dendrite Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Any piles survive? Yeah...but I only mention weenie piles in late April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I would rather be in your spot than most. When I mentioned CP residents influence it seemed you were tossing the towel because the CP was, I would not give up yet. Lol I know I have some things to help with el and latitude But if this heads up the Hudson or Connecticut, then it gets ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Lol I know I have some things to help with el and latitude But if this heads up the Hudson or Connecticut, then it gets ugly I have a serious question. Did you look at the Euro for your area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Lol I know I have some things to help with el and latitude But if this heads up the Hudson or Connecticut, then it gets ugly Not even the GEFS does that. It makes it around just nw of NYC and then slides it ENE off Hampton Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 For awhile you turned ok on here but the last month or so you have been nasty and unreadable. Maybe you are frustrated with where you live or lack of snow. Whatever it is we are all asking you nicely to stop the nonsense. All you ever do is try and attack and belittle folks. Part of the reason why Phil left Dude... you're the king of unreadable post when it comes to weather and you're pretty much the laughing stock of the board. Give your used care salesman schtick up.. It's beyond amusing anymore after 10+ yrs even to me who is actually a fan of your soap opera game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I have a serious question. Did you look at the Euro for your area? Not yet... Watching the game away from the computer Euro has seemed to be in a funk the last few storms at this range. I will look in a bit Are mid levels ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Preset good consensus on wintery start to January albeit not locking in most likely. 1993-94 is off the table I think with the tendency for the EPO to go positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 After finally seeing the Euro myself, pretty damn good run for the interior. Yeah, It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Preset good consensus on wintery start to January albeit not locking in most likely. 1993-94 is off the table I think with the tendency for the EPO to go positive. HM says it's coming, it's coming. We are seeing some deep plunges show up on the models of cold air finally. Summarizing the model diagnostic 12Z MODEL EVALUATION INCLUDING THE 12Z ECMWF AND FINAL PREFERENCES ANY MODEL INITIALIZATION ERRORS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE SUFFICIENTLY LARGE TO IMPACT THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST. For XMAS: WITH THE QUICKER ADJUSTMENT MADE BY THE 12Z ECMWF...BLENDING THE GFS/ECMWF WILL AFFORD A REASONABLE COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE SMALL DIFFERENCES WITH THIS SYSTEM. For Storm 2 GIVEN OVERALL RECENT TRENDS...THE RECOMMENDATION WILL NOW INCLUDE THE 12Z ECMWF ALONG WITH THE 12Z GFS...FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE 00Z EC MEAN. DO NOT FEEL COMFORTABLE GOING QUITE AS FAR NW AS THE NAM/SREF...BUT ONE MUST GIVE RESPECT TO THE NRN ENSEMBLE MEANS IN CONTRAST TO THE SRN UKMET/CMC SOLUTIONS. THE 12Z CMC HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE CONSENSUS COMPARED TO ITS 00Z RUN...BUT THE CMC CONTINUES TO BE A BIT SOUTH OF THE PREFERENCE WITH THE UPPER LOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The end of that Euro runs is balls cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The secondary will never do that. I'd be surprised if it got inland from the immediate coastal plain. Climo and topo just seems to prevent it. The idea of the old primary staying to dominant and tracking across the Berkshires etc. isn't 100% dead I guess, but hopefully quite unlikely. Lol I know I have some things to help with el and latitude But if this heads up the Hudson or Connecticut, then it gets ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Ok I'm unmelting. Not surprising model consensus today on a strong front end dump in favored areas of sne and a big snow event up north. Would like to see it trend SE for personal reasons but this should be a prolific snow producer and net gain ORH-PSM and northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Me giving up on snow makes the likelihood if snow increase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Guidance today is pretty decent for a front end thump pike northward...and some sustained frozen in the interior...esp CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Guidance today is pretty decent for a front end thump pike northward...and some sustained frozen in the interior...esp CNE. still shows 3+ for nw jersey, do u believe it?(wunderground page) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Guidance today is pretty decent for a front end thump pike northward...and some sustained frozen in the interior...esp CNE. Yup looks that way. Kevin still managed a meltdown lol. Looking forward to the Euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Out watching foosball did euro hold serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 still shows 3+ for nw jersey, do u believe it?(wunderground page) I am hoping we can manage 1-3" in the NW suburbs of NYC before changing to rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Out watching foosball did euro hold serve No, Shifted west some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Yup looks that way. Kevin still managed a meltdown lol. Looking forward to the Euro ensembles. Man I know you would love to lock that in. Even upslope after, great run for Kmart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Guidance today is pretty decent for a front end thump pike northward...and some sustained frozen in the interior...esp CNE. What you think down here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 What you think down here? Prob 2-4" front end...then IP/ZR for a time and then rain. Still a ways to go on this though. Small shift SE will increase the snow a decent amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Prob 2-4" front end...then IP/ZR for a time and then rain. Still a ways to go on this though. Small shift SE will increase the snow a decent amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 What you think down here? verbatim only now 2-4, then rain. You know your climo better than anyone. I quickly wash away. What cha gonna do. Still time to adjust either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Will, does this become a significant Icing power outage event here in Amherst, NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Prob 2-4" front end...then IP/ZR for a time and then rain. Still a ways to go on this though. Small shift SE will increase the snow a decent amount. What's your take for my area? I'm thinking 1-3 and changeover but if we can manage more northerly component of surface winds the s a better chance. Overall appears down the drain net but it wouldn't take much to change that ala 12/16/07. Of course that antecedent air was frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Lol Will and I insync. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Prob 2-4" front end...then IP/ZR for a time and then rain. Still a ways to go on this though. Small shift SE will increase the snow a decent amount. Either way net gain between Xmas eve and 27th. Snowcover will be established Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Either way net gain between Xmas eve and 27th. Snowcover will be established Potential is always there for a heavy loaded front end to DS too. I know you make out well in those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ?? You went after cweat for no reason during a post euro temper tantrum. The one thing that may help lock in frozen but keep the whole storm a bit more unimpressive is the fact it occludes early and is filling by the time it reaches us. That may let the whole thing slide east a bit as it's done digging prior to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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