LVblizzard Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 What's the front end thump look like for us? 3-6" then rain...pretty decent considering how far west it was at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 12z GFS starts frozen near phl. Nice front end dump in LV+lower SV. Could be a foot in the Poconos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 GEM also a little colder to start. Similar to GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 whats a little more notable is that their are quite a few ens members southeast/east of the operational..Im not saying raging snowstorm for phl or lehigh valley. But this does have some room to bump further east or southeast to introduce more wintry weather and maybe make the lehigh valley and esp the pocs 75% frozen/freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 12z GFS starts frozen near phl. Not @PHL. Maybe to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 whats a little more notable is that their are quite a few ens members southeast/east of the operational..Im not saying raging snowstorm for phl or lehigh valley. But this does have some room to bump further east or southeast to introduce more wintry weather and maybe make the lehigh valley and esp the pocs 75% frozen/freezing. Any news on the Euro yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Tracking this storm will be a nail biter considering my parents are traveling all the way from Georgia, leaving tomorrow night and driving up I-81, probably not arriving until the 27th (since I told them to take their time). If this trends a little more southeast, things will get very interesting. It already looks like the Poconos could get nailed. Patiently awaiting the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Not @PHL. Maybe to the NW. sounding over my work in wayne screams sleet with some snow thrown in at hr 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Not @PHL. Maybe to the NW. Agree but its not far away around fall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Any news on the Euro yet? coming in now..ill let you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 so far on the euro through hr 30...def more confluence up north with lessening of the hgts along the east coast compared to 0z and the storm is weaker so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 whats a little more notable is that their are quite a few ens members southeast/east of the operational..Im not saying raging snowstorm for phl or lehigh valley. But this does have some room to bump further east or southeast to introduce more wintry weather and maybe make the lehigh valley and esp the pocs 75% frozen/freezing. so raging snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 through hr 42..the low is a little further southeast...hgts continue to run lower than 0z...confluence also a bit better. Low strength is about the same maybe a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 48 has a sub 1000 low just east of nashville ten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 54 low is now weaker than 0z...sub 1000 low southeast ky..with a 2ndry starting to form over central nc...hgts continue to be less compared to the 0z along the east coast...540 thicknesses along with frz line are running about 30 miles further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 54 low is now weaker than 0z...sub 1000 low southeast ky..with a 2ndry starting to form over central nc...hgts continue to be less compared to the 0z along the east coast...540 thicknesses along with frz line are running about 30 miles further south Precip. already in the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 60 2ndry has taken over, sub 1000 low over richmond... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 54-60 going off 850 solely look like maybe som frozen to start around the city...def furhter nw...hr 66 sub 996 low over southern del Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 72 sub 996 about 100 miles east of toms river, nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 54 850 line runs from belmar nj-ttn-miv then just south of dov... frz line abe-rdg- northenr lanc co precip entering ches co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 60 850 line runs from belmar-dyl-boyertown-mdt...frz line mdt-schuylkil haven pa-southern carbon and monroe co....25-.5 qpf with .5-.75 central and southern del and western ches co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 66 850 line nyc-lehigh valley tunnel-hamburg-mdt...frz line pocs to shippensburg pa... qpf .75-1 from acy expwy north jerz and all of se pa and eastern pa to pocs...acy expwy south and del minus new castle co .5-.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 72 850 line runs through carbon and monroe co to pottsvile pa to york..frz line hazleton to lewisburg to newville pa... qpf .1-.25 for majority of area with .25-.5 from ocean co to ukt to montrose pa.. hr 78 out of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LehighValleyDad Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 hr 72 850 line runs through carbon and monroe co to pottsvile pa to york..frz line hazleton to lewisburg to newville pa... qpf .1-.25 for majority of area with .25-.5 from ocean co to ukt to montrose pa.. hr 78 out of here Thank you for the detailed posts. Correct me if I'm wrong but that sure sounds like a good bit of frozen precip in the Lehigh Valley .... Perhaps up to 4" snow before sleet then eventually rain no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Thank you for the detailed posts. Correct me if I'm wrong but that sure sounds like a good bit of frozen precip in the Lehigh Valley .... Perhaps up to 4" snow before sleet then eventually rain no? sounds about right going off 850s... im waiting on the wunderground maps for accum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 poconos & ski resorts could use the euro run to verify for the sake of business. nice thumping for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Great posts! Do you believe that the rain will go back to snow in Bucks and Lehigh Counties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Would bet the cooling trend is not done with this one....seems to be a common thread with recent runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 the wunderground maps has basically coating-2 for fall line to about phoienixville dyl area... 2-4 nw burbs with 4 plus in lehigh valley and 8 plus in pocs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Great posts! Do you believe that the rain will go back to snow in Bucks and Lehigh Counties? as currently modelled no, dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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