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Last minute wind contest for 12/22/12


Ian

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Predict the peak gusts at the following:

DCA

IAD

BWI

RIC

Tiebreaker (if you wish).. High at DCA

Closest overall departure (added departures from each) wins.

You can edit thru close.

Example:

DCA - 29mph

IAD - 74mph

BWI - 2mph

RIC - 10mph

DCA high: 25

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here are the numbers. assuming rodney's 32 for the hi was an error. if you see before like 9 am and want to change go for it if others dont care. i doubt it will come to the tiebreaker anyway. hopefully everyone put their numbers in using original order as i didn't look that close.. lemme know if i messed up your entry.

post-1615-0-96351700-1356157265_thumb.jp

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here are the numbers. assuming rodney's 32 for the hi was an error. if you see before like 9 am and want to change go for it if others dont care. i doubt it will come to the tiebreaker anyway. hopefully everyone put their numbers in using original order as i didn't look that close.. lemme know if i messed up your entry.

post-1615-0-96351700-1356157265_thumb.jp

Not that it much matters, as I went too conservative, but in hastily submitting my entry I thought the tie-breaker was the high sustained wind at DCA, rather than the high temperature.

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Looks like:

DCA: 43

IAD: 51

BWI: 44

RIC: 33

everyone but iad busted low. ;)

wonder what made nws hoist warnings..

looks like it's bob chill and nw balti in a tie if those are right.. i think. i'll wait till climo is out.

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All the numbers from MN were right except RIC which reported 38 in climo.

I must have set up the table weird when I try to sort by rank it breaks the equations that get the numbers. So, I added numbers for ranks.

Top 3:

Bob Chill (5) -- even if your storm sucks at least your forecast here didnt

WxUSAF (7)

Aviationdave (8)

Hopefully I didn't screw up, feel free to check. :P

post-1615-0-50156600-1356219342_thumb.jp

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All the numbers from MN were right except RIC which reported 38 in climo.

I must have set up the table weird when I try to sort by rank it breaks the equations that get the numbers. So, I added numbers for ranks.

Top 3:

Bob Chill (5) -- even if your storm sucks at least your forecast here didnt

WxUSAF (7)

Aviationdave (8)

Hopefully I didn't screw up, feel free to check. :P

post-1615-0-50156600-1356219342_thumb.jp

Congratulations, Bob. I thought that my one consolation of using the ill-conceived 40-40-40 metro area strategy was that I had nailed Richmond -- instead I find that a rogue gust measured 5 mph higher than the highest hourly reading. :axe:

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