Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm looking at the 72 hour total precip on the meteo site. What a burp on last nights euro. Its only wrong when it shows a blizzard. Programmed by humans for humans. It never seems to be wrong when it takes away a blizzard. True of most models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm looking at the 72 hour total precip on the meteo site. What a burp on last nights euro. Its only wrong when it shows a blizzard. We don't need a blizzard. 2-4" will do the soul good. Ughh...might as well wait for the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 Euro looks better to me than the 12z. It's late I could be wrong but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 vs. last night, low over Mississippi starting out weaker at 24h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Looks like 1-3" to me. Too far ots Remember these are 6 hour qpf and we miss the 54 hour pic which is critical. Looks like a bomb frankly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 While we're waiting for GEFS and Euro, just want to clarify... Lincoln is only playing in theaters... you walked out of the movie to check the 0z Nam?! (sorry for the OT, will self-delete in a few) Correct....had to pee so it was a great opportunity....and you could miss a few minutes at the beginning and get the gist... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Maybe we can get our gulf stream miracle.. last chance with the euro tonight. Guidance appears to be clustering pretty well for an advisory event..pending the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Euro is widespread 0.2 for lots of NE. The MOS products suggest parts of Maine including Jeff's place do as well or better vs SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Pretty solid signal for middle of the road system with advisory snows over most of SNE and parts of NNE. Maybe low end warning far eastern areas but the bl may be problematic east of the canal unless this bombs faster than ECMWF shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Euro is probably low end advisory for most...maybe some 4" amounts on the south shore and SE MA...BOS is close to 0.35". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 48h ~994 further southeast than last night NAM was actually a little further north and deeper at same timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 Euro snuck east. Not sure I love the subtleties of the transfer occurring earlier. I'm sticking with 1-3" down here. At 36-48 we are probably still looking at 50 miles average error, I'll take the under on there being an unfortunate shift towards progressive. 1-2" seems likely with 2-3" possible if it breaks right in southern Plymouth county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 UKMET seems to have what appears 0.5 qpf or higher for eastern areas. Just looking at MBY I add up 0.35 and I'm missing the juiciest 6 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 This will be a bomb, but it happens much too late, much too far northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Euro crosses 40N at around 68W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 2-4" I'll take it I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 2-4" I'll take it I guess. Well if you want to pass can I have your portion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Well if you want to pass can I have your portion? haha,.. no I will be happy with it, was hoping for more, but whatever is all good. What's the next event? 1/3.. the gfs seem to have something around that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 This quite simply sucks....like everything else these past two seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 man, Celtics got their asses kicked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I just looked at CMC on e-wall and it's the beefiest with qpf. CMC/UKMET is not a marriage made in heaven... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 At least there will be snow otg when the deeper cold comes in. That's worth something to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Programmed by humans for humans. It never seems to be wrong when it takes away a blizzard. True of most models. So true and so frustrating. Blizzards are rare, and modeled blizzards are less rare. So it's always going to seem this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 1-3, 2-4 or so. Hopefully this will stop the weenie gulf stream posts from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 1-3, 2-4 or so. Hopefully this will stop the weenie gulf stream posts from yesterday. It's all about the Gulf Stream and ball bearings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 Nam ticked nw/stronger/wetter now clips se areas with the comma head. A few hours ago ncep said take 2/3 of the 0z nam for your forecast. What now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Nice. 06Z NAM spitting out about 7" of mashed potatos for ACK and CQX. I'll take it. It's not often that we jackpot out here though I'll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS and gefs are also closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Bob Maxon going deep Bob Maxon (@bobmaxon) tweeted at 5:23 AM on Fri, Dec 28, 2012: Snow develops around Noon in SWCT to 2:pm in the NE part of the State. Here is a look at potential accumulation. http://t.co/702TjgyY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Well well well..the snowbelt of SNE MATTNOYES.NET - NEW ENGLAND WEATHER ANALYSIS: Early estimate of weekend snow potential shows half a.www.mattnoyes.net For more, feel free to find me on Twitter, on my weather Facebook Page, or my non-weather Facebook Page. As always, check back to my Weather Analysis Page for updated posts. I'm always first to tell my viewers and readers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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