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Central PA - 2012 wanes


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First off.. Merry Christmas everyone!

Alright, here's my first call map (and probably last call) for this storm. Generic categories of 1-3, 3-6, 6-10, and 10-14. Thought about actually bumping up these categories but I'm not gonna get crazy. SW and SE PA are my big question marks as slight shifts in the track and under or over forecasted warming of the thermal layers could screw up amounts either way. More minor concerns about timing of the handoff and potential to cut QPF some.

Basically, my 6 inch line that traverses PA is the dividing line of where I think mostly snow and significant mixing occurs. There certainly could be sleet issues in places like AOO, UNV, and IPT.. but I think bulk of precip stays snow. The 3-6 zone would see much more of a mixed bag of precip perhaps turning to rain (esp far southeast). Southern Laurels in Somerset county as well as the south central mountains might see a good bit of freezing rain. As for northern PA, someone needs to get Potter a plane ticket ASAP.

post-1507-0-40234000-1356420207_thumb.gi

Hahaha! I'm insanely jealous, and of course I would miss the big one, never fails :) Even if someone bought me a plane ticket, one would have to convince my boss! My final thinking is very similar to your map, but either way, many snowlovers in CPA will be in their glory that is for sure. My work production is going to be aweful the next few days that is for sure! Merry Christmas as well everyone, and happy holidays.

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Basically, my 6 inch line that traverses PA is the dividing line of where I think mostly snow and significant mixing occurs.

And I'm just to the southeast of it... :(

If it's not one way, it's another. In the back to back epic winters, I was too far north and west. This time around, I'm too far south and east.

Anyway, I have to say...nice map and thanks for all your analysis during our storm threats. It is appreciated!

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Merry Christmas everyone! Finished with about .5" It did get above freezing here so alot of the snow melted on the roads. MAG excellent map. I think while looking at the models it seems 8" would be a solid call for my town. I feel the storm could bust either direction. Lower due to sleet, maybe only 5 or 6 inches. If the Euro is right maybe a foot.

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First off.. Merry Christmas everyone!

Alright, here's my first call map (and probably last call) for this storm. Generic categories of 1-3, 3-6, 6-10, and 10-14. Thought about actually bumping up these categories but I'm not gonna get crazy. SW and SE PA are my big question marks as slight shifts in the track and under or over forecasted warming of the thermal layers could screw up amounts either way. More minor concerns about timing of the handoff and potential to cut QPF some.

Basically, my 6 inch line that traverses PA is the dividing line of where I think mostly snow and significant mixing occurs. There certainly could be sleet issues in places like AOO, UNV, and IPT.. but I think bulk of precip stays snow. The 3-6 zone would see much more of a mixed bag of precip perhaps turning to rain (esp far southeast). Southern Laurels in Somerset county as well as the south central mountains might see a good bit of freezing rain. As for northern PA, someone needs to get Potter a plane ticket ASAP.

post-1507-0-40234000-1356420207_thumb.gi

I will be reporting from Potters back yard. I will be honored to do it. :snowwindow:

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I can't read the totals, but C PA up in the mountains to S NY get clobbered still. UNV-Williamsport-Scranton-Binghamton with high totals it appears.

Someone needs to mention the Pottsville/Tamaqua area once in awhile. Scranton and Binghamton get more play and they aren't really even a part of the sub-forum.

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yuck.....sleet / freezing rain

i thought i had a shot at all snow but not according to the nws :cry:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA

209 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

PAZ017>019-026>028-045-046-049>053-058-260315-

/O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0004.121226T1400Z-121227T1200Z/

/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0006.121226T1500Z-121227T1200Z/

CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-

JUNIATA-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-

NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...PHILIPSBURG...

STATE COLLEGE...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...

MIFFLINTOWN...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG...

SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG...

BERWICK...POTTSVILLE

209 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM

EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER

STORM WARNING FOR A HEAVY MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS

IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER

STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW TURNING TO A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET.

FREEZING RAIN MAY ALSO MIX IN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW FOLLOWED BY A HEAVY LAYER

OF SLEET. A COATING OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE

LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND TURN TO

SLEET. FREEZING RAIN MAY ALSO BECOME MIXED IN THE EVENING. THE

MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS LATE

WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO ICE AND SNOW COVERED ROADS.

ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO ICE WHICH MAY BUILD

UP ON POWER LINES OR TREES.

* WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH WEDNESDAY INCREASE

TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF OF A MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVY

SNOW.

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