Boston-winter08 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Holy $hit...is that the 00z EURO snowfall output?? ya, obviously includes the 2-4 of what it drops on Xmas, but still around 10+ from 495 west on Dec 27/28 verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Just woke up and took a look at the 6z GFS ... very interesting the jump it made toward the ECMWF and CMC... Remember I mentioned that vorticity lobe that was itching to subsume into the Dec27 trough? Well what ends up happening in this new situation is that instead of continuing westward around the anticyclone to the north, this vorticity lobe ends up drawing our Christmas Day snowstorm north and fujiwaras and that shortwave, ending up over Nova Scotia instead of Ontario Beautiful case of a bifurcation of solutions. The GFS possibly just admitted defeat to the Euro and CMC When did that HS weenie from Keene evolve into HM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 When did that HS weenie from Keene evolve into HM? nowhere close to that level, but thanks for the compliment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 man that is close to a disaster up here. GFS solution sucks for SNE. Wins for PF and Dendrite though. 26.4/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 ya, obviously includes the 2-4 of what it drops on Xmas, but still around 10+ from 495 west on Dec 27/28 verbatim I will be happy with 5" from the Dec 27/28 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Methinks the lady doth protesteth too much.... I mean here we have a Xmas Day snowstorm to the coast..and all some people can do is complain that the GFS is a snow to ice scenario to rain in some spots.. It's the GFS...at DAY 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I mean here we have a Xmas Day snowstorm to the coast..and all some people can do is complain that the GFS is a snow to ice scenario to rain in some spots.. It's the GFS...at DAY 6 This... I'm going to enjoy the xmas snow and not worry to much about one model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GEM takes it over the BM...maybe just a hair inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I mean here we have a Xmas Day snowstorm to the coast..and all some people can do is complain that the GFS is a snow to ice scenario to rain in some spots.. It's the GFS...at DAY 6 But isn't this the discussion for the 12/27-8 event? Strictly speaking the gfs solution is a sne disaster. Thankfully, it's past 5 days and subject to change but gfs has bee in its game of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GEM takes it over the BM...maybe just a hair inside. We try to preach to folks they need to stay the course..not get into jumping bridge position as 4 nonsense runs per day are spit out by the GFS...but they just don't listen.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 We try to preach to folks they need to stay the course..not get into jumping bridge position as 4 nonsense runs per day are spit out by the GFS...but they just don't listen.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 But isn't this the discussion for the 12/27-8 event? Strictly speaking the gfs solution is a sne disaster. Thankfully, it's past 5 days and subject to change but gfs has bee in its game of late. Yes and my ? is why can't people discuss a model run without complaining and thinking it's right.. Especially when it's the GFS of all models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GEM takes it over the BM...maybe just a hair inside. Nice! I don't care about mixing as long as I get a front ender and the low stays east of me. That will keep pack in. I shouldn't wish this as heavy duty shoveling for a 66 yo is nit recommended but unlike most my age I enjoy it...it's snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I didn't see anyone lock up the gfs and say we were all screwed and mostly rain 12/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Yes it does.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 It's still ok here but some PL taint eventually I'm afraid. Hopefully it;s an outlier. Surprised me though because I thought if anything the GFS would be too suppressed. Must have some relationship to how it handles the firs system. GFS solution sucks for SNE. Wins for PF and Dendrite though. 26.4/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 But isn't this the discussion for the 12/27-8 event? Strictly speaking the gfs solution is a sne disaster. Thankfully, it's past 5 days and subject to change but gfs has bee in its game of late. that the most annoying thing on here , its discussion of models and in regards to a model run, i'm sick of this crap about panicking or this and that when it's simple discussion about a model run that shows rain for a large chunk of sne. deal with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 canadian is a wet dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 979 on the bm...how sweet is that! Too bad it's cmc and 5 dqys out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 i'll take the 0z EURO over that GFS um yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GEM takes it over the BM...maybe just a hair inside. Perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 that the most annoying thing on here , its discussion of models and in regards to a model run, i'm sick of this crap about panicking or this and that when it's simple discussion about a model run that shows rain for a large chunk of sne. deal with it I have to agree with you here, When you are giving out verbatim analysis of what the model shows there are quite a few on here that think your either spiking the ball or jumping off the bridge, Its a discussion of what the model shows at that time frame no more no less, If some want to take that as gospel 4-5 days out, Then go at your own risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Starting to look like the GFS is a real outlier then.... Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Ukie Whoah! Crazy uncle or a signal to what euro will be? Right now, for the 12z available, gfs op is the western outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 a white christmas then a monster storm after if that were to happen there would be alot of happy people here.. Also what a way to bring winter back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 12 euro will be a big hit. Lock it up. Vroom vroom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The question now though is if the wildly amped Xmas solutions on the UKIE/GEM are causing them to be more favorable for the coast on the 27th, I would say probably yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The question now though is if the wildly amped Xmas solutions on the UKIE/GEM are causing them to be more favorable for the coast on the 27th, I would say probably yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 that the most annoying thing on here , its discussion of models and in regards to a model run, i'm sick of this crap about panicking or this and that when it's simple discussion about a model run that shows rain for a large chunk of sne. deal with it Go massage someone. Discussing a model does not equate to people jumping from bridges unless you are LL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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