dendrite Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm guessing the H85 low is a bit east of 00z based on the TROWAL track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Snow to ice pike south Looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Yay euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Models are delivering Christmas presents today.......... Days and days of snow as the upper low then moves through Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Euro starts off pretty amped...but that mid-level center wants to redevelop eastward a bit...that helps the interior...esp north of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Would have to be wary of how far northwest the dryslot gets before filling in / jumping east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 This one is gonna hurt. I wish y'all the best in North and West. I'm rooting for weird internal convection under this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Days and days of snow as the upper low then moves through Mass. That would make for a festive holiday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Another quick and dirty way to take a look at the NH annular mode ... just a time-latitude section 1000mb height anomaly: 500mb height anomaly: Supports a "negative AO" around the end of November into the start of December, but certainly not the last 10 days. good plots! Though it should be noted that the warmest week nationally was actually that first week in Dec...It was one of the warmest on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 good plots! Though it should be noted that the warmest week nationally was actually that first week in Dec...It was one of the warmest on record. culprit being the GOA low. The AO is a wave number 1 hemispheric index. At what longitude the arctic cold ends up is up to the wave-3 pattern and up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 So we are getting more snow? ECM continues to look nice...a lot like the many more amped GFS ensemble members. Things have been further west all month, so not seeing much reason to deviate with persistence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 culprit being the GOA low. The AO is a wave number 1 hemispheric index. At what longitude the arctic cold ends up is up to the wave-3 pattern and up Correct, we were the odd man out there. and I see what you mean with the cold continuing on that side of the globe, but further north than that first week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 EC ens are a bit hit for the interior. Pretty cool to even see a hint of CAD sig in the isobars on them at 144hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 EC ens are a bit hit for the interior. Pretty cool to even see a hint of CAD sig in the isobars on them at 144hr. And then we do it again on the 30th. Stormy times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 And then we do it again on the 30th. Stormy times. Even if the 28th doesn't break right, it looks great long term. Winter is here, we've waited 13 months....it's going to be a lot of fun. CP is still going to battle climo but that's par for the course, ski country wins huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Even if the 28th doesn't break right, it looks great long term. Winter is here, we've waited 13 months....it's going to be a lot of fun. CP is still going to battle climo but that's par for the course, ski country wins huge. Big winter coming, Big Big Winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 And then we do it again on the 30th. Stormy times. The change to stormy has definitely happened...we needed this lakes cutter to load up a new airmass for us...seems like once we get at least some semi-arctic air in here, we can really start having some fun as indicated on model guidance over the next 10 days starting with Christmas Eve night...hopefully it comes to pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Nude. All sides Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 this will probably be a sleet fest for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 this will probably be a sleet fest for some As modeled I expect I'll be drowned. But we'll see how it rolls. I can't imagine we're within 150 miles of the ultimate storm track at this point just given statistics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Just in time for me to be home FTW. Hopefully I don't get a lot of changeovers while Plymouth gets dumped on though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Where are the cutter folks and rain till NYE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 As modeled I expect I'll be drowned. But we'll see how it rolls. I can't imagine we're within 150 miles of the ultimate storm track at this point just given statistics. the cutter option is definitely still on the table. but xmas looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Where are the cutter folks and rain till NYE? Noreaster27 in typical hibernation mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Merry Christmas to all the SNE posters who have stayed the course and ignored the trolls http://ow.ly/i/1hAk6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The change to stormy has definitely happened...we needed this lakes cutter to load up a new airmass for us...seems like once we get at least some semi-arctic air in here, we can really start having some fun as indicated on model guidance over the next 10 days starting with Christmas Eve night...hopefully it comes to pass. Maybe a period like Jan 2011? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Maybe a period like Jan 2011? Well that's setting the bar pretty high...5 feet of snow in 4 weeks is not something you'd predict, but the pattern definitely looks active and the cold supply looks better. We'll certainly have our chances in that setup. It might get very cold at some point 2-3 weeks down the road, but for the next 10-14 days I think its just regular seasonably below average type cold...which is more than sufficient for snow events. Esp with climo dropping quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I think new year's holds promise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow, even sne is whacked on the ens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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