PB GFI Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 You must be a medium! how much for a session? Free for u. I will start now. Ok done. I see nothing in ur future. Lol jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 The GEFS and Euro ensemble mean also shifted southeast. Ehhh, this event might be slipping away from us. Might b in a squeeze play here. Todays storm crushes pp west of us. Wknd system stays SE. Dont worry til euro tells u too worry. Forget US models. Totally useless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Might b in a squeeze play here. Todays storm crushes pp west of us. Wknd system stays SE. Dont worry til euro tells u too worry. Forget US models. Totally useless Yes because Euro is the god of all models and we should believe everything it shows us and disregard every other model out there. Debby was a fun storm. Ensembles are the way to go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Might b in a squeeze play here. Todays storm crushes pp west of us. Wknd system stays SE. Dont worry til euro tells u too worry. Forget US models. Totally useless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Yes because Euro is the god of all models and we should believe everything it shows us and disregard every other model out there. Debby was a fun storm. Ensembles are the way to go... Do you hav any idea what the Euro Ensembles showed for this storm while all the operational models showed a storm to Madison Wisc 9 days ago ? Do you hav any ides what the Euro showed 2 days ago on the east coast 850 wise - while all the American models showed mixing all the way to Albany ? You sound silly . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 SREF is extremely juiced up with this system, with areas of. 75+ over Virginia and headed in our general direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I ride the Euro . Ensembles been killing US models last few weeks . Go with them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Do you hav any idea what the Euro Ensembles showed for this storm while all the operational models showed a storm to Madison Wisc 9 days ago ? Do you hav any ides what the Euro showed 2 days ago on the east coast 850 wise - while all the American models showed mixing all the way to Albany ? You sound silly . You sound silly saying that we should believe the Euro and completely forget other models. "Don't worry til the Euro tells you to". LOL, what a joke. The euro is a better model than the american models. Relax man, it's a computer model. We all know the GFS handled today's storm terribly. But lets not become fanboys of models. That's why Ensembles are the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 The GEFS and Euro ensemble mean also shifted southeast. Ehhh, this event might be slipping away from us. doesnt look great right now...not sure there is enough spacing between the systems for the second to amplify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 doesnt look great right now...not sure there is enough spacing between the systems for the second to amplify Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 You sound silly saying that we should believe the Euro and completely forget other models. "Don't worry til the Euro tells you to". LOL, what a joke. The euro is a better model than the american models. Relax man, it's a computer model. We all know the GFS handled this storm terribly. But lets not become fanboys of models. That's why Ensembles are the way to go. Cant have a normal convo with pp that live in Brightwaters I know it frustrating living there . The Euro ensembles destroyed the GFS for a week and NAM ( 36 HRS OUT ) its actual purpose . Tell me the last time the GFS beat the Euro in verification scoring , The GFS has the same errors for every storm . Runs Big east coast storms to your South and East , Congers up fantasy snowstorms 288 and beyond , and dumps the trof the east in every long term . its laughable So by your logic dont follow any model - just stick ur thumb out the window and you let us know the weather ok . keep me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Cant have a normal convo with pp that live in Brightwaters I know it frustrating living there . The Euro ensembles destroyed the GFS for a week and NAM ( 36 HRS OUT ) its actual purpose . Tell me the last time the GFS beat the Euro in verification scoring , The GFS has the same errors for every storm . Runs Big east coast storms to your South and East , Congers up fantasy snowstorms 288 and beyond , and dumps the trof the east in every long term . its laughable So by your logic dont follow any model - just stick ur thumb out the window and you let us know the weather ok . keep me up Oh god...I dislike Brightwaters people too! Good thing I don't live there. But I think you are missing the point. While you're ranting over how the Euro is better than the GFS, which I believe it is, you're sitting there thinking that I believe the GFS is better. It's not. Calm down dude. I'm not saying we shouldn't follow any model. We should look at ensembles, and other models other than the overrated OP Euro and inaccurate OP GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Oh god...I dislike Brightwaters people too! Good thing I don't live there. But I think you are missing the point. While you're ranting over how the Euro is better than the GFS, which I believe it is, you're sitting there thinking that I believe the GFS is better. It's not. Calm down dude. I'm not saying we shouldn't follow any model. We should look at ensembles, and other models other than the overrated OP Euro and inaccurate OP GFS. Thats exactly what i said to ANT go with the Euro ensembles - so we agree - why we arguing ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Thats exactly what i said to ANT go with the Euro ensembles - so we agree - why we arguing ? I don't know, I said ensembles were the way to go in my first post to you. We agree so lets end it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Thats exactly what i said to ANT go with the Euro ensembles - so we agree - why we arguing ? Euro ensembles are still too far offshore but it would throw back a light snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Euro ensembles are still too far offshore but it would throw back a light snow event. so far , TheTrof crashing into west coast - kills the system for us . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 so far , TheTrof crashing into west coast - kills the system for us . A trof into the west? The PNA is going to be positive. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 9z SREF members. Some of them are amped up. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_9z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 9z SREF members. Some of them are amped up. http://www.meteo.psu...z/srefloop.html Most of the amped up members show rain for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 12z GFS has a light snow event for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 SREFs aside since they usually blow at this range this continues to be a threat, not likely to be any sort of monster storm but it could some people close to December normals if it happened. The GFS still showing a more amplified solution inside 4 days makes it harder to discount. Also the NOGAPS is not missing terribly wide right on its last several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 SREFs aside since they usually blow at this range this continues to be a threat, not likely to be any sort of monster storm but it could some people close to December normals if it happened. The GFS still showing a more amplified solution inside 4 days makes it harder to discount. Also the NOGAPS is not missing terribly wide right on its last several runs. We just hope we can get something on the coast with this system..you would think with this setup we should get at least a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 12z GFS has a light snow event for this weekend. if we are lucky - still has the feel of 11/12 - stronger storms too far inland with mainly liquid here and then misses to the south and east when the cold enough air is in place...........and longer range model nonsense........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 if we are lucky - still has the feel of 11/12 - stronger storms too far inland with mainly liquid here and then misses to the south and east when the cold enough air is in place...........and longer range model nonsense........ Are you serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Are you serious? yes - why what do you think will happen ? Doesn't feel like 11/12 to you ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 yes - why what do you think will happen ? Doesn't feel like 11/12 to you ? it wont be as bad as last winter, but it will be nothing to write home about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 GGEM is further north with the precip. Light to moderate snow event. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html it wont be as bad as last winter, but it will be nothing to write home about. Stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Are you serious? you need to get real - december has been several degrees above normal - trace to an inch of snow - rain later today and models busting past 5 - 7 days for the last month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 GFS ensemble mean looks good http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/12zgfsensemblep12084.gif you need to get real - december has been several degrees above normal - trace to an inch of snow - rain later today and models busting past 5 - 7 days for the last month So winter cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 GGEM is further north with the precip. Light to moderate snow event. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Stop stop what? Do i get to say that to you every time your model analysis is atrocious? If not, then dont tell me to "stop" when I make a innocuous about the rest of the winter. Which I will be correct about, in retrospect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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