tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ggem for christmas wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ggem for christmas wave On the edge...How's that compare to earlier ggem?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 On the edge...How's that compare to earlier ggem?? its snowier.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 euro still has some lgt snow from city north and surrounding burbs on north...precip about .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 euro still has some lgt snow from city north and surrounding burbs on north...precip about .1 ok...one of only a few following you tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 euro still has some lgt snow from city north and surrounding burbs on north...precip about .1 06 GFS similar. Still a shot at a white xmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 06 GFS similar. Still a shot at a white xmas Yeah, can't rule anything out just yet. Even as things took a turn for the uglier yesterday. Maybe we can eek out a period of snow, Atleast at the onset Tuesday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 NAM with a swfe mini thump christmas eve 1-2" come on i know it can. Almost in it's range just make it to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ggem for christmas wave Have a Merry Christmas everyone and may every foot of elevation work in your favor on Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Have a Merry Christmas everyone and may every foot of elevation work in your favor on Christmas Eve. In that case i will be hiking to the top of haycock mountain by lake nockamixon. The 790' elevation should do the trick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 NAM with a swfe mini thump christmas eve 1-2" come on i know it can. Almost in it's range just make it to 18z Its plausible. Weak CAD signal with mid-level moisture push. Lets hope it holds up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Will climbing a 30 foot dune help me tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 Only if that 30 foot dune is NW of the city and sitting on top of a MSL of 250 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 Looks a little better. Still hoping for the Christmas miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 NAM restart on NCEP website. Too good to be true?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 Quick tread I am noticing on nam since 0z. Each run has but a little more energy at 500mb further south which is helping to develop the low further south. This should help this run I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Quick tread I am noticing on nam since 0z. Each run has but a little more energy at 500mb further south which is helping to develop the low further south. This should help this run I think. Yup. That feature, which is separate from the one further north, is key for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 At 36 850 below SNJ and off shore. Looking good this far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 At 36 850 below SNJ and off shore. Looking good this far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 Killjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Killjoy. You should see some snow to start. Whenever you have a system over erie, don't expect that much snow. Southerly winds are the death Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 tombo is the new dr. no reality check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well, the low track is less than ideal, but we can work with this IF that feature at 500mb can continue to trend the way it is and pull the system further south. Keeping me interested at least. Tom, based on what you posted it is a mix event even NW of cities based on current nam, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well, the low track is less than ideal, but we can work with this IF that feature at 500mb can continue to trend the way it is and pull the system further south. Keeping me interested at least. Tom, based on what you posted it is a mix event even NW of cities based on current nam, right? it would start as snow...then prob towards the middle or end switch to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 tombo, surface is hellish warm, but I think it may still snow just not stick for a while. I'm just hoping to see some flakes flying in NE Philly...I got my eyes on the Day 7 storm, some GFS ensembles show a full out Miller B bomb, EURO ens are too far inland, hopefully the Dec 27-28 storm sets up as a stronger 50/50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 it would start as snow...then prob towards the middle or end switch to rain Tom - What does hour 33 look like. Most precip is over by hour 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Tom - What does hour 33 look like. Most precip is over by hour 39. for the city its pretty blah, it may be more of snow that never stick or rain/snow mix.. hr 33 the freezing level at phl is around 937mb or 2100 feet up, so that screams more rain. For places like dyl ptw, ukt...its snow that flips prob as its ending...hr 36 has ptw and dyl still below with the freeze level around 400-500 ft which is snow. by hr 39 the precip is done...so they are majority frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 for the city its pretty blah, it may be more of snow that never stick or rain/snow mix.. hr 33 the freezing level at phl is around 937mb or 2100 feet up, so that screams more rain. For places like dyl ptw, ukt...its snow that flips prob as its ending...hr 36 has ptw and dyl still below with the freeze level around 400-500 ft which is snow. by hr 39 the precip is done...so they are majority frozen Tombo mmu or ewr thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 That is good news for me where I sit, but yeah, gonna be tough to get a true white Xmas, but the flakes falling Xmas eve will be nice. Here is hoping for further trending so more folks can enjoy. Merry Xmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Tombo mmu or ewr thanks ewr, starts as rain/ snow mix or snow that never sticks...the freezing level is 1300 ft...by hr 39 solidly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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