franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GFS ensemble mean is over Johnson city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Franklinwx....keep honking the Canadian model. A few years back it was showing an event for us when all other models pretty much were not and you kept honking it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 hearing the Euro is way NW...not good at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 12z euro is just west of the apps. The models appear to be locked into this solution....Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:18 PM, rduwx said: 12z euro is just west of the apps. The models appear to be locked into this solution....Next. This! On to the New Years storm!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmundie Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The euro is almost exactly where it's been for te past 48 hours. This was never ever a southeast storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 5:40 PM, MotoWeatherman said: Franklinwx....keep honking the Canadian model. A few years back it was showing an event for us when all other models pretty much were not and you kept honking it. Yeah, I remember that one. Winter of 09-10, It would be nice to see it score again, but I have my doubts. Ukie came north and it now has the low over your house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Its game, set and match.....Snow lovers, I am sorry....If your in N MS and W TN it will be snowy, elsewhere possible SVR! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 You better start thinking about Severe Potential more than snow for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:26 PM, deltadog03 said: Its game, set and match.....Snow lovers, I am sorry....If your in N MS and W TN it will be snowy, elsewhere possible SVR! Does it still transfer the low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:27 PM, franklin NCwx said: Does it still transfer the low? Somewhat...yes.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Euro also trending warmer in the wake of this storm -- Charlotte +6C on the 29th. Surface low on Day 7 over Wisc./Ill border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:26 PM, deltadog03 said: Its game, set and match.....Snow lovers, I am sorry....If your in N MS and W TN it will be snowy, elsewhere possible SVR! Exactly. I got lambasted for saying that and I'm not a red tag. The main models are in a lock. They are no longer trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALhurricane Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:26 PM, deltadog03 said: Its game, set and match.....Snow lovers, I am sorry....If your in N MS and W TN it will be snowy, elsewhere possible SVR! Where is the surface low at 00z Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Nobody talking about Euro Day 7-8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 4:31 PM, burgertime said: It's marginal but might be a close call for I-40 north with that second one. I wanna see what the one coming behind it will do, that's going to be the one to watch for. Ugh!....unfortunately this is rapidly becoming the theme for winter 2012-2013. Still a long way to go though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'm still holding out for the hope of token flakes on Wednesday across north GA as the low bombs out just to my north and wraps a nice cold core around the south side of the upper low. Euro looks almost exactly the same as yesterday's 12z run. Personally I don't think this thing is nailed down yet by the models. My hunch is this will trend further north but I hope I'm wrong about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Euro making a big deal out of the Dec 30th storm...I'm starting to think we have a lot of potential there for the North Carolina Mountains and Foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 7:03 PM, BIG FROSTY said: My guess by the silence it is horrible!!! I wish somebody would chime in and tell us how bad it was... Well...if you look at the daily frames, it goes from 1008 mb in Southern GA to a sub 980 near Boston...that would imply a Miller-A going roughly up I-95. I noticed at 168 the 850 temps in WNC were +2 to +3...being 7 days away, that is definitely fixable. My question is...what occurs in-between? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 7:06 PM, Marion_NC_WX said: Well...if you look at the daily frames, it goes from 1008 mb in Southern GA to a sub 980 near Boston...that would imply a Miller-A going roughly up I-95. I noticed at 168 the 850 temps in WNC were +2 to +3...being 7 days away, that is definitely fixable. My question is...what occurs in-between? Yes that is definitely fixable! How's does it look beyond 30th? Does it still have the cold coming? 10 days out? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 7:11 PM, BIG FROSTY said: Yes that is definitely fixable! How's does it look beyond 30th? Does it still have the cold coming? 10 days out? lol Cold enough for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:26 PM, deltadog03 said: Its game, set and match.....Snow lovers, I am sorry....If your in N MS and W TN it will be snowy, elsewhere possible SVR! Doesn't look great right now for us, either. NW TN, yes... SW TN and N MS.... not so much. Sent from my Milestone X 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 7:11 PM, BIG FROSTY said: Yes that is definitely fixable! How's does it look beyond 30th? Does it still have the cold coming? 10 days out? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:42 PM, deltadog03 said: Somewhat...yes.... I have never seen a low transfer inland. Every miller B I have seen jumps to the coast. The euro might just bomb this out in the Ohio valley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 7:20 PM, franklin NCwx said: I have never seen a low transfer inland. Every miller B I have seen jumps to the coast. The euro might just bomb this out in the Ohio valley! That cold map will work! Thanks for posting it.... DT says it still shows starting as some ICE in nw NC? This current or Saturday afternoon run of the European model is about the same as what we saw early Saturday morning at 1am ( the 0z run). It is not quite as warm as the operational or regular GFS but it is very close to the GFS ENSEMBLE. It still looks like it still looks like the majority the precipitation starts and as ICE over western and nw NC western and central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:49 PM, ALhurricane said: Where is the surface low at 00z Wednesday? Hey stranger...lol Its on the MS river about to move through central MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsmwhrms Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 6:49 PM, ALhurricane said: Where is the surface low at 00z Wednesday? According to this pro site I am looking at, at 00Z 12/26 it is centered right over the point where AR, LA and MS meet as a 995 mb low. By 06Z it's 993 mb centered over the MS/TN/AL meeting point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Glancing through, this appears to be the coldest 6 hour position of 2M temps while precip is occurring in the damming areas on the 12z Euro. Again, this is verbatim, but this is what it shows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Any mention of the cmc and ggem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 On 12/22/2012 at 8:14 PM, msuwx said: Glancing through, this appears to be the coldest 6 hour position of 2M temps while precip is occurring in the damming areas on the 12z Euro. Again, this is verbatim, but this is what it shows... So much for Ice threat on that map!!! Hope it's to warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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