sauss06 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Bah, CTP has us in the "no accumulation" grid now. Oh we'll, excited for you northerners! don't give up yet.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I wonder if the heavier accumulation of snow will shift southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 I suspect that no one has a clue to what is going to happen, but something is going to happen. tv weather dude Joe Snedeker hasn't been all that informative. My htought is that we get a lot of snow with a bit of ice for wednesday into thursday I still personally won't believe in a major snowfall until it happens with the way the Wyoming Valley is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Anyone see the latest AccuWx map? DT is more bullish than they are... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Hahaha...not that it is remotely right, but NAM snow map has a .5 inch to 11 inch gradient for York county . .5 inch southeast moving northwest to 11 inches.unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Hahaha...not that it is remotely right, but NAM snow map has a .5 inch to 11 inch gradient for York county . .5 inch southeast moving northwest to 11 inches.unreal It's still just a model... Not a crystal ball, but the trend is our friend! Xmas miracle nudge to the southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 God damnit, do you really need to have the Ollie Williams avatar right now? CHANGE IT!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 LOL. literally laughed my coffee out. changing it in the spirit of the season of giving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 God damnit, do you really need to have the Ollie Williams avatar right now? CHANGE IT!!!! In other news, the NAM is a positive trend but still out in lol range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 In other news, the NAM is a positive trend but still out in lol range. I think its time for a Randy visit for you and Beth. I'm jus sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 In a more somber note: 2 firefighters were shot to death battling a blaze in New York. When I saw the headline I thought it was a very odd and very late synopsis of "American History X", but not to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I think its time for a Randy visit for you and Beth. I'm jus sayin I ain't gonna spike the ball on this one. It could bust horribly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 God damnit, do you really need to have the Ollie Williams avatar right now? CHANGE IT!!!! +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 God damnit, do you really need to have the Ollie Williams avatar right now? CHANGE IT!!!! Your 2012 Winner of the Internet, ladies and gentlemen ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I can't tell if it's east or whatever, but the GFS appears to be great for up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I think its time for a Randy visit for you and Beth. I'm jus sayin You just want to see it snow...admit it Randy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 GFS appears south/east a bit. And colder. We have a trend, maybe enough to give MDT a 2-3" dump before 850s win out. Jamie you look golden, all the way to Williamsport and up to Scranton. The UKMET mirrors this trend according to the PHL thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Pretty amazing that just 12 hours ago most of us were ready to throw in the towel, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I can't tell if it's east or whatever, but the GFS appears to be great for up here. Dt , henry & JB snow maps are all looking good for our area...can we pull this out??? I tried to post the other maps but it ( the forum ) wouldnt allow me?? The HPC has the best snow N / NW of us.. accuweather.com http://www.accuweath...weather/3114006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Look closely at the 850/700mb lows-if they stay south/east of you, you're much more likely to stay snow, but if they go to your north/west, you're likely to change over to sleet because mid level warm air wins out. In my time in State College we got burned with that many times (2/14/07 being the most blatant), but hopefully this time you all cash in!! One positive as well is that the precip seems well out ahead of the mid level warmth, so hopefully a lot of it is done before any possible change over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 I'm more uneasy about this being ultimately an elevation event....e.g. mountains significant snow, valleys <4" before rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I'm more uneasy about this being ultimately an elevation event....e.g. mountains significant snow, valleys <4" before rain... There should be a good amount of CAD drainage-look at the bending isobars. I don't think right now that many people outside the lower Susquehanna Valley see rain. Sleet/ZR I would be more worried about, or a later transfer bringing in more mid level warmth. In storms like this I almost ignore the surface low track and focus on the mid level lows instead for central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 An ultimatum to the models: Make it so (snow) for all, or we bring "Boxing Day" to America in grand style... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 MAG or someone can confirm, but eyeballing Euro it looks great. MDT gets around .8 frozen, UNV/IPT both around 1.5 all snow it appears. I am looking at AccuWx pro text but don't know about the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I'm an idiot but it (EURO) looks colder to me as well Jamie. I can't read it to see frozen precip, but it indeed appears colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I'm an idiot but it (EURO) looks colder to me as well Jamie. I can't read it to see frozen precip, but it indeed appears colder. Heh, feel the same way. It seems better for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Woah the 12/30 storm hits nearly all of CPA with snow, UNV looks like a jackpot maybe even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Starting to snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 BTW, once again, the Euro absolutely owned the GFS. Euro basically locked in on this 3 days ago, and didn't budge while the GFS flailed around like a fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 tombo says MDT 4-6", LNS 1-2" from Euro run fwiw. Most expect the cooling trend to continue a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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