HM Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Way better by 102h...low is over Delaware. Most of SNE is getting heavy snow at this point on the front end. I suppose NJ is SOL eh? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Way better by 102h...low is over Delaware. Most of SNE is getting heavy snow at this point on the front end. Going to be a good run here for a lot of folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Low is actually SE of LI by 108h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 0C line at 108h is just SE of a ORH-BVY line. Pretty hellecious front end thump on this run. This will stay all snow for areas further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Low is actually SE of LI by 108h. OK. Where's the dotted line? Because I'm signing and I think most of us would. But seriously, where are you guys looking? WU is so behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Time to text the folks on the bridge to come back down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Time to text the folks on the bridge to come back down Not at 100 hours in this pattern. We've been here so many times before it seems. I'll buy everyone a drink if we end up with a low close off LI from this storm in 4 days. I just hope ski country cashes in. Remember 24 hours ago we were all excited about what was only 3 days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 All snow here unless some sneaky midlevel warming above H85 gets up here. 114-120 the 0C H85 line sits over SE NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 0C line at 108h is just SE of a ORH-BVY line. Pretty hellecious front end thump on this run. This will stay all snow for areas further north. Big hit we stay all frozen here looks like its tracks over the canal this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Low tracks over ACK....about a ILG to SE of LI to ACK track. Mid-level taints makes it about to ASH-PSF line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Where do I sign up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Not at 100 hours in this pattern. We've been here so many times before it seems. I'll buy everyone a drink if we end up with a low close off LI from this storm in 4 days. I just hope ski country cashes in. Remember 24 hours ago we were all excited about what was only 3 days ahead. Well there has been a lot of doomsdayer here today and for no reason really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well there has been a lot of doomsdayer here today and for no reason really 2 years of no snow will do it. Something like 335 days at Logan since the last inch? That'll do it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Did anyone see what the GGEM did after 96 hours? For about an hour I can't get the new 108 hour map...still getting 12Z Wed map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well there has been a lot of doomsdayer here today and for no reason really We totally lost the Xmas storm #1, and #2, we're still 4-5 days away on storm 2. A decent percentage of the models are a toaster bath, the Euro has been all over the place even with storm 1. Until we see a consensus shift in all the models that sticks for a few runs, I'd favor the downside. Don't get me wrong I'm hoping you all get buried up there, I'm rooting for a foot or two in ski country. G'nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Did anyone see what the GGEM did after 96 hours? For about an hour I can't get the new 108 hour map...still getting 12Z Wed map. Try ewall...it's out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Low is actually SE of LI by 108h. How do the NW suburbs of NYC do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Did anyone see what the GGEM did after 96 hours? For about an hour I can't get the new 108 hour map...still getting 12Z Wed map. Yeah, Its a hugger along the coast here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 How do the NW suburbs of NYC do? It looks like you'd get several inches...maybe 3 or 4" before sleet taints...and eventually rain. Southern suburbs are toast almost from the get-go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 It looks like you'd get several inches...maybe 3 or 4" before sleet taints...and eventually rain. Southern suburbs are toast almost from the get-go. We need one more shift east here to be in really good shape; I'd feel confident if it tracked off the coast of Delaware instead of over Wilmington. That's cutting it a little too close initially although SE of LI is a good sign. I still feel there's a long ways to go on this storm with the inconsistency we're seeing from the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Way better vs 12z. I think we get close to the solution tomorrow. Snow to rain for many but some will get lots of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 It looks like you'd get several inches...maybe 3 or 4" before sleet taints...and eventually rain. Southern suburbs are toast almost from the get-go. I'd take a track over ACK. I'm sure I'd taint, but I'm also sure I'd get a nice thump on the front end too. 12/16/07 dropped 10" here before the switch. Granted, the antecedent airmass was much colder. Woke up to 18F and S+ at 6AM that morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 2 years of no snow will do it. Something like 335 days at Logan since the last inch? That'll do it too. Has not been much better here, But you can't use the same analogy that every storm is going to miss, At some point it will come around, At least we have an active pattern, Last year we were tracking zilch as we got hosed by the vortex over AK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Looks like things are progressing as we first speculated they might that the coastal portion of southern New England into the I-95 corridor in NJ etc. are not looking good with this one. Glad to see the interior / mountains getting the goods. But remember, it is meteorologically impossible for this to go inland so maybe it will shift east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Way better vs 12z. I think we get close to the solution tomorrow. Snow to rain for many but some will get lots of snow. Maybe this is the turnaround in the trend we needed...we just strapped Mark Sanchez to the bench and brought in Brady, gone from our own 4 to the 35. We'll see if we can get into FG range tomorrow or if this was just a tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Maybe this is the turnaround in the trend we needed...we just strapped Mark Sanchez to the bench and brought in Brady, gone from our own 4 to the 35. We'll see if we can get into FG range tomorrow or if this was just a tease. Is Scott Norwood our kicker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Has not been much better here, But you can't use the same analogy that every storm is going to miss, At some point it will come around, At least we have an active pattern, Last year we were tracking zilch as we got hosed by the vortex over AK Agreed. I see your argument from a purely mathematical/statistical viewpoint, but unfortunately the subjective/psychological element gets involved with snow too to skew perceptions. But eventually we need one that works in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Is Scott Norwood our kicker? If he is we would miss this one wide right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 There's certainly a wide track this can take...there's a lot of problems with trying to get a pure snowstorm out of this for most of the region...but its certianly not impossible and we can still get a pretty big winter storm even if we taint some. There's a lot of moving parts to the north...this run had a much better lobe of confluence norht of Maine. This is stuff that is difficult to predict. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Maybe this is the turnaround in the trend we needed...we just strapped Mark Sanchez to the bench and brought in Brady, gone from our own 4 to the 35. We'll see if we can get into FG range tomorrow or if this was just a tease. This run is what i expected 12z to look like really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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