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12/30 Coastal - Snowing Our Way Into NYE


Clinch Leatherwood

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3-5" calls looking good for all of CT...somewhere may jackpot to 6-7", but I'd like to see other 12z guidance bump up QPF before locking it. SE portion of the state obviously would have the best shot QPF wise...but warmer BL will likely keep ratios down a bit...so jackpot likely inland a bit from there. Probably IJD.

Ive often wondered if they've ever jackpotted in any storm in history?
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true but it helps and wouldn't this kind of scenario be suggestive of higher ratios?

Again, you have to look at the details. You want good omega/lift in the -12C to -18C layer. That is the max dendritic growth zone. If the lift is weak or is outside of that layer, then you get smaller crystals with different habits. Again, I haven't looked at BUFKIT yet.

There is also a tendency for a lot of people to call every flake they see a dendrite when the truth is most of the crystals I analyze aren't even of that habit. There's all kinds of regular/irregular crystal formations...i.e. needles, plates, sectored plates, columns, bullets, etc. You really can't tell for sure if it is a dendrite or not from the comfort of your warm living room.

/rant :)

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Again, you have to look at the details. You want good omega/lift in the -12C to -18C layer. That is the max dendritic growth zone. If the lift is weak or is outside of that layer, then you get smaller crystals with different habits. Again, I haven't looked at BUFKIT yet.

There is also a tendency for a lot of people to call every flake they see a dendrite when the truth is most of the crystals I analyze aren't even of that habit. There's all kinds of regular/irregular crystal formations...i.e. needles, plates, sectored plates, columns, bullets, etc. You really can't tell for sure if it is a dendrite or not from the comfort of your warm living room.

/rant :)

:weenie:

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Bang the bass turn up the treble

@danburyweather: ALERT: New RPM model guidance indicates over ONE FOOT of snow possible for eastern Conn. tomorrow. #wxedge Stay tuned.

I was wondering if anyone would post about that. It's clear it has issues. Throw it out.

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Bang the bass turn up the treble

@danburyweather: ALERT: New RPM model guidance indicates over ONE FOOT of snow possible for eastern Conn. tomorrow. #wxedge Stay tuned.

Bob Maxon@bobmaxon

@MattNoyesNECN Matt, the latest RPM is scary, it has flipped/flopped from dream world to reality, back to la-la land. (14" in BOS!)

Tim Kelley NECN@SurfSkiWxMan

@bobmaxon @MattNoyesNECN North wind converging w east wind may be dramatic as T5 on fous down to -11C, glad I am not working.. oh wait. dang

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Again, you have to look at the details. You want good omega/lift in the -12C to -18C layer. That is the max dendritic growth zone. If the lift is weak or is outside of that layer, then you get smaller crystals with different habits. Again, I haven't looked at BUFKIT yet.

There is also a tendency for a lot of people to call every flake they see a dendrite when the truth is most of the crystals I analyze aren't even of that habit. There's all kinds of regular/irregular crystal formations...i.e. needles, plates, sectored plates, columns, bullets, etc. You really can't tell for sure if it is a dendrite or not from the comfort of your warm living room.

/rant :)

Some of us sickos can usually tell pretty quick if they are dendrites...though if the dendrites aren't hooked together, sometimes its tougher to tell without closely inspecting because they are small. But usually they are hooked together nicely so its usually those dime sized great looking flakes.

But yeah, its definitely a technically incorrect phrase to say "dendrites are terrible"...usually that means there aren't any dendrites, lol. Probably ugly needles or plates. We should train everyone to say "dendritic growth is terrible" instead.

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btw...I know Quincy is with them, but that the hell is WxEdge anyways? Their list of bios covers about 100 people.

I guess it's some massive weather spotting/blogging site through his TV station in CT. They do have some interesting posts. I think anyone can contribute.

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i got one inch from 11-7-12 4 inches from the last storm, 13-14 inches from the october storm. i have 5.25 inches for the season. there were some reports of up to 2.5 inches on 11-7 but i can tell you truthfully where i am there was just about an inch.

How much did you get on 11/7/12? This last storm? 10/29/11?

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RGEM is a pretty big hit for most areas...esp east of CT river though even W of river down in CT does pretty well. 0.5"+ for most and more of SE areas. Looks like PYM to TAN would get 0.8-1.0"...Cape has more but probably some BL issues.

RGEM is often too wet, but even taking 2/3rds of these numbers would be a warning criteria event for eastern areas.

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