40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I could see you getting a little more than us here. East winds will limit accumulations here, even with like a 34F snow. If it can go more SE, I'd feel better. However, there is a good high to the north, so if you want to overperform...that's a nice thing to have. I think this has N Billerica cf written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I don't think we have a single poster south of the pike in MA in that region...Tolland, MA/Sandisfield/Otis...so generally I don't think there is a ton of confusion. It generally means a line from BOS to BAF. And "rt 2 in the interior" I think it fairly consistent with basically pegging Harvard, MA to ORE to Greenfield. it's weird that I'm the furthest NW person in CT and there's no one in SW Ma. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 GGEM says 2nd storm yes!! THAT storm would benefit almost all of SNE. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Yeah, still loving the position of the high pressure... I'm still curious on this one. Could be a front end thump, could be a little more interesting than that if the trend continues (doesn't look like it would need to move too much at this point to make a difference for us). That high is key because the mid levels are looking better here....just need enough ageostrophic flow to keep that cf on rt 128, as opposed to 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Anyone have the deets on h66 of the GGEM? On the cell, and it looks like 850 is over LIS with 0.75" qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Looks to me, after ingesting the bevy of different guidance types, like a snow event with some pellet contamination during the middle, more SE than NW quite naturally - but somewhere in the 60 to 70 percentile winter impact. ...for now anyway... heh, I should also add - rain on the cape/islands and SE Coastal plain is going to happen in this, but that's a duh no brainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 it's weird that I'm the furthest NW person in CT and there's no one in SW Ma. lol Why? The population of the towns to your north is lower than the bear population. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 why are all the TV mets not jumping on the nam,gfs and most other models on the snowier solution for northern mass and southern nh? tas of noon they are still calling for snow to mix to rain??? Happy thet Matt Noyes is working tomorrow my favorite met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 im feeling good now for 1 to 3 tonight then atleast 2 to 4 from this next system for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Yeah, still loving the position of the high pressure... I'm still curious on this one. Could be a front end thump, could be a little more interesting than that if the trend continues (doesn't look like it would need to move too much at this point to make a difference for us). Your Banana high fetish FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Why? The population of the towns to your north is lower than the bear population. Winchester is a town in Litchfield County, Connecticut, United States. The population was 10,664 Torrington is the largest city in Litchfield County, Connecticut and the Litchfield Hills region. It is also the core city of the largest micropolitan area in the United States.[1] The city population was 36,383 according to the 2010 census. Salisbury is a town in Litchfield County, Connecticut, United States.. The population was 3,977 at the 2000 census. It's surprising to me that no one from any of those places posts on here. Meanwhile, my town is huge. Harwinton is a town in Litchfield County, Connecticut, United States. The population was 5,283. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Your Banana high fetish FTW My banana has never done me wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 That high is key because the mid levels are looking better here....just need enough ageostrophic flow to keep that cf on rt 128, as opposed to 495. let's keep it in Cambridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I don't think we have a single poster south of the pike in MA in that region...Tolland, MA/Sandisfield/Otis...so generally I don't think there is a ton of confusion. It generally means a line from BOS to BAF. And "rt 2 in the interior" I think it fairly consistent with basically pegging Harvard, MA to ORE to Greenfield. Yeah I agree. The Tolland/Sandisfield/Otis is really the Berkshires IMO. So when I'm talking Pike I'mn talking like Holyoke through 128 interchange really. AGree with Rt 2 as well. Those towns in SW Mass adjacent to like Hartland, Colebrook, and Norfolk are super weenie towns for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 We used to have a poster in Torrington a few years back on eastern. Maybe like 2006 time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 let's keep it in Cambridge. The CF positioning in that last event was epic lol right on rt 128... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Cautiously optimistic for a lot of folks who post here. Christmas night runs will lock it in either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2012 Author Share Posted December 24, 2012 Yeah I agree. The Tolland/Sandisfield/Otis is really the Berkshires IMO. So when I'm talking Pike I'mn talking like Holyoke through 128 interchange really. AGree with Rt 2 as well. Nice elevation out there in Otis too. Definitely Berks though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 We used to have a poster in Torrington a few years back on eastern. Maybe like 2006 time frame. We've lost too many mediocre men to toaster baths over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 We've lost too many mediocre men to toaster baths over the years. StephenCT from Waterbury as well. The memories of the slant stick snow amounts are still fresh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Could you plug BTV and SLK in? Thanks -skisheep Well now that mex is out I'll use the longer range. BTV. 8 and 1 SLK. Same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Cautiously optimistic for a lot of folks who post here. Christmas night runs will lock it in either way. Yeah... I figure there's about another day's worth of wiggle room before no shift of substance will really be manageable in the guidance. So far the trend is our friend, though I am somewhat wary that my neck of the woods may wash out with the 27th and then whiff on the 30th. Here's hoping we don't thread the wrong needle in that sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Cautiously optimistic for a lot of folks who post here. Christmas night runs will lock it in either way. Just getting on the comp, and this is the GFS sounding for around the Middletown, CT gridpoint. Al snow through h66, which translates to ~0.60" QPF... BL is warm (1.7C), but its the GFS 2m temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 The Euro I think is going to be pretty exceptional for this storm just based on the subtle and not so subtle changes inside of 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 We used to have a poster in Torrington a few years back on eastern. Maybe like 2006 time frame. I live about 200' from the line in the most NW part of Harwinton so I might as well be in Torrington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Euro out to 36 hours. Boundary further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Anyone have the deets on h66 of the GGEM? On the cell, and it looks like 850 is over LIS with 0.75" qpf? Not the best resolution, but here's the 66hr ptype: Courtesy: Meteocentre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Not the best resolution, but here's the 66hr ptype: Courtesy: Meteocentre Pretty classic spread of ptype for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I live about 200' from the line in the most NW part of Harwinton so I might as well be in Torrington. This could be one of those storms we talked about a few weeks ago with you getting 2 feet and me 35 rain although I believe neither of those extremes is likely at this point but you get the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Euro out to 36 hours. Boundary further south. 42hr low SLIGHTLY further SE. More cold air in place over the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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