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December 27/28 Storm Threat


Baroclinic Zone

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I actually think 12Z Euro is pretty good for the Berks and N ORH as most of the precipitation falls as snow before the midlevels warm up. Unless there's a sneaky warm layer above 850 mb, this is a warning level event for this area. We'd probably end as some pingers and drizzle, but this is still a good event for PSF, AQW, and ALB.

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He's been right with his ideas though.

That's why he's pissed. It isn't worth it Jerry. I don't think pessimism has been unwarranted for the winter months these last 2 winters. I hope that we see a break on Xmas and again on the 28th in SNE, but to say that it looks promising on 12/25 or again on the 28th.

CT Blizz who are you speaking for? Will, Scott, Phil? Anyone else?

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Well, none the less, some of us in SNE are expecting snow on snow events this week even if it's follwed by a mixed bag.

I am really looking forward to the next 10 days. Couple bouts of snow/ ice and maybe some rain. Regardless it's a net gain for all of us siince none of us have any snow. That's a win in my eyes
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I am really looking forward to the next 10 days. Couple bouts of snow/ ice and maybe some rain. Regardless it's a net gain for all of us siince none of us have any snow. That's a win in my eyes

I will be shocked if there is snow otg here in a week or 10 days. I'm in the middle of the largest population center of New England.

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well guys one good thing is that the storm has not followed the GFS. which likely means to me the gfs will come to the euro. i think that is likely at this point . From there the euro has a bit of room to slide a bit more SE . i don't like the SE /ESE isobars from eastport maine to cape cod that the euro has been showing for the last 5 runs but hopefully that is after a front end thump some coastal plain people can enjoy.

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And the Patriots are sucking as well

Forky, Saki, LL ftw

. Winter FTL

Well Dave anyone locking in the Euro today needs to reevaluate. I would not be at all surprised if this is a CC canal special, you know your climo on those. Will made some very salient points which as soon as the Euro came out were quickly forgotten. Do not let CP residents influence you.
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Interesting that Dendrite has all bare ground and I am just about totally snowcovered, 20 miles to the north. The snow line runs right through the NW part of the lakes region in NH. Snow is totally glaciated and not going anywhere fast.

I was surprised to hear he has the big squadoosh as well. In North Conway and Bartlett yesterday there was full coverage, maybe 6 or 8 inches.

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Interesting that Dendrite has all bare ground and I am just about totally snowcovered, 20 miles to the north. The snow line runs right through the NW part of the lakes region in NH. Snow is totally glaciated and not going anywhere fast.

Well my 3" from the other morning got obliterated by 50F/50F rains. I think you held in the 40s?
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Well Dave anyone locking in the Euro today needs to reevaluate. I would not be at all surprised if this is a CC canal special, you know your climo on those. Will made some very salient points which as soon as the Euro came out were quickly forgotten. Do not let CP residents influence you.

I don't think anyone is trying to "influence" anyone sultan, we're talking about model runs. It's ridiculous that grown men personalize computer models.

Here's the GEFS hard linked for later reference.

post-3232-0-15126700-1356288514_thumb.gi

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Well Dave anyone locking in the Euro today needs to reevaluate. I would not be at all surprised if this is a CC canal special, you know your climo on those. Will made some very salient points which as soon as the Euro came out were quickly forgotten. Do not let CP residents influence you.

agree and as wxmanmitch said berks over to N orh get most qpf as snow before mid levels warm.

interior winter

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I dunno Steve. We have gotten a series of 2 part events where the first is weaker and the second comes in stronger and warmer

I am not throwing in the towel but it is off the rack

Let us get this ****ty month overwith.

I would rather be in your spot than most. When I mentioned CP residents influence it seemed you were tossing the towel because the CP was, I would not give up yet.
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