WmsptWx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Looks better...but not good. Are you the guy from Eastern US Wx forums who everyone dogpiled for being negative or silly? Ja? Ji? Something like that? You seem the same as them, as I recall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 That region is boring, for the sx stuff you gotta go an hour and a half north toward Lufkin to get into it. I've been to Lufkin, and its a whole different world up there! The scenary and weather. If I can get some time this spring, I plan on making a few storm chases when the conditions are ripe! Hill country is mighty pretty, but nothing beats home I'm enjoying the nice "winter" weather here though, it really does resemble PA's fall, and fall is my 2nd favorite season. TX seasons vs PA Summer...Furnance...Summer..Fall Winter(what spring?)...Summer...Fall...Winter Potter, I am heading to Wellsville, NY to see the relatives on Wednesday. Look to be in a pretty good spot. Trying to leave early from Pittsburgh on Wednesday to stay ahead of it. I will try to post from there because I know it is not too far North from your stomping ground. Yeppp, Wellsville is a hop skip and a jump over the hill. Please do post about the storm, will be looking forward to yours and others observations!! Have a merry Christmas guys, and happy holidays to all. My best wishes to the CPA gang from deep south TX! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Man, you Central PA guys sure are quiet. The new GFS is a pretty good hit for a lot of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 No we are separate entities. I am not being negative, just stating the nam...as is, was not good for significant snow for Central PA. At this point I will just let mag do the talking...the guy is good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Man, you Central PA guys sure are quiet. The new GFS is a pretty good hit for a lot of you. Haven't seen it, what's it showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Haven't seen it, what's it showing? GFS clown map was posted in the PIttsburgh thread. Lots of 6-8 inch totals in central PA. I'll post it over here for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Here you go. I would imagine a few of you do well with this. Williamsport, who has been calling doom and gloom more than anyone, gets clocked on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 lol, like I said Friday, now that I'm out of C PA, watch them get the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Here you go. I would imagine a few of you do well with this. Thanks. Things are trending better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj88 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Hi all.. I usually keep my mouth shut and let the posting to people who know what they are talking about lol. But I am learning a lot.. One question I do have and I know it has not been mentioned in this storm is what exactly is the "benchmark" just curious.. I know that term is used a lot with coastal storms.. Thanks and marry christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Benchmark is the 40n 70w coordinate I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 The 00Z run isn't a true west of the apps cutter this go around, more of a slider. The angle of approach would def change up my snowmap some, but I do like the general idea so far, except all areas north of I-80 in PA look good this run. Hopefully the next round of models continue the consistency in bringing more snow to all the PA folk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Williamsport, who has been calling doom and gloom more than anyone, gets clocked on this run. A twist of strage irony...isn't it? The biggest Negative Nancy since Colin, and he might end up with the most snow...if this run verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Well this storm is nothing for York,Lancaster. NEXT, week wasted. Good luck everybody else, pretty much same people who have already seen snow this winter. Hell been over a year since last inch. Good luck people, Merry Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 Well this storm is nothing for York,Lancaster. NEXT, week wasted. Good luck everybody else, pretty much same people who have already seen snow this winter. Hell been over a year since last inch. Good luck people, Merry Christmas Now you know how those of us north of 80 felt in 2009-10 when you guys were getting 20"+ while we were getting flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Cumberland, Dauphin, York and Lancaster counties still have a shot at a decent event. If Euo moves east it'll possibly be close to a warning level event for many in those counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 lol true psu! btw sorry guys I will just wait and see what happens and save space for guys like mag 2 give us substantive update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Just got in, nice to see GFS starting to try to get back to where it was a few days ago with regards to the frozen precip. Got Euro text data rolling currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Euro text looks good for the PIT gang as well as JST, AOO, UNV, IPT, and AVP (Scranton). Places like Altoona and Scranton do warm above 0 at 850 (stays freezing at surface) for one frame but thats after damage is done in the form of over an inch QPF that is probably snow. PIT is pushing an inch of QPF all snow and IPT has like 1.4" QPF total all snow (or as wsptwx would call it, 2-4 and a mix haha). Sadly, our Lower Sus Valley gang still is in the toaster with York/Lancaster mainly liquid and just perhaps a brief mix over to rain for Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Euro text looks good for the PIT gang as well as JST, AOO, UNV, IPT, and AVP (Scranton). Places like Altoona and Scranton do warm above 0 at 850 (stays freezing at surface) for one frame but thats after damage is done in the form of over an inch QPF that is probably snow. PIT is pushing an inch of QPF all snow and IPT has like 1.4" QPF total all snow (or as wsptwx would call it, 2-4 and a mix haha). Sadly, our Lower Sus Valley gang still is in the toaster with York/Lancaster mainly liquid and just perhaps a brief mix over to rain for Harrisburg. Any idea when you think it starts around Pittsburgh? I am driving north on Wed morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 Thank you MAG for continually providing ECM updates. Now to hope it wins the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Wunderground snow maps shows 8-12 along and north of I-80 including KUNV and Scranton before a change to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Any idea when you think it starts around Pittsburgh? I am driving north on Wed morning. GFS and Euro seem to get precip to Pittsburgh between 12z and 18z (7am-1pm), so likely mid-late morning as it looks right now. So you'd probably be good if you left fairly early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 per wunderground the snow/no snow line generally is Allentown-Reading-Ephrata-York. Heaviest snows generally Central PA mountains through Scranton and north. one three hour window Wednesday evening on snow. Congrats Williamsport. ...copied from Philly storm thread exclusively for wmsptwx! (I don't know how to automatically make the graphic display inside this post---lol) *********************If this verifies for you, no more negative comments for the entire winter!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Ugh. It looks like I'm literally going to be on the border with this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I suspect that no one has a clue to what is going to happen, but something is going to happen. tv weather dude Joe Snedeker hasn't been all that informative. My htought is that we get a lot of snow with a bit of ice for wednesday into thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Ugh. It looks like I'm literally going to be on the border with this one... I'm hoping one more tick SE on the 12Z runs gives us a little front end love before the changeover for 27th storm. With the trends of the Christmas storm still occurring inside 24hrs, I think it fair to say that its a possibility. CAD is one of the few things that the models often underplay here in SC PA and while I'll be in Lancaster for the storm, we are headed to the cabin (Gaines in Tioga) on Thursday morning. Snomobiles, smokepoles and snowplows ready.. WMSPTWX be ready....I'm going to drive by your house and me and my family are going to snowball you on our way through town. I hope this turns your frown upsiddown. Merry Christmas all!! Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Euro text looks good for the PIT gang as well as JST, AOO, UNV, IPT, and AVP (Scranton). Places like Altoona and Scranton do warm above 0 at 850 (stays freezing at surface) for one frame but thats after damage is done in the form of over an inch QPF that is probably snow. PIT is pushing an inch of QPF all snow and IPT has like 1.4" QPF total all snow (or as wsptwx would call it, 2-4 and a mix haha). Sadly, our Lower Sus Valley gang still is in the toaster with York/Lancaster mainly liquid and just perhaps a brief mix over to rain for Harrisburg. It's a complicated storm, and it appears that I'm in a questionable area so I really HATE to play the how "How much for Philly" card, but what does this look like for a little talked about area (Eastern Schuylkill County) in this forum? As depicted on most model maps, my location goes more the way of HBG, RDG, and ABE. Some snow at the start, then going to sleet/freezing rain, and eventually all rain. Would a safe bet be a 1-4 inch accumulation before the slop fest begins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I suspect that no one has a clue to what is going to happen, but something is going to happen. tv weather dude Joe Snedeker hasn't been all that informative. My htought is that we get a lot of snow with a bit of ice for wednesday into thursday if he's not saying much that means its gonna snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Bah, CTP has us in the "no accumulation" grid now. Oh we'll, excited for you northerners! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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