WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Post discussion here. If anybody objects, mods delete thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm still thinking we may see a little snow tomorrow morning. 0Z GFS agrees with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 The Christmas Eve storm still viable (for the moment). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:00 AM, zwyts said: Christmas eve still there...and wet...looks like legit frozen chances for NW burbs I'm liking the stronger solution ala 18z, but hoping that 50/50 doesn't do us in w/suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:02 AM, mitchnick said: I'm liking the stronger solution ala 18z, but hoping that 50/50 doesn't do us in w/suppression As soon as I saw it, I wondered the same thing Mitch. Of course, this is still only a modeled solution, not reality. It is getting closer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Yes. Xmas storm a lot wetter. Looks like a decent hit for NOVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:05 AM, clskinsfan said: Yes. Xmas storm a lot wetter. Looks like a decent hit for NOVA surprisingly, the surface temps are not raging either east of the mts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:05 AM, clskinsfan said: Yes. Xmas storm a lot wetter. Looks like a decent hit for NOVA Yes, it would be. All of NOVA, if it happens as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:09 AM, zwyts said: ok...GFS off crack now...18z now a memory Yoh see it early don't you? Any hints? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 yea apps runner this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:12 AM, mitchnick said: on a diff note, sleet (hail?) falling here now weird stuff obs thread.. not sleet ahead of the front. could be hail i suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:13 AM, Midlo Snow Maker said: yea apps runner this run Western side of the apps at that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:14 AM, zwyts said: Really interesting for MRB/Winchester, HGR etc i think those places have been more or less in the game for a few runs of the euro etc., so makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Thing is...this evolution as modeled is still pretty close to where we want it to be. If it wrapped up just a smidge later, we'd be golden. And, as we've seen between 18z and 0z, relatively minor differences at 500 have a huge impact on where and how this thing wraps up and gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:14 AM, zwyts said: Really interesting for MRB/Winchester, HGR etc Transfer to the coast is complete at 144. Mouth of the Chesapeake. That track works very well for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 hey, if we can get some snow/mix on Christmas around here, I'll deal with the after Christmas event 1 way or another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:13 AM, zwyts said: it is a fun solution for far western burbs... Snow to ice down my way-- with that set up, I doubt I'd flip to rain. Give me an inch of sleet/slush to pull the kids in the sled and I'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 So far this GFS run is awesome. Christmas miracle, followed by sig winter weather event. Hoping the Euro comes on board later, for both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 ughh, I don't know if any of the people at NCEP that work on their model website post here, but if they do, might I suggest you post less and get the site to freakin' work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 In the valley, we usually do fairly well with CAD events. I'm cautiously optimistic, but getting pretty happy with how Christmas evening looks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:18 AM, zwyts said: you get nailed with a potpourri of wintry weather Yeah, fun solution. Still in fantasy range. I'm becoming more interested in the 12/24 event. At least its inside of 96 now and trending better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The DT storm is really close for all of NOVA. 50 miles south and we are golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 looks to be a great run for Wilkes Barre, PA, my destination if I'm out of it and something close to this run holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 most of pa. 18", wva panhandle does well too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 Go check out the clown map at 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:20 AM, clskinsfan said: The DT storm is really close for all of NOVA. 50 miles south and we are golden. On this run, you're golden now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:21 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: On this run, you're golden now. Yes. We would do well. But I would like everyone to be in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 On 12/21/2012 at 4:23 AM, clskinsfan said: Yes. We would do well. But I would like everyone to be in the game. I think the combo of both storms would have everyone doing well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I think most of us would be happy with this outcome. Through 150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Basically this is close to the solution we want. Something similar to this, just 75-100 miles east, and we'd be golden. Drive that primary up just south of Roanaoke or so instead of Eastern Kentucky, with similar dynamics...and it would be game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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