MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 6z GFS continues to be colder than the Nam. It shows 1-2 inches of snow for the City before it changes to rain and more snow just to the west of the area. Euro snowmap from 0z has 2-4 inches of snow for NYC and more to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 6z GFS continues to be colder than the Nam. It shows 1-2 inches of snow for the City before it changes to rain and more snow just to the west of the area. Euro snowmap from 0z has 2-4 inches of snow for NYC and more to the west. It shows more than that buddy: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 It shows more than that buddy: I see what happened. That map is including the snow forecast for the weekend into the total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 12z Nam is slightly colder. Here is the snowmap. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/12znamsnow_NE048.gif Looks good just to the west of NYC. So close for the city. 1-3 inches of snow for NYC before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 12 Z nam clown may looks to hammer NW NJ. Will wait for a pro to chime in though to confirm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 12z Nam is slightly colder. Here is the snowmap. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/12znamsnow_NE048.gif Looks good just to the west of NYC. So close for the city. 1-3 inches of snow for NYC before the changeover. Actaully looks very good just north and west of the city! Merry Christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Actaully looks very good just north and west of the city! Merry Christmas everyone! Much better than the previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Yep! NAM finally catching on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 That clown map doesn't match up with the one on instantweathermaps. I think it's screaming ICE for NW NJ, but will also wait for the mets to help out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Yep! NAM finally catching on? Another look at the 6z GFS snowmap http://meteocentre.com/models/get_accum.php?mod=gfs&run=06&type=SN&hi=000&hf=048〈=en&map=na Nam might be catching on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 12z NAM shows temps in the 40's and 850 temps >0 as the precip begins, not sure what everyone is looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Nam is warmer than the Euro and GFS. Lets see what the GFS shows soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 12z NAM smokes us up here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 That clown map doesn't match up with the one on instantweathermaps. I think it's screaming ICE for NW NJ, but will also wait for the mets to help out. The NAM begins as a mix west of the City eventually going over to all rain there after quite a bit of icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Meteocentre's snow maps are a more accurate tool I have noticed. Nam has no snow for anyone near the city: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 that snowmap looks very innacurate. The 1" snowline shouldn't even be close to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 that snowmap looks very innacurate. The 1" snowline shouldn't even be close to NYC The one I posted is much more accurate. That site has the best snow maps for all the models. Right now, the NAM is the warmest model by far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 12z RGEM looks really interesting. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 12z RGEM looks really interesting. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Wow.. The RGEM slams us good as well. Keeps us all snow up this way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Wow.. The RGEM slams us good as well. Keeps us all snow up this way.. It shows a mix down to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 It shows a mix down to NYC. Last night's 0z run was colder for city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Last night's 0z run was colder for city. Yeah this run is a thumbs down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 932 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ENDING THIS MORNING OVER SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT... ...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... NJZ002-NYZ067-068-252245- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T2100Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- 932 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...PUTNAM AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND ICE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WEDNESDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCRETION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...NEAR FREEZING. * IMPACTS...HEAVIER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Yeah this run is a thumbs down. This run looks slightly more frozen precip. It showed a little more snow at 0z though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 nam has proven not to be reliable lately until very late in the game...that is when the snow is almost here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Upton looks to be going with 6-8" early on for these parts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Upton looks to be going with 6-8" early on for these parts.. That map is so painful to look at as a guy on the coast. Sounds about right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Upton is bullish for a once in several years coastal impact thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 The 12z RGEM is a really nice front end thump for us in the N and W Burbs, and it looks even better than the 00z RGEM. Rain/Snow line remains further south for longer on the 12z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 The 12z RGEM is a really nice front end thump for us in the N and W Burbs, and it looks even better than the 00z RGEM. Rain/Snow line remains further south for longer on the 12z RGEM. 12z GFS continues to be colder than the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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