NortheastPAWx Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 Going to be wrong ^ they didn't account for the Tamaqua Dry Slot of Doom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I smell overachiever with this event for the folks that end up matching the best QPF with the best snow growth (omega). Ratios will be better than the last storm (>10:1). There was a PNS report from Altoona that had 0.8 melted out of 7.2 inches of snow (9:1) out of this last event, for imstance. We could see up to 14-15:1 further north and perhaps in the Laurels with the more standard 10-12:1 elsewhere. I bet there will be a couple spots with 6 or 7 inches within the general area wide 3-4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Lol, 12/28 last year vs 12/28 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Lol, 12/28 last year vs 12/28 this year. what a difference a year makes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Wow. 18z nam is very wet. If we can get good ratios someone may see 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 28, 2012 Author Share Posted December 28, 2012 NAM leaves a .56" bullseye in south-central PA. Decent .50"+ area, everyone else .25"+ Good part of I99 in the .50"+ area by hr33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 NAM leaves a .56" bullseye in south-central PA. Decent .50"+ area, everyone else .25"+ Yea. I think someone is going to get a surprise 6 or 7 inches from this. Going to be a nice little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Wow. 18z nam is very wet. If we can get good ratios someone may see 6 inches. So, so, so many jokes ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 what is ipt looking at? .25 total precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 So, so, so many jokes ... Lol Woops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 So, so, so many jokes ... Lol Woops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 i see they upped the totals in the wwa PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-027-028-037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-290330- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0021.121229T1100Z-121230T0000Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-TIOGA- NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING- UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN- SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD...COUDERSPORT... ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD... PHILIPSBURG...STATE COLLEGE...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN... MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO...LAPORTE...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT... LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN... BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY... POTTSVILLE...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 219 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY. IT WILL START JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY...AND BY MID-MORNING IN THE NORTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS. * IMPACTS...SLOWED TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Be interesting to see what Canadian / GFS guidance paints in a few hours and then again with the 00z stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 they were just talking about possible higher totals in this accuweather video as well. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/get-ready-another-snowstorm-for-the-east/937434192001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Any gfs nam precip amount? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Boy is it dead in here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 grrr TWC named this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 lol those intense 2 to 4 inch storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Any gfs nam precip amount? Find them here: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=namm&site=kunv Just type in your location - that's set for UNV. Also, pay attention to time on the first line to make sure the model has updated, since they have the same link for 06/18 and 00/12. UNV is slated for around 6 on that. Not sure how good the snow ratios and precip types are with that.Seems to over do mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Go nam lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Remember kids, this is a progressive storm in a La Nada season. Cherish every flake and be happy with what you get over the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Im expecting an inch or two.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I got a feeling that someone between Rt. 30 and Mason-Dixon is going to get a 5" or 6" amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm certainly hoping so, any concerns with this apparent hole in the radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 So, so, so many jokes ... You had a chance, right there in your grasp at 3:39 PM to take the post of the year and "win the internet" while I was occupied for the next 6 hours and you just handed off to an empty backfield. You lack killer instinct. I am disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 NAM's pretty much the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 There appear to be 3 large "holes" in this system. What are the chances this gets ripped to **** after the climb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I'm certainly hoping so, any concerns with this apparent hole in the radar? Seems to be filling in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 There appear to be 3 large "holes" in this system. What are the chances this gets ripped to **** after the climb? Radar is appearing wetter than was modeled at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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