ChescoWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 I posted JBs latest tweets under vendor - with his thoughts on why the warm models are too warm and the colder models too cold - he still likes where his forecast is - and big shock - expect no changes. He feels models will come back to his line of thinking with a battle along I95 with snow and ice north and west of the big cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 what negativity? Most are just saying what the model is hsowing, i don't see that being negative, more realistic. I know it isn't this thread, but there has been a bit of negativity in the banter thread. Granted, it's mostly just a couple posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Does the GFS even pop a secondary at all? Loltastic run for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GFS says bermuda shorts for the wildwood crowd wednesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Does the GFS even pop a secondary at all? Loltastic run for sure. Nope. Primary gets all the way to N NY. Overall 18z similar to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The remarkable thing is that even with this system bombing the next event closer to the 30th-31st still tries to cut, it seems even with a bombing storm we cannot hold the darn confluence long enough for the next storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Watch what ya wish for after a snowy Icy winter you will have had enough of sitting in the seat of that Mack banging around dealing with all the idiot drivers. My Dad did it for 40yrs I hear ya, thankfully I am based out of the northern fringe of the area, I do all the secondary's out in the country lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GFS says bermuda shorts for the wildwood crowd wednesday morning Thanks to a mild December, the ocean is still close to 50F and the Pacific flow does not want to let up. We don't hold out much hope for snow until late January or February down here. Seems like winter is really only a 3 to 5 week affair anymore. Everyone enjoy the holidays and be merry. -Jeff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Doesn't seem like the blocking is all that great. Looks decent on maps, but the NaO is becoming pretty weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 not looking good for storm #2. at least storm #1 doesn't look as soggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 This should be a huge red flag that this system cannot be 100% written off just yet: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 come on ralphie thats the nogaps even JB doesn't pull that card Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 This should be a huge red flag that this system cannot be 100% written off just yet: Just don't shoot your eye out with a red Ryder BB gun if the Nogaps is a I95 runner or apps runner next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 Just trying to give the weenies some hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Just trying to give the weenies some hope. Jack Daniels will do it hey the sref's are going so far west it might not even get all that warm or rainy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 GFS says this one is over. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 new years weekend is going to rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 GFS pretty consistent. The confluence is weak and the trough amplifies near the Miss River. Need to pull for it setting the stage for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 A lot of burnt on the grill tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ps..blame Ray. I accept full responsibility. As evidence I present that Elko had 5" of snow today. Yes, now that I'm gone it snowed. Figures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 0z UKMET looks to have shifted slightly west from 0z last night and 12z today, probably still some frozen in the CWA verbatim. 0z GGEM is decently far west, tracks from SE VA right up I-95 to NYC. GFS Ens Mean is essentially the same track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 euro just shifted its track from over or just west of phl to now through southern del then off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 pocs look to stay all snow this run...a little snow on the front end for philly then over to rain...looks like more of a front end dumo for nw burbs to lehigh valley before over to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 euro just shifted its track from over or just west of phl to now through southern del then off the coast ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ???? yea pretty dramatic shift...the confluence was better and i think what also played a role the next shortwave racing to the pacific coast was a heck of a lot faster, basically pushing it along. Thus the timing with the northern stream was delayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 yea pretty dramatic shift...the confluence was better and i think what also played a role the next shortwave racing to the pacific coast was a heck of a lot faster, basically pushing it along. Thus the timing with the northern stream was delayed. qpf reduced? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 qpf reduced? no, still a nice slug 1.25-1.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 no, still a nice slug 1.25-1.75 nice headed to NE PA on Wednesday for a few days!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 per wunderground snow maps off euro... 1-3 for nw burbs...lehigh valley 4+ that looks generous off the maps, looks like more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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