40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Phil, what do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 If I had to pick a aspot for this right now, it would be interior se MA.....like Brockton area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: If I had to pick a aspot for this right now, it would be interior se MA.....like Brockton area. I still like to see the GFS hop on board...maybe it will at 12z. I've seen the euro do this before in 84 hrs out. I'm not saying it is wrong..just noting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is an aimpressive signal on the EC ens....at only 72 hours out. Ordinarily, I'd be stoked, but I'm just snake bitten. Ray, you're passionate about the weather. Honestly, this is not a bad position to put yourself in. Tempers your emotions and expectations. This still looks like a solid Winter Storm for eastern areas. Plenty of time to iron out details. Right now interior SE MA is pegged for the most but, verbatim, you still see 6". Adding up the Euro 3hr snow totals for me, it's like 15-20". I won't be baited into any excitement till tomorrow night. This has the potential to come back around to the Euro images I posted the other day that showed 24" for the area. Would be my biggest storm since Jan 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:31 PM, ETauntonMA said: Ray, you're passionate about the weather. Honestly, this is not a bad position to put yourself in. Tempers your emotions and expectations. This still looks like a solid Winter Storm for eastern areas. Plenty of time to iron out details. Right now interior SE MA is pegged for the most but, verbatim, you still see 6". Adding up the Euro 3hr snow totals for me, it's like 15-20". I won't be baited into any excitement till tomorrow night. This has the potential to come back around to the Euro images I posted the other day that showed 24" for the area. Would be my biggest storm since Jan 2005. It's toast Gronk. Burnt toast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:31 PM, ETauntonMA said: Ray, you're passionate about the weather. Honestly, this is not a bad position to put yourself in. Tempers your emotions and expectations. This still looks like a solid Winter Storm for eastern areas. Plenty of time to iron out details. Right now interior SE MA is pegged for the most but, verbatim, you still see 6". Adding up the Euro 3hr snow totals for me, it's like 15-20". I won't be baited into any excitement till tomorrow night. This has the potential to come back around to the Euro images I posted the other day that showed 24" for the area. Would be my biggest storm since Jan 2005. I mean when I looked at the Euro this Am, I totally went back to 05 in my brain. But as tempting as it is, not falling for it. Lets see what Tomorrow brings. Pretty sad inside 84 hours and we have zero confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:27 PM, CoastalWx said: I still like to see the GFS hop on board...maybe it will at 12z. I've seen the euro do this before in 84 hrs out. I'm not saying it is wrong..just noting. Believe me, I'm not biting. Interior se MA, and the immediate n shore would be the places to be, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Phil, what do you think? Phil is probably thinking its a wet dream and he needs to really wake up. That would be epic. I really am pulling for all of us in the eastern zones. Been a long time. This would be special, one of those 12-18s on the cape , Boston, Taunton, me about a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:36 PM, Sultan said: I mean when I looked at the Euro this Am, I totally went back to 05 in my brain. But as tempting as it is, not falling for it. Lets see what Tomorrow brings. Pretty sad inside 84 hours and we have zero confidence. As the saying goes. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. Seeing the Euro mean pretty damn close to the Op gives me higher than normal confidence 60/40, but I'll wait till tomorrow as I said before I jump all in. Incredible Euro run though, DAMN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is an aimpressive signal on the EC ens....at only 72 hours out. Ordinarily, I'd be stoked, but I'm just snake bitten. I feel for ya. We don't get snow out here, so I hope for a lot of wind. Even now, this current storm has under-performed. Had a gust to 54 earlier but now in the 20'smph range and 53f. Hope you get your snow and I at least get some wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 This one's for you New London County...if there's any place in CT that deserves it... CTZ008-272130- NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 549 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012 .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. CTZ012-272130- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 549 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012 .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. BREEZY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Wow, they word it like that already? A little too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:50 PM, CoastalWx said: Wow, they word it like that already? A little too early. Yeah the rest of the OKX zones have "additional moderate accumulation possible." It's auto generated, so if they're going with 70 POPs, I assume they have to put something in the grids for an accumulation, though I guess they could have left it at light accumulations and ramped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Whats up with NCEP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:52 PM, snowman21 said: Yeah the rest of the OKX zones have "additional moderate accumulation possible." It's auto generated, so if they're going with 70 POPs, I assume they have to put something in the grids for an accumulation, though I guess they could have left it at light accumulations and ramped up. HWO here says 6+ accumulation possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Too soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:57 PM, butterfish55 said: Too soon? One more day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The new SREF's are amped as compared to 3Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Times are tough when you have to wait until hour 24 to lock up some snow. Time for the NAM to catch on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 There is your genesis point sitting over Mexico. chimmichungas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 2:00 PM, ace0927 said: The new SREF's are amped as compared to 3Z Yes they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 It will continue to come Northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Another nice event shaping up. Some wanted to give up on it.minor here, but great for SE peeps. Phil and Cweat. Chasing each other up and down Rte 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 This exciting to see the EURO amped up instead of the GFS right now. Still too much time for change that I wouldn't like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Nams going to be a big hit, oh wait that is Messengers style, LOL, but it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 2:03 PM, SnowMan said: It will continue to come Northwest Wouldn't mind a slight tuck inside the benchmark. That usually puts SW CT in the heaviest precip without worrying about a changeover. Given how difficult it is for places like SE coastal Conn. and southern RI to get a nice storm where they don't have to worry about precip type, I'll gladly take the more SE'rly track that way everyone can enjoy a nice snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 2:10 PM, snowman21 said: Wouldn't mind a slight tuck inside the benchmark. That usually puts SW CT in the heaviest precip without worrying about a changeover. Given how difficult it is for places like SE coastal Conn. and southern RI to get a nice storm where they don't have to worry about precip type, I'll gladly take the more SE'rly track that way everyone can enjoy a nice snowfall. I'm with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 09z SREFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 1:53 PM, Sultan said: Whats up with NCEP? i was having trouble getting on my NAM & GFS page, but figured it was my comp...u as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 out to 42h, nam is about 125 miles further north w/ the precip, now into OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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