MJO812 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 On 12/26/2012 at 10:41 PM, Allsnow said: Euro ensembles are secys. A nice 2-4/3-6 would be great. Gefs are similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Euro ensembles, GEFS, and SREF are pretty encouraging. The GFS has been trending better since 00z last night. As bluewave alluded to above, we are very close to seeing some better solutions appear on the models if things can become a little more organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 thru 54 hours NAM looks to be further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 and a complete miss as well...BTW, recent SREF's were a bit less optimistic as well. On 12/27/2012 at 2:36 AM, allgame830 said: thru 54 hours NAM looks to be further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermd Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 2:42 AM, Storm At Sea said: and a complete miss as well...BTW, recent SREF's were a bit less optimistic as well. Great because they were really good today from 12 hours out So a lock at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 2:36 AM, allgame830 said: thru 54 hours NAM looks to be further north Everything with the trough was aligned much better through that time but then nothing else came of it, it did seem alot better though at 54 then the 12Z run was at 66 hours. Still outside the NAM range but with the system now about to come ashore we better see the globals or GFS at least hold or come closer tonight and at 12z tomorrow....FYI the 21Z old ETA looks alot like the the GFS has and is closer than the Euro. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ETAEAST_0z/etaloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Very heavy rain here in Westbury. 37 degrees now. So close to the wintry weather but not close enough. Perhaps the next storm brings more white than wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 21z SREF isn't bad. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/sref/21zsrefp24_NE087.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCsnow17 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 3:28 AM, Snow88 said: 21z SREF isn't bad. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/sref/21zsrefp24_NE087.gif Nothing wrong with a light snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Hr 57 gfs is a lot more robust with qpf then 18z in Ohio valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Hr 63 light snow moving into area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Hr 66 nice accumulating snow falling 1008 over obx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Hr 69 1004 75 miles east of Delmarva still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Nice moderate snowfall on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Never 72 snow moving out. 1004 east of Nj shore. Looks like a 2-4 or 3-6 type event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Gfs on the ncep is stuck for some reason, anybody experiencing the same?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 3:52 AM, patrick05 said: Gfs on the ncep is stuck for some reason, anybody experiencing the same?? I'm on sv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 3:55 AM, Snow88 said: lol 2-/ 3-6 inch event. Now if the northern stream drops in quicker, this storm can be bigger. My question is if this baby is a Miller A why does it need a phase for us to get bombed"? The long trip loading up on misture and inside BM should be enough shouldnt it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The lack of QPF is somewhat odd to me, but all the models have been consistent on that, the system is not a bomb by any means but usually lows in that position are a bit juicier than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Ukmet has a bomb just east of the benchmark. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Gfs 3 inches from NYC-west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 0z Ukie is beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The RGEM looks just like the GFS at 48 at the surface more or less....snow and mixed precip into parts of central-southern Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
readingaccount1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:09 AM, SnowGoose69 said: The lack of QPF is somewhat odd to me, but all the models have been consistent on that, the system is not a bomb by any means but usually lows in that position are a bit juicier than that. Given the overall trends today, the foreign models seem to have more liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:13 AM, CooL said: Ukmet has a bomb just east of the benchmark. Wow When would this affect NYC metro if it materializes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:16 AM, readingaccount1 said: Given the overall trends today, the foreign models seem to have more liquid. the euro had very little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:19 AM, green tube said: the euro had very little The Euro might be getting impacted by its usual tendency to try to cut stuff off in the southwest, we'll see soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:18 AM, patrick05 said: LI please?? None on that map...you might have bl problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Lee Goldberg on ABC 7 just said Saturdays event does not look major but maybe something to shovel NYC on east. Sounds like a 2-4 or 3-5 event according to him. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 On 12/27/2012 at 4:21 AM, Allsnow said: None on that map...you might have bl problems No, its just the usual models inability to handle the evaporative cooling factor in the boundary layer...KISP is 32/26 when the precip moves in...surface winds are SW initially but very light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.