Bostonseminole Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFS still east of the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFS in it's usual bias mode folks. Please know this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 There's significantly more digging in the trough in the 66-72 hour range...it's just a bit too late to get it done...definitely an improvement from the previous run, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Pretty close to the nam, I would say a general 1-3 down this way into interior se mass for now, which is perfectly fine to me. yeah, not sure which model to ride on this one.. not like the EURO has been stellar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Gfs is maybe an advisory level deal for southern ct ri and mass. Meh. If the ens are nw of op that'll be a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 It won't come in amped because this what we need. This last one......ammmmmmped enough to turn the BL to crap. I'm nearly as frustrated as Feb 2010...just over a more protracted period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 It won't come in amped because this what we need. This last one......ammmmmmped enough to turn the BL to crap. I'm nearly as frustrated as Feb 2010...just over a more protracted period. How did you do last night Ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFS in it's usual bias mode folks. Please know this The GFS and NAM had a more correct bias than the EURO this last event....the ponding in my driveway is a testament to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 How did you do last night Ray? 2" of slush before it poured....NAM nailed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'll say this..I think the Euro was too amped..but also these are the exact kind of systems the GFS stuggles with and always has too far SE and weak until the final 36 hours. GFS does much better on system like we just we had and not the developing coastals up the coast like we have coming this weekend. I think if you expect 3-6 or 4-8 for all of SNE..that is reasonable at this point. Maybe folks out east can do a bit better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 yeah, not sure which model to ride on this one.. not like the EURO has been stellar. If the Euro this afternoon comes is the same as it's last run or better then I am confident the NAM and GFS will cave... Coming up on the biggest Euro run of our lives folks....get ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 The GFS and NAM had a more correct bias than the EURO this last event....the ponding in my driveway is a testament to that. This is true but it's counter to what the Euro is doing in potentially overdeveloping the low. The RGEM gets significant precip much further north at 48 than the old GGEM did with similar low placement. It's a toss up but if the GGEM followed suit I think it'd be more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2012 Author Share Posted December 27, 2012 Guys let's pull the focus back to the storm and not so much this last one for the sake of keeping the good juju going. I get what Ray is saying and TT made the same point on the other thread. Go into this with expectations of a few inches and you'll be happy. Remember what Dr. Diaper said, it is a very progressive flow. The storm could blow up and deliver a nice 4-8" snowfall, or it could remain progressive and be a T-3" type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 there are some nice gfes members in the mix so that makes me feel better. i like this event more than anything else so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 there are some nice gfes members in the mix so that makes me feel better. i like this event more than anything else so far More so than NOV 7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 there are some nice gfes members in the mix so that makes me feel better. i like this event more than anything else so far This looks like even your area and west might be able to get a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 ukie is still nw of american guidance similiar to last night but the lp is weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 even forky is on board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I tend to agree this is a progressive pattern but it's possible for something more like scooter outlined yesterday. I think the euro was overdone, but I think American guidance is too flat. I like the ukie last night, which was like 4-7" over southern SNE and 2-4" up by you. I agree. I don't foresee a total whif, but a nuisance event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Dial it into the potential storm discussion. Take all other banter to the banter thread. That's where all posts were moved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Scraper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Cape Cod, MA won't have boundary layer issues, we might if the storm goes underneath us, but if stays on a northeast heading from NC then it can bring the wind trajectory more out of the northeast or north-northeast instead of this easterly crap we have been getting lately, this stuff stinks. I like your optimism but I worry about those water temps in the high 40's from IOS to CC Bay. Hyannis east to Chatham and especially out here on ACK, we suffer from warm water. We really need some seriously cold air in place with a track within 75 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I would be shocked to see the euro as amped today especially after seeing the ukmet back off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I would be shocked to see the euro as amped today especially after seeing the ukmet back off Yea...the EURO will follow it today because it wasn't a good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 bottom line is that there's fairly good ensemble agreement for at least a 3-5 deal from Lowell to Hartford and points S and E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Scraper LOL..that's not a scrape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Yea...the EURO will follow it today because it wasn't a good trend. the ukie is a bomb...just hard to tell where it happens within hrs 60-72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Yea...the EURO will follow it today because it wasn't a good trend. I just think the flow is too progressive, but I would take 1-3 2-4 and run like mad, make for a festive Saturday night at least. Taint free is nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Scraper for you, def a scrape, but that gets mod snow to MA/NH border, so not terribly far from u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 ukie is still nw of american guidance similiar to last night but the lp is weaker the ukie is a bomb...just hard to tell where it happens within hrs 60-72 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.