blazess556 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 12z Euro ensembles were similar in track( maybe a tad further SE) but weaker in terms of strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I think what the reality is here...is that mostly all of the models give us nothing to 3". Lol....I'm sticking with my original call of 3-4" but it is becoming more of something I am HOPING for and less of something that would happen if this doesn't pan out in the best way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Let's hope we at least get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 It sounds as if the ECM ENS are still about the same on QPF as the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Well 2-4 inches will be good enough for sled riding and the most we got to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The coastal really zaps the moisture away from what would be a more northern stream system, we'd probably have a good 3-6"+ storm without that coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 18z NAM looks about the same on the surface reflection as the 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 So far 18z nam is .10+ of snow through 48. All from northern stream energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Going to have to watch for a inv through with this one. Perhaps help totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM doesn't look too bad. It will be nice to see some fresh powder thrown down in an all snow event..especially with cold temps afterward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Nam about .25 for all of us. All snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NAM doesn't look too bad. It will be nice to see some fresh powder thrown down in an all snow event..especially with cold temps afterward. It is a bit better this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Nam is cold also. Snow will stick and be powdery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Wife just got me LL Bean snowshoes for Xmas as we moved into Sussex County. Used them today and they're awesome (highly recommend if you like hiking). So the 2-4" of fresh powder will be appreciated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
readingaccount1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Nam about .25 for all of us. All snow For all of NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
readingaccount1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Upton's snowfall map is out. About 3 inches everywhere and 4 on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Upton's snowfall map is out. About 3 inches everywhere and 4 on the island. link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE- BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER- EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS- LOWER BUCKS- 338 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL SHOULD DEVELOP SATURDAY MORNING DUE TO SNOW FOR MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AS WELL AS FAR NORTHERN DELAWARE. THE SNOW SHOULD BEGIN NEAR OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK SATURDAY WITH SNOW TENDING TO DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON NON PAVED SURFACES SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES OVER MOST OF THIS AREA...POSSIBLY LESS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR PAVEMENTS WHERE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOVERING IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. AT THIS TIME WE THINK THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL LIE FROM NEAR READING PENNSYLVANIA TO JUST NORTH OF TRENTON NEW JERSEY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 link? http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
readingaccount1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 link? http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I'll take four solid inches and run w/ it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swataz Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Yanksfan27 beat me to the map! Yeah this is a decent, MANAGEABLE snowfall. I will take this over an 18" event any day. Granted, it is much more exciting to track and forecast the big dogs. Living through them as a homeowner, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 HPC seems bullish w/ their maps: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_04.gif http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_08.gif Even a 10% chance of 8"+ doesn't seem to go w/ any guidance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 HPC seems bullish w/ their maps: http://www.hpc.ncep....psnow_gt_04.gif http://www.hpc.ncep....psnow_gt_08.gif Even a 10% chance of 8"+ doesn't seem to go w/ any guidance... It covers all the bases just incase a more amplified solution verifies. Who's to say that the 00z Euro doesn't come back with another big solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 HPC seems bullish w/ their maps: http://www.hpc.ncep....psnow_gt_04.gif http://www.hpc.ncep....psnow_gt_08.gif Even a 10% chance of 8"+ doesn't seem to go w/ any guidance... Unless I'm reading it wrong, the HPC maps are giving us a 10% of 4"+ and 0% of 8"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Unless I'm reading it wrong, the HPC maps are giving us a 10% of 4"+ and 0% of 8"+ You're correct. I figured he was talking about the storm potential in general and not specifically about the NYC metro and or any one location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 You're correct. I figured he was talking about the storm potential in general and not specifically about the NYC metro and or any one location. Exactly --- I can't see 8" anywhere in that circle --- but I guess it does cover all bases.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 That was an awful tease last night... I wasn't expecting to see the ECM do that within the 72 hour range. At least a 2-4 inch snowfall is better than anything else so far this month, and for me personally since 1/21 this year since I was in Albany during the November snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 2-4" of powder is very underrated.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 That was an awful tease last night... I wasn't expecting to see the ECM do that within the 72 hour range. At least a 2-4 inch snowfall is better than anything else so far this month, and for me personally since 1/21 this year since I was in Albany during the November snowstorms. Always go with the pattern in these setups. It just didn't scream to me potential for a big one. Too many flies in the ointment. Wait until we have a block over western Greenland, or at least a decent ridge out West and then maybe we can talk. This pattern's just way too progressive for a big one unless timed perfectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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