Harry Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 How on earth do we get snowstorms here? The climate here is so frustrating! It either weakens, warms up and we get rain, orit goes southeast. Is it just unfortunate luck that we keep getting screwed or is this part of the climate? Soooo frustrated that I moved here for winter and have gotten years of fall and summer! From 2008-09 on back there was a number of very decent winters/storms up that way and here ofcourse. For here it ended in 2009-10.. Thus when the last decent jackpot was had in these parts. That area where you are killed it in 2007-08 ofcourse this was true for the whole region in general but that area/here back to bowme/se WI did exceptionally well that winter. The LES on the other hand has been non existent for the most part for sw/W.MI as we have either had terrible set ups ( something lacking/winds-flow too strong etc ) or the flow has been northerly/nne vs west/wnw which we want. 2008-09 was ok here with that as well as 2006-07 and that is it and that is not saying much either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Is this the popular phrase this year? I think I have read that at least 5 times already this winter. Someone from the previous storm that buried Central Iowa thru N.MI. Called that storm "run of the mill" Meanwhile Madison was being buried in nearly 20" of snow and he was 100% serious. So Its been used quite frequently since. It was a really poor post and comical at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 4km NAM burying LAF at 60hrs. Very impressive deform band from near St. Louis towards northeast Indiana... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 It's about halfway there. Probably will be fully onshore for tomorrow's 12z run, or 18z run. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 GFS is a bit southeast of the 12Z/18Z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 From 2008-09 on back there was a number of very decent winters/storms up that way and here ofcourse. For here it ended in 2009-10.. Thus when the last decent jackpot was had in these parts. That area where you are killed it in 2007-08 ofcourse this was true for the whole region in general but that area/here back to bowme/se WI did exceptionally well that winter. The LES on the other hand has been non existent for the most part for sw/W.MI as we have either had terrible set ups ( something lacking/winds-flow too strong etc ) or the flow has been northerly/nne vs west/wnw which we want. 2008-09 was ok here with that as well as 2006-07 and that is it and that is not saying much either. Yeah, I moved here the summer of 2009, so there hasn't been much for me to experience. According to the NAM, it looks like you guys may very well get a good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Winds look like they could be interesting, according to the NAM. Verbatim, pretty good swath of 925mb winds of 45+ knots... do any Mets think this storm might have the right kind of dynamics to bring those winds to the surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 This one's for you SSC. This would be extremely impressive if it came to fruition. 11" in 6hrs here at 81hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 This one's for you SSC. This would be extremely impressive if it came to fruition. 11" in 6hrs here at 81hrs... Is this the GFS or the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 A little SE this run, but this is the highest modeled QPF from the GFS I've seen thus far locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 This one's for you SSC. This would be extremely impressive if it came to fruition. 11" in 6hrs here at 81hrs... Thanks Cyclone. My new desktop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 A little SE this run, but this is the highest modeled QPF from the GFS I've seen thus far locally. I'm telling you. We can't lose. Just gotta hold on for another 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I'm telling you. We can't lose. Just gotta hold on for another 60 hours. You just Jinxed us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 You just Jinxed us Meh, said the same thing at 12z. You actually did better with this suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 A little SE this run, but this is the highest modeled QPF from the GFS I've seen thus far locally. Does anything make it back here, or is it NAMish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Does anything make it back here, or is it NAMish? Looks like very light stuff. <0.10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Does anything make it back here, or is it NAMish? 0.10-0.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 00z GFS still gives YYZ 9-12'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I'm telling you. We can't lose. Just gotta hold on for another 60 hours. And if anything things have looked better within the last 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Fun to track, and that is why I am tracking it. A lot on the line I suppose for SEMI posters and Snowstormcanuck, not to mention St. Louis. Just surprised your wasting so much time for a non-event here after you said you were done until after the Holidays. I knew that was a crockpot of poop though lol.. I wouldn't even want to admit how many days I have wasted over the last 4 yrs following winter storms just in the north east let a lone storms like this that are a miss closer to home. Then throw in all our snow events. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Sorry, Board dictator. He's a moderator, not a dictator, cut the crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 And if anything things have looked better within the last 24 hours Going to hit the hay early tonight. Better to go to bed on a high note. I have faith the EURO will maintain a reasonable amount of continuity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 4km NAM burying LAF at 60hrs. Very impressive deform band from near St. Louis towards northeast Indiana... snow heading for the eastern half of the LOT CWA at the end of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Is this the GFS or the NAM? Sorry should have clarified. It's the new NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 The UKMET has finally caught on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 snow heading for the eastern half of the LOT CWA at the end of that. Yeah definitely east of I-55, maybe even a little further back then that. Can imagine it drawing a line from the edge of the shield to the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 snow heading for the eastern half of the LOT CWA at the end of that. I'm wondering if there will be one of those "surprising" heavy bands that develop near the western cutoff. Seen that happen many times in the past with these types of storms, and the amounts always end up being considerably higher than what's modeled. During the GHD storm a narrow band of very heavy snow fell over eastern Iowa, and that resulted in amounts considerably higher than forecast. These bands tend to have higher ratios of snow to water too, so they can be more efficient. Something else to think about. If I was in Chicago I'd still be feeling pretty decent about this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 He's a moderator, not a dictator, cut the crap. It's over...and people are allowed to post things on PUBLIC forums. No harm done to any posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 The UKMET has finally caught on... Caught on to what??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Going to hit the hay early tonight. Better to go to bed on a high note. I have faith the EURO will maintain a reasonable amount of continuity. Might as well... I mean regardless of what model run we've seen somehow YYZ gets a good amount of snow. Can't imagine it would change now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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