mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well all signs also point to a good deal of QPF, and as usual mixed precip arriving late in the overall duration of the storm. I think we would thump pretty good in that verbatim. That is my hope. It is just disturbing to go from an all snow zone to one that mentions sleet right from the onset. At some point we need to get a base down. This is disturbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 By hr 93 rain to northern mass. Does have front before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Interior areas are going to have an interesting solution. Low appears to occlude over NYC. That is not going to happen verbatim IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Looks ugly south of the Pike and coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 GFS still about the same..so far. Its def a bit east and colder...we actually get some front end snow on this one...esp north of the pike...the 06z run hardly gave us any. Low looks just NW of NYC on this run at 96h while 06z had it between ALB and SYR. This run has almost a secondayr over SE MA looking at the 2m winds. Def would be a colder solution overall though still a huge mess of taint and rian for coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Interior areas are going to have an interesting solution. Low appears to occlude over NYC. That is not going to happen verbatim IMHO. By 93 sne is rain. It really not that interesting. At 90 bl issues. Great run for buffalo and Toronto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Crusher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 As we discussed yesterday this track was very fluid..and we saw the east trend start on Euro last night and now GarbagefS starts to catch on..Still room to move east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 looks like GFS may be seceding toward the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Pretty good hit northern interior MA as low occludes and WAA stops. Big thump then dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 looks like GFS may be seceding toward the Euro When doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 It's vry unusual for any low to take the track and be so slow in evolution to where it gets past our latitude as depicted on the gfs. This is not done.....we may not know before Tuesday on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 06z... 12z pretty apparent differences IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 When doesn't it? Many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Pretty good hit northern interior MA as low occludes and WAA stops. Big thump then dryslot. I like the look of the secondary over SE MA at 96h...you can see it in the wind fields...GFS prob wouldn't resolve this enough either, we all know how awful it is at CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Foothills west into the Whites and Northern Maine get crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 By 93 sne is rain. It really not that interesting. At 90 bl issues. Great run for buffalo and Toronto You are wrong as the experienced mets have shown. You are upset and its clouding any good meteorological understanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Crusher I hope you mean a condo crusher and not a hope crusher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I like the look of the secondary over SE MA at 96h...you can see it in the wind fields...GFS prob wouldn't resolve this enough either, we all know how awful it is at CAD. Yeah looks decent for a wintry event from you on north. That earlier occulsion will help stop the mid level garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 You are wrong as the experienced mets have shown. You are upset and its clouding any good meteorological understanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 You are wrong as the experienced mets have shown. You are upset and its clouding any good meteorological understanding. Well verbatim he is correct on temps for the GFS...its just that we never take GFS sfc temps verbatim when we have CAD showing up in the pressure field. Its almost always going to be too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Yeah looks decent for a wintry event from you on north. That earlier occulsion will help stop the mid level garbage. I love how you always make sure to leave me out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Its def a bit east and colder...we actually get some front end snow on this one...esp north of the pike...the 06z run hardly gave us any. Low looks just NW of NYC on this run at 96h while 06z had it between ALB and SYR. This run has almost a secondayr over SE MA looking at the 2m winds. Def would be a colder solution overall though still a huge mess of taint and rian for coastal areas. hopefully it's the start of a trend east, and Euro shifts also.. the esembles should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I hope you mean a condo crusher and not a hope crusher Condo, It was a move towards the Euro, We need another shift east 50-75 miles, We are sitting in a pretty good spot for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I love how you always make sure to leave me out Well it worked out last Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 When doesn't it? boxing day 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I love how you always make sure to leave me out I'm really not doing this on purpose, it's just this year it is true. You might snag a few inches, but you furnace aloft. The warming really stops near the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 if this event happened in jan 2011 everyone would try to forget about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Condo, It was a move towards the Euro, We need another shift east 50-75 miles, We are sitting in a pretty good spot for this one Good run for us. Still lots of time but the envelope is narrowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 if this event happened in jan 2011 everyone would try to forget about it yeah we will take any snow at this point, tainted or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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