SnowGoose69 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Those NOAA totals are cut in half because they bought the mixing solution. 4 to ur west ? 4 to ur north ? While more precip fallin put east. And long isl maxes 2 prob not likely Not gona mix. Ur fine. Plan for 4 Yeah seems odd since their discussion seemed to indicate they did NOT buy that idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 344 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY OF NEW YORK...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH A FEW SPOTS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 6 INCHES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. * TIMING...SNOW BEGINS IN THE MORNING...AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF SATURDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...MODERATE SNOW WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 WWA is up (no surprise there) NYC: 2-5" LI: 2-4" They emphasize mix on the southern shores Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Went up by 0.4" for my back yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Mt. Holly on the other hand increased (Almost doubled in some spots) its totals on the northern and far western zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 eastern suffolk no advisories at all...i'm a little surprised they didn't put NE Suffolk in one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 take the 2-4 and run, stop looking for ways to get more because they really are not there. I thought you said you were going to stay in the Philly forum and give us all a break? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 WWA also Lower Hudson Valley with 3-5 inches and possible locations exceeding 6 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Mt. Holly on the other hand increased (Almost doubled in some spots) its totals on the northern and far western zones. Upton also increased totals for its interior.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Yeah seems odd since their discussion seemed to indicate they did NOT buy that idea. And as a matter of fact when u match the 18z 27 hr vs the 6z 39 hr and the 18z 30 hr vs the 6z 42 hr u can see the 18z is better w it's precip field. If I'm gona match the 12z runs we should b matching them vs the 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Very unimpressed with the 18z NAM totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Went up by 0.4" for my back yard :weenie: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 This starts about 10:00 am or so? That sound right for LI? When would it end and would we see accumulation on streets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 :weenie: :weenie: It was a joke, my back yard isn't even on that map. I live in the Mt. Holly forecast area which hasn't changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH A FEW SPOTS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 6 INCHES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. Solid. They also noted a possible westward trend that would bump up totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 This starts about 10:00 am or so? That sound right for LI? When would it end and would we see accumulation on streets? You probably won't see anything on the streets down that way unless you live on the north shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Mt. Holly updated the WWA, now 3-5'' (previously 2-4'') for Mercer and Middlesex counties northward, and 1-2'' for western Monmouth county and interior southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Mt. Holly updated the WWA, now 3-5'' (previously 2-4'') for Mercer and Middlesex counties northward, and 1-2'' for western Monmouth county and interior southern NJ. Awesome! Chuck em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Who cares what NWS has right now. It will change 3 more times before the snow starts. The models we use as guidance have performed awfully thus far with this storm. I still do not see any consensus which is really bad 18 hrs out. I hate the word nowcasting, but what else are we supposed to do at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Who cares what NWS has right now. It will change 3 more times before the snow starts. The models we use as guidance have performed awfully thus far with this storm. I still do not see any consensus which is really bad 18 hrs out. I hate the word nowcasting, but what else are we supposed to do at this point? Hope for model consensus at 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Mt. Holly updated the WWA, now 3-5'' (previously 2-4'') for Mercer and Middlesex counties northward, and 1-2'' for western Monmouth county and interior southern NJ. Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 342 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012 DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-016>019-PAZ070-071-290900- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0010.121229T1100Z-121230T0000Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...FREEHOLD... PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN... MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA 342 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 1 INCH. * TIMING...SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING NEAR DAYBREAK IN NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND NORTHERN DELAWARE... THEN NORTHEASTWARD UP THE INTERSTATE 95 AND 295 CORRIDORS BY MID TO LATE MORNING. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF SLOWED TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS THAT ARE NOT TREATED AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES... WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS TEND TO DEVELOP FIRST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Mt. Holly updated the WWA, now 3-5'' (previously 2-4'') for Mercer and Middlesex counties northward, and 1-2'' for western Monmouth county and interior southern NJ. 3-5 would make my day at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Seems like the 18z RGEM looks good per SNE thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 3-5 would make my day at this point Agree, I like our location for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 18z RGEM still looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Which is surprising because they don't mention any mixing in Western Monmouth so I'd think amounts would end up similar to Interior Middlesex/Mercer Mt. Holly updated the WWA, now 3-5'' (previously 2-4'') for Mercer and Middlesex counties northward, and 1-2'' for western Monmouth county and interior southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Mt. Holly updated the WWA, now 3-5'' (previously 2-4'') for Mercer and Middlesex counties northward, and 1-2'' for western Monmouth county and interior southern NJ. on their point and click it's 2-4" in middlesex county.... though 1-3" in southern middlesex county. within east brunswick..... west side of town 2-4..... east side of town 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 the models have actually performed fairly well with this storm. for days its been a 2-4" event. has that changed much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Which is surprising because they don't mention any mixing in Western Monmouth so I'd think amounts would end up similar to Interior Middlesex/Mercer Western Monmouth county not gona mix tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 the models have actually performed fairly well with this storm. for days its been a 2-4" event. has that changed much? The evolution of the storm has changed. And yes the track too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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