CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Maybe I spoke too soon. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Going to be issues along the coast with that track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Low just south of Albany at 117. Ugly run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Going to be issues along the coast with that track Going to be issues in all of SNE with this track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 man that is close to a disaster up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Snow bomb up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I don't think you have to worry about getting shutout yet. Almost every model hits you with near warning criteria. The key with the sfc track is for Scott staying more northerly and frozen. Jealous. Don't worry. NNE will get crushed while I'm gone. Always does! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Going to be issues in all of SNE with this track. pellet fest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Jealous. Don't worry. NNE will get crushed while I'm gone. Always does! Yes it looks to............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 just sits there.. not liking this run but congrats up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 pellet fest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 pellet fest? Rain fest. Snow-pelt-rain pike north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 pellet fest? the BL would be torched on that gfs run in E mass. SE/ESE isobars thru SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Strong s/w and no confluence on this run. That's the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Snow to ice inland..Icestorm conditions on that lol..tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Rain fest. Snow-pelt-rain pike north the BL would be torched on that gfs run in E mass. SE/ESE isobars thru SNE. thanks, a strange solution imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Looks like the blocking high in canada weakens allowing the storm to cut more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 JB puts jumpers at ease..no worries Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi Will wait for ensembles.GFS startling with west shift.. Secondaries dont form inland.I did not expect what GFS shows tho, but no knee jerk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Day 5-6 average error is around 200 miles. Let's hope this is just one run, but it won't surprise me to see this get a bit further west into CPA. Shouldn't matter for CNE/NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Putting the 12/25 event through the grind allows this to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Snow to ice inland..Icestorm conditions on that lol..tossed More like mix to rain for you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Well you obviously wait until the rest of the guidance comes in, but that was kind of ugly for a good chunk of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The Bastardi Tweets are horrific, Kevin could out forecast him............please stop, its been failure after failure after failure after failure after failure. Enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Relax everybody. Holy smokes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Relax everybody. Holy smokes Methinks the lady doth protesteth too much.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 i'll take the 0z EURO over that GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Strong s/w and no confluence on this run. That's the difference. where did the confluence go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 i'll take the 0z EURO over that GFS Holy $hit...is that the 00z EURO snowfall output?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 where did the confluence go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Just woke up and took a look at the 6z GFS ... very interesting the jump it made toward the ECMWF and CMC... Remember I mentioned that vorticity lobe that was itching to subsume into the Dec27 trough? Well what ends up happening in this new situation is that instead of continuing westward around the anticyclone to the north, this vorticity lobe ends up drawing our Christmas Day snowstorm north and fujiwaras with that shortwave, ending up over Nova Scotia instead of Ontario Beautiful case of a bifurcation of solutions. There is a fight between the easterlies south of the anticyclone over the Hudson Bay and the westerlies across the CONUS ... Take a rotating parcel of air (or lobe of vorticity) and shift it ever so slightly north or south and you'll find that parcel of air in drastically different locations later on. The GFS possibly just admitted defeat to the Euro and CMC in this one respect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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