Porsche Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 and the GEFS is a solid snowstorm I95 north and west i like the look of that uk Indeed be curious to see the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 through 108, h5 is still open/neutral tilt..little more ocnfluence along the EC compared to 0z 1000-996 over MS. 114, 996 over N GA. h5 closes off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 120, 992 over eastern TN. little more S/e this run. bagginess towardscoast with isobars... (sorry for spelling.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 126, 996 trying to transfer towards eastern NC. heights a smidge lower...precip just entering SEPA>. looks some warming mid levels. 850[s colder towards SNJ beaches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 some decent CAD at 120 hrs...500mb still looks too far west than I'd like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 132, broad LP 996 or so over delmarva. ice/boundary issues SE PA-allentown, mod precip..rain for NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 shifted east a little bit due to lower heigh rises along the EC> looks like GFS a good bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 verbatim, Boundary issues up to poconos. low runs I-95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 irish how much frozen in Philly b4 the changeover, anything worthwhile? I'd take an inch honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 looks fairly cold at the surface and ice stormy 4" snow on christmas followed by an ice storm, i'm game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm sensing a ice storm for my area, maybe I can stay all frozen out here at KLNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm sensing a ice storm for my area, maybe I can stay all frozen out here at KLNS It's a very sloppy storm per euro. Central and western PA are all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 A coast hugger. Great for interior. Trend is still good on Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 verbatim, Boundary issues up to poconos. low runs I-95 Still shifting east it sounds like huh? Low runs up I-95 now?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 irish how much frozen in Philly b4 the changeover, anything worthwhile? I'd take an inch honestly 126 has <.10", frozen.. it warms, and we're @ .75" 6hr maxima... the 850 line runs northern chesco, montgo, half of bucks....surface 0 line is bout 20 miles north of that. but the thickness line runs to about allentown.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Still shifting east it sounds like huh? Low runs up I-95 now?? yeah, after the transfer, very broad 996 slp runs NEMD-NYC... very broad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Almost up to 50 on the euro here in freehold, with about 1 1/4" of rain, back home in cny low 20's with heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 sorry for the Poor PBP, on my ipad as i shop around for new computers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 sorry for the Poor PBP, on my ipad as i shop around for new computers. Thanks for the PBP. On the whole not a big change compared to 00z just a little colder with better CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 more trending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 more trending You said it Andy! Just flipping the 00z and 12z run back and forth is awesome man. Can see a beautiful jump east. And we still have 5 days to go. Looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Mount Holly AFD: .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS OFF FAIRLY BENIGN AS WE START TO SEE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TOWARD THE REGION. WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING, WE MAY CONTINUE TO SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES FALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES, MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION, KEEPING US DRY THROUGH SUNDAY AND MOST OF MONDAY /CHRISTMAS EVE/. THE MID LEVEL FLOW STARTS TO GO ZONAL BY MONDAY AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO WEAKEN. UNTIL THIS WEAKENING BEGINS TO OCCUR IN THE MID LEVELS, WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE GUSTY SIDE. THE REST OF THE EXTENDED STARTS TO GET ACTIVE AFTER THIS. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON MONDAY AND MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY /CHRISTMAS DAY/. THERE ISN`T A LOT OF MOISTURE AROUND WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT WITH THE NIGHTTIME TIMING, TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S AND RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. PRECIPITATION LOOKS LIKE IT WILL END UP BEING SNOW SHOWERS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM AS IT STARTS TO PULL OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AND THEN TRACKS EAST TO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, THEN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WOULD BECOME MORE OF A COASTAL STORM, TRACKING TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST, MOVING THROUGH OR NEAR OUR AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE ARE PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTIES WITH THIS STORM. THE MAIN ONE BEING THE EXACT TRACK. BASED ON THE CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE, THE STORM WOULD BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION, MAKING FOR AN ICIER DAY THAN SNOWY DAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN 2/3RDS OF OUR REGION. MOISTURE BUILDS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WHICH WOULD LEAD TO OVERRUNNING AND IN RETURN THE ICIER SOLUTION. WITH CONFIDENCE NOT ALL THAT HIGH AT THIS TIME, WE KEPT WITH A MENTION OF RAIN/SNOW ACROSS THE REGION, WITH MORE RAIN AS YOU HEAD SOUTH AND TOWARD THE COAST. WE DID INCREASE THE POPS TO LIKELY AS IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE WILL SEE SOMETHING FROM THIS SYSTEM NEXT WEEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow JMA, not sure how much precip is rain, but its still snowing at 144...jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Wow JMA, not sure how much precip is rain, but its still snowing at 144...jesus not saying its rain or not but those maps are deceiving. Because you don't know how much of that precip falls and where the 850 line is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 not saying its rain or not but those maps are deceiving. Because you don't know how much of that precip falls and where the 850 line is. And its the JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 And its the JMA. JMA = Just Mutalilated Algorithms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 granted it's 5+ days out but gotta watch for sleet/zr on this one for some folks. Pretty decent signature for it showing up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 the 18 gfs should be further south than 12z...the christmas wave drags down the confluence more and the northern stream energy isn't diving down as fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Nice run for the nw burbs on this run, all snow...best run for the city to...majority of precip is freezing/frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Nice run for the nw burbs on this run, all snow...best run for the city to...majority of precip is freezing/frozen great run...solid 6-10 for us. too bad it's the 18z and 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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