The_Global_Warmer Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 UPDATED AS OF DEC 27TH 6PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Even though it's experimental at this time, the FIM model is showing it as well. So I guess that's four models showing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I'm guessing that this will be a weak wave with little moisture to work with after the midweek system rolls through. Should freshen up the snowpack for someone in the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I'm guessing that this will be a weak wave with little moisture to work with after the midweek system rolls through. Should freshen up the snowpack for someone in the subforum. 12z ECM really tries for something major... but it's just a little too late, ends up being a strong storm over Massachusetts at 168hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 A possible New Year's Eve event for someone, it would appear. I like that Wunderground snow map, not a bad bit of snow, if it verified. Dec 31st 1998/Jan 1st 1999, anyone? That would be too cool if that happened again. Give me that storm, and good solid cold up until. oh, Jan 25th, and I don't care what happens after that. This one isn't in the same league, but I can dream, can't I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Looks like some light to occasionally moderate snow is likely in a west-east swath from the Central/Northern Plains into the Great Lakes Friday into Saturday. The dates could be changed, but this might be a borderline low-end advisory if moisture is upped in the coming days. Right now a general 1-2" is likely in the areas I outlined, though it looks like a 120-180 mile area from north to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Looks like some light to occasionally moderate snow is likely in a west-east swath from the Central/Northern Plains into the Great Lakes Friday into Saturday. The dates could be changed, but this might be a borderline low-end advisory if moisture is upped in the coming days. Right now a general 1-2" is likely in the areas I outlined, though it looks like a 120-180 mile area from north to south. I'd be surprised if they issue an advisory. This should be a long duration light snow event that shouldn't affect travel too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I'd be surprised if they issue an advisory. This should be a long duration light snow event that shouldn't affect travel too much. Agreed. If the GGEM's scenario played out, which is stronger, then I could see an advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I'd be surprised if they issue an advisory. This should be a long duration light snow event that shouldn't affect travel too much. I agree that the long duration aspect will play a part, and be a negative factor in the decision of any headlines, that was just if things change and moisture increases. That has been the trend in the last day or two, if anything (besides the Euro, which is steadfast with no snow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 my hope for 3-4 days: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I get a feeling no one really cares about this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 ok, so I'm zipping thru the surface maps for this storm and noticed there is an initial overrunning that streaks out along the progressing boundary through the midwest fading east. Then the low gets going and starts to head northeast but ends up getting crushed. The situation reminded me of PDII where we had that first hit of snow out of the sw all the way back to IA, and then the storm got going and came up 24 hrs later and gave us round 2. So for shizzle and giggles I decided to compare the 500h maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 0z NAM fwiw...spread the wealth type event to ring in the new year. I also heard Skilling was liking this one as well. GFS and Euro further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 0z NAM fwiw...spread the wealth type event to ring in the new year. I also heard Skilling was liking this one as well. GFS and Euro further south. I am assuming those amounts over the great lakes are truncated and will contine to go up in the 84+ time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 lol...NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 my hope for 3-4 days: lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 lol...NAM. Yeah but Thomas likes this one also and how often does that happen? If the In house RPM model starts to show something also, look out Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Frankly, I'll believe it when the evidence mounts a little higher. That said, things are looking up with respect to this potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah but Thomas likes this one also and how often does that happen? If the In house RPM model starts to show something also, look out Chicago. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yep, Skilling likes this one! This should be the storm for the slice of the subforum that hasn't seen 2 or 3 storms already! Frankly, I'll believe it when the evidence mounts a little higher. That said, things are looking up with respect to this potential. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 12z NAM wants to give us a few inches of snow to ring in the new year. Want to see other models come on board before getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 The 12z NAM is juiced up, well above other models so far: For my backyard, about 3-4 inches of snow then sleet, snow, grapel, ZR, some rain/drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 12z NAM wants to give us a few inches of snow to ring in the new year. Want to see other models come on board before getting excited. Doesn't look any other model gives us anything more than some flakes. Best to disregard the NAM completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 NAM was decent with last nights surprise tho, gotta keep hope :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Doesn't look any other model gives us anything more than some flakes. Best to disregard the NAM completely. Looks like the 12z Euro barely has anything. Better amounts south of IND though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Looks like the 12z Euro barely has anything. Better amounts south of IND though. The hot spot remains hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The hot spot remains hot. Southern IN has suddenly turned into the UP of Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 The NAM can be a terrible model in general past 48 hrs, but especially so with these outlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 What's up with the NAM? It was all amped up with the 'blizzard', then had the most accurate QPF with last night/today's system, and now is all raging hormones with the New Year's wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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