Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Another from Ryan's boss. We stayed the course Bob Maxon @bobmaxon Snow develops around Noon in SWCT to 2:pm in the NE part of the State. Here is a look at potential accumulation.pic.twitter.com/702TjgyY View photo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 So widespread 3-6 amounts and some places see 8 or 9. That is /has been/ and continues to be my forecast. A solid winter storm. Enjoy it everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I will take that if it verifies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I like the possibility of a couple of inches up here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 1-3, 2-4 or so. Hopefully this will stop the weenie gulf stream posts from yesterday. yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Gotta really give Noyes mucho credit for sniffing this 6+ event deal out days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 For those that are afraid of Twitter..here's the map from Ryan's boss..also posts on here as Oswego wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 For those that are afraid of Twitter..here's the map from Ryan's boss..also posts on here as Oswego wx he must have a typo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Bob Maxon going deep Bob Maxon (@bobmaxon) tweeted at 5:23 AM on Fri, Dec 28, 2012: Snow develops around Noon in SWCT to 2:pm in the NE part of the State. Here is a look at potential accumulation. http://t.co/702TjgyY So widespread 3-6 amounts and some places see 8 or 9. That is /has been/ and continues to be my forecast. A solid winter storm. Enjoy it everyone Good call, Kevin. An inside of 495/east of 84 special! And trending down to a couple in the NW. 20.3/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'll probably have to nudge numbers up a bit. What really caught my eye was the RGEM from last night. It was showing close to 6" for parts of Connecticut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Here you go........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 he must have a typo Snowshowers inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Here you go........ ackwaves does not approve (but he understands) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Are these probability maps driven from the SREF's? The 'east of the CT focus makes perfect sense. I'm curious as to why those probabilities are extending up through the EEN area. I guess the longitudinal gradiant is that much greater vs. the latitudinal. Really paints inside of 495 all the way into coastal NH nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 BOX AFD keeps weenie hopes alive in eastern areas: THIS IS AN EASTWARD TREND FROM PREVIOUS THU/S 12Z MDL RUNS. IN ADDITION THIS IS A RAPIDLY MOVING OPEN WAVE WHICH WILL LIMIT DURATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW. THUS PROBABILITY FOR A MAJOR SNOWSTORM IS UNLIKELY WITH HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR A LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW EVENT. NEVERTHELESS WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY HOW THIS SYSTEM EVOLVES AS THERE ISN/T MUCH MARGIN FOR ERROR. IF STREAMS PHASE/TROUGH MERGER OCCURS 6-12 HRS SOONER/FARTHER WEST THE RISK OF HEAVY SNOW WILL INCREASE ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN MA AND RI. STAY TUNED! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Snowshowers inland never said that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Interesting--my neighboring Albany zones all say 1-3 like my BOX p/c and zfp. But their map is region-wide higher than BOX. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I would lower the BOX map up this way to 1-2" Max. Increase the RI, SE MA to 3-5" something like that Edit. And E CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Programmed by humans for humans. It never seems to be wrong when it takes away a blizzard. True of most models. I wonder what the cost in dollars and time would be to develop a brand new weather model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Jerry, this is one of our Jan 94 specials, overrunning sweetness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Still like my call from yesterday. My up things a tad 1-2" in interior SE MA over to hills of RI/CT. Here's a quick map of my thoughts. Crude but I'm laying it out there. Enjoy your snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Jerry, this is one of our Jan 94 specials, overrunning sweetness A 2-4", late developing coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 ackwaves does not approve (but he understands) LOL! Yup. I do indeed. The NAM gives me a little more love than GFS. Guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Jerry, this is one of our Jan 94 specials, overrunning sweetness I like those storms...long lasting, usually cold during the storm, not the heaviest snow but moderate-heavy for hours. They start earlier than modeled too which is good for the nerves. Like Dec 19-21 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 A 2-4", late developing coastal? Well many are getting 6• Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Still like my call from yesterday. My up things a tad 1-2" in interior SE MA over to hills of RI/CT. Here's a quick map of my thoughts. Crude but I'm laying it out there. Enjoy your snows. Cool! You have me in the bulls eye. Let's see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 A 2-4", late developing coastal? You missed the forecast from Bob Maxon, I trust him, Ryans station.The snow we get is more directly related to overunning, often underestimated by models in this situation. I will go 4-6 for Jerry and I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I am so excited for this............3-6 can't rule out an 8 spot south of the pike somewhere, hardly any wind just classic stuff. Its go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 You missed the forecast from Bob Maxon, I trust him, Ryans station.The snow we get is more directly related to overunning, often underestimated by models in this situation. I will go 4-6 for Jerry and I Been trying to hammer that home. The coastal isn't what's giving us the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Well many are getting 6• how many? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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