SnowMan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 OT brut what did you end up with or have at this point? I never measured, but I saw a report in Hollis, NH of 7.5. I would think we ended with 8 or 9 total. No hard numbers though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 well....one thing is for certain, the current system did nothing more than pique folks' desires. this was such a pedestrian event guys. 5" of glop here; though someone somewhere probably claimed a foot but 10 years from now you won't remember this thing. but it sure stoked everyone's appetite! nice appetizer. but like all apps they leave you feeling unfulfilled and ready for the real meal. ha, otherwise, we would not have dumped 12 new pages into a thread in just 3 hours or whatever it has been, over what could ultimately be just an ephemeral presence in the runs - or not, we'll see. i haven't even analyzed this next thing. the next 10 day's worth of PNA offer hope that at any given modeling time we can have something to track. so if this next thing whiffs, we probably won't have to wait too long to set sights on the next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 If this keeps up, might as well root for Morch. Nothing worse than cold rain, kid crying, taking care of wife, and no sleep. Yup. Easier to have births in the summer. You can take them outside almost from the very beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I never measured, but I saw a report in Hollis, NH of 7.5. I would think we ended with 8 or 9 total. No hard numbers though. Definitely more than Danvers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Sorry..just got home from lunch with my daughters. Based on everything I've seen today I feel even more confident we see a 3-6 or more type snowfall. The trough is sharper, Many of the ensembles are solid hits..and the pattern argues for a coastal storm as we drill in the arctic cold. It needs a mechanism to come down. I think the biggest thing we saw today was a jump NW of the Gefs/Gfs and Rgem..Ukie was a WSW for all of SNE. All of that leads me to believe the NW shif is real and that accumulating snow gets well back into NY state Ukie is a northern outlier compared to all other guidance. 12z GGEM/GFS/Euro/Nogaps are all very similar at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Sorry..just got home from lunch with my daughters. Based on everything I've seen today I feel even more confident we see a 3-6 or more type snowfall. The trough is sharper, Many of the ensembles are solid hits..and the pattern argues for a coastal storm as we drill in the arctic cold. It needs a mechanism to come down. I think the biggest thing we saw today was a jump NW of the Gefs/Gfs and Rgem..Ukie was a WSW for all of SNE. All of that leads me to believe the NW shif is real and that accumulating snow gets well back into NY state The biggest thing we saw today was a cave by the EURO from a HECS to a swipe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 You'll need to change the model parameters on the right. http://www.wundergro...i=0&ls=0&rad2=0 Thank you. I greatly appreciate your help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Yup. Easier to have births in the summer. You can take them outside almost from the very beginning. That's how I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Sorry..just got home from lunch with my daughters. Based on everything I've seen today I feel even more confident we see a 3-6 or more type snowfall. The trough is sharper, Many of the ensembles are solid hits..and the pattern argues for a coastal storm as we drill in the arctic cold. It needs a mechanism to come down. I think the biggest thing we saw today was a jump NW of the Gefs/Gfs and Rgem..Ukie was a WSW for all of SNE. All of that leads me to believe the NW shif is real and that accumulating snow gets well back into NY state lol. i don't know why i bite on this stuff...but no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Which is why Boston should be proclaimed the screw zone extraordinaire. Both just missed PVD metro too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 lol. i don't know why i bite on this stuff...but no. Kevin is the master at attempted leading commentary and jests, designed purely to manipulate a Met into a response he wants to hear hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 euro has historic-like cold coming down at day 9/10. so wish that would happen and drop into the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Definitely more than Danvers! Tell me about it. I was pumped to not have to worry about being on the outside looking in like so many other times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 euro has historic-like cold coming down at day 9/10. so wish that would happen and drop into the northeast. I was just looking at that, there is your PV dropping in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I would leave it at chance of snow at this point with light accumulations possible for all of Connecticut. Tonight after the 00z runs you can tweak that back to chance of snow showers for inland areas and put an accumulation for SE coastal areas, or ramp up if models show a definitive shift the other way. Why one wouldn't hedge their forecast at 48-60 hrs out is beyond me. I agree. Sorry..just got home from lunch with my daughters. Based on everything I've seen today I feel even more confident we see a 3-6 or more type snowfall. The trough is sharper, Many of the ensembles are solid hits..and the pattern argues for a coastal storm as we drill in the arctic cold. It needs a mechanism to come down. I think the biggest thing we saw today was a jump NW of the Gefs/Gfs and Rgem..Ukie was a WSW for all of SNE. All of that leads me to believe the NW shif is real and that accumulating snow gets well back into NY state LOL. Well, I'll say this. I hope you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Sorry..just got home from lunch with my daughters. Based on everything I've seen today I feel even more confident we see a 3-6 or more type snowfall. The trough is sharper, Many of the ensembles are solid hits..and the pattern argues for a coastal storm as we drill in the arctic cold. It needs a mechanism to come down.I think the biggest thing we saw today was a jump NW of the Gefs/Gfs and Rgem..Ukie was a WSW for all of SNE. All of that leads me to believe the NW shif is real and that accumulating snow gets well back into NY state Which is why this system doesn't bring it. Delayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I am going to get killed again but analogs say Euro cold is coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Both just missed PVD metro too. I'm pretty sure PVD is less screwed. What was the October 2011 snowmageddon total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I am going to get killed again but analogs say Euro cold is coming cippy cup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Dayum! 480 thickness in James Bay d10! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I am going to get killed again but analogs say Euro cold is coming They've been Anal-logs lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'm pretty sure PVD is less screwed. What was the October 2011 snowmageddon total? mby....T... lasted till 11am. Im typically 2-3 degrees colder than PVD itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'm pretty sure PVD is less screwed. What was the October 2011 snowmageddon total? 2.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 euro has historic-like cold coming down at day 9/10. so wish that would happen and drop into the northeast. it's had cold at day 9-10 for the last 3 weeks-verification is either torch or average climo at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 cippy cup? Red Solo cup Best lines of the day go to Kev once again CT Blizz, on 27 December 2012 - 05:10 AM, said: Congrats to all who said I'd go above 32..It's 33.5 Hopefully we can get temps to settle back down as this mess pulls east CT Blizz, on 27 December 2012 - 12:45 PM, said: I escaped the above freezing temps and rain with 4 inches OTG. This stuff will freeze into concrete later today and tonight. Great base for the snow banks. Then we add more over the weekend. Temp continues to drop as snow showers move in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'm pretty sure PVD is less screwed. What was the October 2011 snowmageddon total? You're looking at a year and half to diagnosis this? the whole northeast has been basically screwed for this period. As much as this storm was nice, I'm still more than a foot below normal on the year..and I was 5 ft below normal last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Ukie is a northern outlier compared to all other guidance. 12z GGEM/GFS/Euro/Nogaps are all very similar at this point. I don't care what "guidance" has at this point. It's just that ....guidance. Maybe I'm wrong..Maybe I'm not. For folks to be ruling out a nice hit from this today seems a bit silly..but to each their own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 People just need to temper expectations a bit. Stop acting like this is a 6-12" or nothing deal. The GFS ensemble means and SREFs (while maybe a tad out of their 48hour wheelhouse) both show a solid 2-4" type event for most of SE SNE...including most of CT. Canadian generally agrees and the Euro is a bit weaker but just did one heck of a waffle so should probably still be taken with a grain of salt. 2-4" is a perfectly reasonable forecast south of the pike right now. While the pattern doesn't support a whole lot more amplification...just a small shift in track and we may be looking at a little more than that. 3-6" is an aggressive forecast right now...but the KURO has been know to overdo things a bit...but it's not completely out of the question just yet. Give it until the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 2.3" Where was that measurement taken? haha i find that hard to swallow, must of been on one of the hills. slant stick like you read about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 They've been Anal-logs lately. Not true, this week was progged ten days ago as a cold stormy week. sorry you got nada, zilch, nothing, zippo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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