snow from mht to just before salem seem'd drastic (as expected) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Burbank pulls the trigger but leaves options open for less or more If we were in that Bar in Boston again we would have been tossed out, a collective roar. LOL, man this brings back some great memories. You guys should really think about coming to the GTG in ORH , check out the thread. Its been a while so should be , ready for this Brian, Ryan, Scott, Phil, =NOT BORING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yea I just watched that. I missed it, when you heading to SR. My friend called and said Jordon had 16+. Amazing turnaround this year. GO GO GO Tip , no not the GL Inlaws pulled up in their tenement on wheels about two hours ago (I'm kidding it's car) so we're shoving off at 2pm. Have some stops to make should be skis on slope about 8am Saturday. Couple days there and then a few in NH too. Going to try to ski 3 mountains in 5 days. Burbank pulled the trigger. He's my favorite met with Harv, that says a lot up here. Phil and I get porked again. BTW I do see the similarities with 94/5 where every storm was 1-3/2-4" but ended up dumping 4-8 or 6-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Burbank and Jerry have a resemblance, if I wasn't watching him on TV with Jerry I would say Jerry is him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 He said he was going to wait for the EURO... surprised he didn't In reality he didn't change it a ton... because during the morning broadcast he had 6"+ for a large swath of southeastern Mass and RI. At the end of the noon show today he said he'll have a blog after the Euro and that he's a little nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Noon broadcasts whdh: Stuck with the mostly 2-4", 4-6 in a small stripe in NW RI,SE Mass WBZ: WOAH! Barry on board big time. 6-12 for BOS to most of RI, SE MASS, eastern CT, 3-6 ORH, 3-6 Cape, wow WCVB: 3-6", with a smalll 5-7 area in the same spot as channel 7 WCVB online hour by hour snowfall has me with 13.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 WCVB online hour by hour snowfall has me with 13.6 That's b/c they use the RPM model for that and they don't do it manually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 some of the hi-res models really pound SE MA/Cape Saturday night. interesting stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 If we were in that Bar in Boston again we would have been tossed out, a collective roar. LOL, man this brings back some great memories. You guys should really think about coming to the GTG in ORH , check out the thread. Its been a while so should be , ready for this Brian, Ryan, Scott, Phil, =NOT BORING I can probably make it this time, Ryan (Atkinson) should go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 That's b/c they use the RPM model for that and they don't do it manually. nice graphics though, I do like the hour by hour stuff, getting deluged with timing issues here at work as usual. No way I get 13.6 but..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 some of the hi-res models really pound SE MA/Cape Saturday night. interesting stuff My bet is the Euro is east in the cluster with the UKMET/GGEM. It's a real toss up, if it flips near us it's a 6-12" deal if not 1 to glop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 My bet is the Euro is east in the cluster with the UKMET/GGEM. It's a real toss up, if it flips near us it's a 6-12" deal if not 1 to glop. the weenie NMM rips the comma head over the Cape and goes to town. it and the NAM are a legitimate 8-12" but i'm not sold yet. high stakes though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nice graphics though, I do like the hour by hour stuff, getting deluged with timing issues here at work as usual. No way I get 13.6 but..... For sure, I have to work 12-9 at a pizza place tmrw, might have to call out, either that or go outside every half hour. If I have to go to work and we are getting 6 and BOS is getting 8+ and I can't track it it will kill me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I can probably make it this time, Ryan (Atkinson) should go. I would but I'm back at Penn State on the 7th... we have a really really short Christmas break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 My bet is the Euro is east in the cluster with the UKMET/GGEM. It's a real toss up, if it flips near us it's a 6-12" deal if not 1 to glop. most important run of Tropopauses career? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Seems a bit gun blazing, without seeing the Euro yet, especially considering model consensus is still at best a 4-8" strip from IJD to PYM. But alas, temperament not an appreciated skill Admittedly, GEFS is nice, but even so is a 4-8" event with some BL issues from WST-PYM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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