klw Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 12:47 PM, CT Blizz said: Euro snowfall map..not bad..and still room for another shift east Comments (0) TweetShare Rate (+1) Original Size Is the storm just moving in in NNE at that point? Not much for NE VT through Maine on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 That map ends at 12z on thursday so most likely it's just getting into NNE but not sure. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 1:24 PM, klw said: Is the storm just moving in in NNE at that point? Not much for NE VT through Maine on that. That's at hr 108, I think NNE would have more precipitation to go through beyond there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Not bad for you up through this area at least. Euro front end dumps pretty hard for some before tainting commences. On 12/23/2012 at 12:47 PM, CT Blizz said: Euro snowfall map..not bad..and still room for another shift east Comments (0) TweetShare Rate (+1) Original Size Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 00z Euro ensemble quite nice for distant interior. Will be hard to keep taint away from I-84 zone but that's a Berks crusher on the Euro op and ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:04 PM, CT Rain said: 00z Euro ensemble quite nice for distant interior. Will be hard to keep taint away from I-84 zone but that's a Berks crusher on the Euro op and ensembles. Yeah if that holds or even tickles east we'd have a decent front end thump then ice..with big snows in NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:10 PM, CT Blizz said: Yeah if that holds or even tickles east we'd have a decent front end thump then ice..with big snows in NNE Some ice but probably front end thump a brief period of ZR in elevated areas then dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 1:22 PM, Bostonseminole said: man that is an ugly set of GFS runs.. any meteorological reason it never transfers the energy? I think it has to more with the position of the block up in canada and the shift in the vortex lobe from over ontario, to further west. That allows the GFS to cut the storm up the apps, where previously the confluence from the vort lobe kept things more suppressed and to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:14 PM, Alpha5 said: I think it has to more with the position of the block up in canada and the shift in the vortex lobe from over ontario, to further west. That allows the GFS to cut the storm up the apps, where previously the confluence from the vort lobe kept things more suppressed and to the east oh OK, will watch for that in next set of runs. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:13 PM, CT Rain said: Some ice but probably front end thump a brief period of ZR in elevated areas then dry slot. Who can argue with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 1:24 PM, klw said: Is the storm just moving in in NNE at that point? Not much for NE VT through Maine on that. The low @ hr108 was still south of LI , If you saw hr 132 the low is over Southern Novie it would be over 12" up here, It drops close to 1.50" qpf here and 1.25" over in VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Amazing how the NAM drives a weakening (1000mb) low right into a 1032HP to the north. I feel like it won't play out like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:51 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Amazing how the NAM drives a weakening (1000mb) low right into a 1032HP to the north. I feel like it won't play out like that. there's an avenue for that to happen since the trough north of minnesota opens up and partially merges with our storm. Surface highs do not dictate surface low tracks, by in large. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:57 PM, OSUmetstud said: there's an avenue for that to happen since the trough north of minnesota opens up and partially merges with our storm. Surface highs do not dictate surface low tracks, by in large. They don't dictate, but don't they influence? As long as that track makes sense meteorologically, okay it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Nam@84hrs is the GFS @384 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 nam turns me over to plain rain for a couple hours lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The NAM basically nails STL/PIA...no other model is even remotely that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:59 PM, NorEastermass128 said: They don't dictate, but don't they influence? As long as that track makes sense meteorologically, okay it's possible. it make no sense..yea maybe it ends up in western pa..but Michigan?..the setup doesn't allow that..it should be much more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:47 PM, Cold Front said: The low @ hr108 was still south of LI , If you saw hr 132 the low is over Southern Novie it would be over 12" up here, It drops close to 1.50" qpf here and 1.25" over in VT GYX has at least sleet in yours and mine zones. It was good to see the Euro improved, but damn....I hope we can at pull 6 inches from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:08 PM, mahk_webstah said: GYX has at least sleet in yours and mine zones. It was good to see the Euro improved, but damn....I hope we can at pull 6 inches from this. That's pretty much climo with a track close to the Euro ensembles. Taint for southern NH and just about up to the foothills in ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 2:18 PM, CT Blizz said: Who can argue with that? 100 miles east would not be a big shift this far out and would mean a lot to many in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:20 PM, OceanStWx said: That's pretty much climo with a track close to the Euro ensembles. Taint for southern NH and just about up to the foothills in ME. Would be a pretty good dump of snow on the front end i would think with that though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:08 PM, mahk_webstah said: GYX has at least sleet in yours and mine zones. It was good to see the Euro improved, but damn....I hope we can at pull 6 inches from this. Yeah, That's fine by me, Still would do quite well i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:29 PM, Cold Front said: Would be a pretty good dump of snow on the front end i would think with that though Well all signs also point to a good deal of QPF, and as usual mixed precip arriving late in the overall duration of the storm. I think we would thump pretty good in that verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Gfs is ugly again. Takes it over cincy, no secondary yet through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:50 PM, Allsnow said: Gfs is ugly again. Takes it over cincy, no secondary yet through 72 Who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Looks like 12z GFS is going to come east a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Swfe. One has to hope th cad holds as long as possibl and it certainly will be more than what gfs shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On 12/23/2012 at 3:53 PM, ORH_wxman said: Looks like 12z GFS is going to come east a bit... Looks to have secondary over Phl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Yeah it looks better then 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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