SnowMan Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Game over. See ya next year. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 A sfc low tracking ISP-BOS is pretty meh for most of SNE. All sorts of issues including dry slotting, boundary layer issues, and pingers. Even the GFS track was dryslotting SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 with no cold arctic high, an inland track makes sense, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 with no cold arctic high, an inland track makes sense, no? Surface highs don't really drive low tracks, much of it has to do with the mid levels. In this case, it's all about the mid levels...H5 and above. Lows will move to the best WAA and PVA (positive vorticity advection) combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 :weenie: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 :weenie: LOL...don't give up yet. I think we will be fine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 LOL...don't give up yet. I think we will be fine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'm with Blizz - stay the course... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I'm rolling with reality. This storm is probably rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I'm rolling with reality. This storm is probably rain. You also live in Maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 You also live in Maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 You also live in Maryland He lives in Mass, And goes to school in Maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Ah he didn't know lol. Understandable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Ah he didn't know lol. Understandable. I'll admit I also thought you were in MD... I knew you grew up in BOS and figured that's where your interest was in this. You should change your location to where you are at the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I'll admit I also thought you were in MD... I knew you grew up in BOS and figured that's where your interest was in this. You should change your location to where you are at the time Or place both in your profile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I'll have to do it next time I'm on the computer which is nearly never lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Maybe change title to flooding threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Maybe change title to flooding threat? defintely a little premature .. still 96 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 GFS is going to be a SNE toaster bath it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 GFS is going to be a SNE toaster bath it looks like. This is going to be an epic run for Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Lol it's further west then 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Congrats Toronto blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Pretty similar to 18z except 3 hrs slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Lol it's further west then 18z don't think so but it does not really matter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 don't think so but it does not really matter.. My fault yes your correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 don't think so but it does not really matter.. Its slightly east if we want to split hairs 546 dm was just to my south on 18z, A little colder and Its off the coast at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Stay the course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The CAD is pretty strong despite this west track...CNE does get a pretty strong hit of snow and ice. The sfc pressure field looks like it wants to develop a secondary sfc reflection south of SNE. We'll have to watch that regardless of the upper levels...because that would create plenty of icing problems at some point. Even the mid-level CAD is pretty impressive though..esp to the northeast. Lemons out of lemonade for those who are still not expecting a KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 well this run sucks also.. i guess I better enjoy the xmas snowfall, that is about it till 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The CAD is pretty strong despite this west track...CNE does get a pretty strong hit of snow and ice. The sfc pressure field looks like it wants to develop a secondary sfc reflection south of SNE. We'll have to watch that regardless of the upper levels...because that would create plenty of icing problems at some point. Even the mid-level CAD is pretty impressive though..esp to the northeast. Lemons out of lemonade for those who are still not expecting a KU. Yeah I agree. You can see some signals that tell me C NE may still be OK. It helps that the storm is already maturing so we're shutting down some of the really strong advective processes which may actually help prevent the torch. You can see the battle being waged in the mid levels. Also... it is tough to get a surface low up to BGM without getting some kind of secondary reflection hugging to coast to help tug down a bit of BL chill with a northerly ageostrophic drag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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