michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 WOW MKE is at 1.75" rain already, still raining and the deform snow band to still move through. They will easily eclipse 2" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Milwaukee is already changing over, so the 0z estimate is off. Even MKX would back up the earlier start time. Down to 40° here now. NNW wind. lol @ the term "snowsaber" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Interesting AFD from IND about how to handle the headlines. Also much less enthusiastic about snowfall amounts in the CWA. Looks like a little bit of wind and colder temps. I guess your T will end up being the right call.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 How's the flake size? not super large, a little bigger then "medium" but there are lot of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 No offense but we won't be getting more than 2 to four inches additional. And that might be a bit high. My SmartCast Summary Output 20 Dec/19Z to 21 Dec/19Z (Full output uploaded http://smartwxmodel.net/update.htm) Davenport Region: Monitoring heavy snow from 21Z to 00Z, with snow rates of 1.2 to 1.9” possible during this timeframe. Potential to receive up to an additional 7” of snowfall. Winds will continue 40 to 45MPH with gusts up to 55MPH possible from 19Z to 05Z. Blizzard like conditions from 21Z to 04Z. Fond Du Lac Region: Continued snow til about 14Z, then cloudy. Snowfall rates will be around .7” through the period, with some isolated 1” possible, especially 20Z to 02Z. Snowfall accumulations of 8.2” possible. In addition, blizzard conditions from now until 14Z, with winds gusting up to 45MPH til 10Z. Traverse City Region: Looking at snow increasing in intensity after 00Z, with snowfall rates up to .8” per hour. Winds will begin increasing to 30 to 40MPH after 06Z, then 40 to 45MPH from 09Z through 16Z. Looking at snowfall accumulations of 7.8” during next 24 hours. Rockford Region: Snow will begin around 22Z and rapidly increase with 1.3 to 1.8” snow rates from 22Z to 02Z, this will result in up to 8” of snow accumulation possible. In additions winds will be gusting around 45MPH from 22Z to 07Z, causing blizzard like conditions during this time. After 13Z, look for wind chills to run 0F to -5F. Milwaukee Region: Looking for snow to begin around 00Z, with snowfall rates of 1.1 to 1.8” from 00Z to 03Z. Snow will continue through 19Z. Looking at 7.1” of snow accumulation possible. In addition, winds will increase to 35 to 40MPH after 23Z, and around 50MPH from 04Z to 08Z. Look for blizzard conditions from 02Z to 09Z. Galesburg Region: Moderate to Heavy Snow from now til 00Z, with snowfall rates of 1 to 1.4” possible. Potential to receive up to 7” on snow accumulations possible. Also winds will be between 50 and 55MPH from 20Z to 03Z, which will cause blizzard like conditions till around 08Z, then improving. Snowfall accumulation Potential: Dubuque: 3.6”, Wind Gust 51MPH Possible Green Bay: 5.4”, Wind Gust 44MPH Possible Kenosha: 4.1” Quincy: 3.8”, Wind Gusts up to 58MPH Possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Looks like a little bit of wind and colder temps. I guess your T will end up being the right call.. Wind will be the show for us, already starting to crank a bit here. A few snow showers will set the mood later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Milwaukee is normally one of the better cities for commute times, but needless to say it will be horrible today. The worst timing for commuters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 No offense but we won't be getting more than 2 to four inches additional. And that might be a bit high. What do you have on the ground at the moment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Wind will be the show for us, already starting to crank a bit here. A few snow showers will set the mood later. You know it's a failure when you're settling for the mood setter consolation prize. Probably the same here...I don't even think we make an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 What do you have on the ground at the moment? Averaging all the measurements about 4.5" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Averaging all the measurements about 4.5" so far you'll fall right in your 4-8" range, so there's that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 No offense but we won't be getting more than 2 to four inches additional. And that might be a bit high. None taken, just going of my output, still trying to indicate some decent snow for about 3-4 hours. Seeing DVN within a heavier band right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 You know it's a failure when you're settling for the mood setter consolation prize. Probably the same here...I don't even think we make an inch. I'm desperate. Any flakes flying here will be a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Its very fine misty flakes, but snowing good. Alek very happy my call will work out, was nervous for a while. I can't complain since we had the ghd blizzard. None taken, just going of my output, still trying to indicate some decent snow for about 3-4 hours. Seeing DVN within a heavier band right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Duke Indiana is already reporting over 11k outages across the state. Hope this doesn't get worse overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Some of the heaviest snow now compared to the last couple hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Gdamnit!! Maybe I wasn't too far off after all! lol. Verona is about 6 miles away From Skilling: 18.5" snow Middleton WI, 16" Verona WI, 11.4 Truax Field. Snowing very heavily in RFD--roads now snow covered. Transition to snow: 1:45 pm. Oh well, I feel better about being more diligent with my measurements over a wider area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Light sleet here in Dkb at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 One of friends in central Milwaukee county said there's some giant flakes coming down! Changing over in western Racine and Kenosha Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Duke Indiana is already reporting over 11k outages across the state. Hope this doesn't get worse overnight. Not like were going to have any snow accumulations.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 As for tonight...Im hoping we can get an inch total here by tomorrow afternoon, but am totally expecting the wet slushy snow that doesnt stick to pavement. I honestly havent had to shovel here since Feb 14th (I didnt shovel Feb 24th bc it melted on pavement quickly). Tho I did have to shovel my tires out in Grayling March 3rd! The March and November dustings were of no shoveling consequence at all. If the euro is right, that will change this week. if not I will have to join SSC in the complaint thread. I may not have had it nearly as bad as him in terms of his years of sucky luck, but my patience for this year will only go so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Heading home. Car says 44F at Barrington Rd. and I-90. Moderate rain falling. Low, ragged, dark gray clouds looking good. Skilling saying 3-5 city proper lesser south on Meier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Winds certainly back on the increase. Should start cranking within the next few hours. I have absolutely no doubt that we will lose power tonight. Seems we lose power any time the wind gusts above 30 mph. As for snow... Was hoping we'd pull a miracle and get within the 2-3" range, but I'm pretty pessimistic about that now. An inch should be attainable; anything more will likely be a stretch. Wildcard could be any lake response, but there's too many negatives in play for that right now (winds are too strong, best instability arrives after flow veers more west). Still think Michiana may squeeze a few inches. Overall a pretty awesome storm, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Snowfall totals for Iowa. Easy to spot where the thundersnow was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Snowfall totals for Iowa. Easy to spot where the thundersnow was. Offset boobs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Midway pressure beginning to rise again. Got down to 29.03/983.2 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Offset boobs or a new meaning to the term 'Weather porn'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 41F car temp now at Fox River & I-90 with clouds ripping out of NNW. Rain drops slapping windshield now with that partial frozen look. Edit: 39F at Randall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Skilling saying 3-5 city proper lesser south on Meier. Throwing the hail mary still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Throwing the hail mary still Says changeover at 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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