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12/30 Coastal - Snowing Our Way Into NYE


Clinch Leatherwood

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  On 12/28/2012 at 11:20 AM, Sultan said:

Bob Maxon going deep Bob Maxon (@bobmaxon) tweeted at 5:23 AM on Fri, Dec 28, 2012:

Snow develops around Noon in SWCT to 2:pm in the NE part of the State. Here is a look at potential accumulation. http://t.co/702TjgyY

  On 12/28/2012 at 11:32 AM, CT Blizz said:

So widespread 3-6 amounts and some places see 8 or 9.

That is /has been/ and continues to be my forecast. A solid winter storm.

Enjoy it everyone

Good call, Kevin. An inside of 495/east of 84 special! And trending down to a couple in the NW.

20.3/18

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Are these probability maps driven from the SREF's? The 'east of the CT focus makes perfect sense. I'm curious as to why those probabilities are extending up through the EEN area. I guess the longitudinal gradiant is that much greater vs. the latitudinal.

Really paints inside of 495 all the way into coastal NH nicely.

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BOX AFD keeps weenie hopes alive in eastern areas:

THIS IS AN EASTWARD TREND FROM PREVIOUS THU/S 12Z MDL RUNS. IN

ADDITION THIS IS A RAPIDLY MOVING OPEN WAVE WHICH WILL LIMIT

DURATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW. THUS PROBABILITY FOR A MAJOR

SNOWSTORM IS UNLIKELY WITH HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR A LIGHT TO

MODERATE SNOW EVENT. NEVERTHELESS WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY HOW

THIS SYSTEM EVOLVES AS THERE ISN/T MUCH MARGIN FOR ERROR. IF STREAMS

PHASE/TROUGH MERGER OCCURS 6-12 HRS SOONER/FARTHER WEST THE RISK OF

HEAVY SNOW WILL INCREASE ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN MA AND RI. STAY

TUNED!

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  On 12/28/2012 at 12:53 PM, ETauntonMA said:

Still like my call from yesterday. My up things a tad 1-2" in interior SE MA over to hills of RI/CT. Here's a quick map of my thoughts. Crude but I'm laying it out there. Enjoy your snows.

Cool! You have me in the bulls eye. Let's see how it plays out.

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  On 12/28/2012 at 1:01 PM, Sultan said:

You missed the forecast from Bob Maxon, I trust him, Ryans station.The snow we get is more directly related to overunning, often underestimated by models in this situation. I will go 4-6 for Jerry and I

Been trying to hammer that home. The coastal isn't what's giving us the snow
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