Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 lol...man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 man the NAM is a snowbomb out here. i'll hang my hat on the NAM and hope the GFS is got the low level thermal profile terribly terribly wrong. I don't pay attention because it usually doesn't matter for us but doesn't Will ALWAYS say the GFS is way too warm in the low levels with most systems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Top analog from 12z NAM @ 36 hrs: Hi H2Otown_WX, do you have have he actual link to that source ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'll be happy to pull out 2-3'' and that looks like the fair call up here right now. Nice refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Gibbs is on board for a crusher! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 lol...man. dendrites! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Quincy I like using the top 15 analog composites. It really worked out well for the last storm too. when no model was showing snow in Ct for the last storm it showed a 2-4 stripe and verified well with the screw zones in NNE. Here is the top 15 analogs for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Quincy I like using the top 15 analog composites. It really worked out well for the last storm too. when no model was showing snow in Ct for the last storm it showed a 2-4 stripe and verified well with the screw zones in NNE. Here is the top 15 analogs for this event. These analogs please me, greatly. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I don't pay attention because it usually doesn't matter for us but doesn't Will ALWAYS say the GFS is way too warm in the low levels with most systems? oh yeah it's often too warm. it's just that on that particular run 'too warm' isn't enough for the Cape. it would be a lot of rain with maybe a couple inches on the tail end i think. go pray to the smoke stack and your mower that the NAM is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The question is do I still see more than Kevin with superior ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 the NAM really is a mini 12/26-27/04 type event on the Cape. starts as mush then flips late evening and goes to town overnight. oh how we pray. Subtle irony here is that the last storm, the NAM couldn't commit to a 2ndary soon enough for the drool of the snow heads; now, this run develops one almost TOO soon, and the primary weakens and takes its respectable precipitation envelope with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS clown maps are disappointing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 The question is do I still see more than Kevin with superior ratios? Probably not. Your ratios may be 16:1, while his are 14:1...he gets 0.10" more qpf than you...pretty even lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GEFS (12Z) is juiced up and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 oh yeah it's often too warm. it's just that on that particular run 'too warm' isn't enough for the Cape. it would be a lot of rain with maybe a couple inches on the tail end i think. go pray to the smoke stack and your mower that the NAM is right. I am afraid we lose the entire NE Mass contigent if it was right. Picture a 12 person hot tub with a 12 slice industrial toaster being thrown in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Looks like the 12z Ukie is out. Clips eastern areas pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I have sideline passed to the pats game.. EPIC. If this is asnow bowl kill me now I will be in weenie heaven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Probably not. Your ratios may be 16:1, while his are 14:1...he gets 0.10" more qpf than you...pretty even lol Either way there will be flakes flying tomorrow to soften up my 10 hour outdoor workday , looks good for you eddie happy for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I have sideline passed to the pats game.. EPIC. If this is asnow bowl kill me now I will be in weenie heaven. The system will be long out of here by the time the Patriots game starts. This is mostly a Saturday evening/night deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 chuck em high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Just a crush job for hundreds of thousands of us tomorrow. Amout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Snowing in Ct before noon tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teebrdsfan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Good lord, 2-4, I am more than happy. Already a beautiful base now. 2-4 is on the upper end of my expectations right now. Ya I'll take 2-4 and run. A foot from the last one, still trying to dig out here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 most of the guidance is very similar with the LP track and intensity...it's the expanse of the precip shield and temperature profiles that differ quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Just a crush job for hundreds of thousands of us tomorrow. Amout I wouldn't call 6" a crush job. Nice event though as its trending. Maybe someone lucky picks up 8"+ if this keeps trending...prob interior SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Ya I'll take 2-4 and run. A foot from the last one, still trying to dig out here... you managed a foot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Loving my chances in Seekonk just enough for the dog to look foolish trying to run in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Either way there will be flakes flying tomorrow to soften up my 10 hour outdoor workday , looks good for you eddie happy for you Thanks bud! My snow starvation may be coming to an end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Just a crush job for hundreds of thousands of us that don't live in CT tomorrow. Amout Word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I wouldn't call 6" a crush job. Nice event though as its trending. Maybe someone lucky picks up 8"+ if this keeps trending...prob interior SE MA. It looks like 10+ for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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