famartin Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Thinking of February 2010, but not sure if that counts. Other than that, off the top of my head PDII (2003) comes to mind. Feb 2010 was more like 72 hours (first ended on the 6th, next one started on the 9th). PDII was more like 24 hours, but not all areas saw significant snow. At TTN there was less than a half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 TR, could you include KILG. Thx! Just type it in the box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
negative-nao Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 has the 0z started ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 has the 0z started ? no, 1040 it gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 stronger storm on the gfs so far down south, but their is more confluence and less northern stream interaction. Looks like it wants to shoot up towards tn/ky then redevelop...The christmas wave is really helping out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Strong primary to Kentucky but good CAD also. Lets see who wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Heck of an ice storm just outside the cities...Stronger primary really advects the warm air aloft, so not much snow this run. Continued theme of 0z/12z runs are phased more, while the off runs are less phased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Heck of an ice storm just outside the cities...Stronger primary really advects the warm air aloft, so not much snow this run. Continued theme of 0z/12z runs are phased more, while the off runs are less phased. Yeah. Very similar to 12z except a little colder at start. Probably all frozen in N+W suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Heck of an ice storm just outside the cities...Stronger primary really advects the warm air aloft, so not much snow this run. Continued theme of 0z/12z runs are phased more, while the off runs are less phased. Is it more sleet or freezing rain? This storm is beginning to remind me of Valentine's Day 2007, which was an epic sleet-fest in the Lehigh Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Valentines day storm clone? Sleet Rob's favorite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Is it more sleet or freezing rain? This storm is beginning to remind me of Valentine's Day 2007, which was an epic sleet-fest in the Lehigh Valley. up in your area it looks like its just the 850mb layer thats warm. Go down towards ptw to ukt to dyl to paul its more frz rain, the 925mb is pretty warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Is it more sleet or freezing rain? This storm is beginning to remind me of Valentine's Day 2007, which was an epic sleet-fest in the Lehigh Valley. Too early to tell. Mostly snow in LV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Anybody notice it has the between storm window down to just 24 hours, that's crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Heck of an ice storm just outside the cities...Stronger primary really advects the warm air aloft, so not much snow this run. Continued theme of 0z/12z runs are phased more, while the off runs are less phased. yeah, i think the difference between the 0z gfs and 12z and 18z gfs were: 1. 0z, 18z gfs stronger than 12z with the xmas vort 2. the 12z and 0z GFS bring the shortwaves associated with 27th event onshore stronger, and a little deeper. the 18z gfs had them seperated a little bit more. Hence, a more amp'd solution @ h5. 3. the 0z GFS had trouble keeping the trough closed off ( every other frame is seemed to open back up) 12z didnt have that problem. obviously, the 18z never really closed off till the transfer. thats my breakdown of the GFS runs today. i know its 5 days away, but these little differnces here and there are really gonna determine how i-95 makes out. seems like the models bring the shortwave onshore 12z monday fwiw* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 5 days out........long way to go before anything is certain. I'd rather it be rain or snow, no need for ice and power outages again. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Anybody notice it has the between storm window down to just 24 hours, that's crazy And check what's on its heels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Yeah still a long way to go. Common storm for this area with a mixed bag of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 GGEM 120 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 verbatim a real slop fest at KPNE: 0.17" snow, then 0.37" sleet and freezing rain, then another 0.23" snow. 2 m temps don't get above 32 F so even with 850's torching it sure is an interesting storm. at KABE: 0.28" snow, 0.19" snow/sleet mix, then flurries You all know where to look so no point in breaking it down for everyone's backyard, but the point is it's still a lot more interesting than a plain rain storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 0z UKMET: real jump towards a consensus of a late-bombing Miller B coastal hugger from the GFS, Canadian and Ukie so far tonight. Let's see what the Euro throws out and if we can start switching from talking about track to talking about thermals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 verbatim a real slop fest at KPNE: 0.17" snow, then 0.37" sleet and freezing rain, then another 0.23" snow. 2 m temps don't get above 32 F so even with 850's torching it sure is an interesting storm. at KABE: 0.28" snow, 0.19" snow/sleet mix, then flurries You all know where to look so no point in breaking it down for everyone's backyard, but the point is it's still a lot more interesting than a plain rain storm Hoping Hurricane is back in time for these upcoming events....all the local tv mets analysis these past few days has been pretty lacking/conservative!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Hoping Hurricane is back in time for these upcoming events....all the local tv mets analysis these past few days has been pretty lacking/conservative!! As they should be. This is FAR from a lock, and people don't care how close the rain/snow line is if it's plain rain in their backyard, so no need hyping things up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 0z GGEM. Drops a bomb on us. 540 Line runs N-S right along I-95 but their precip type algorithm spits out rain for most of the 5-county area at 132. Still though, if we take half of what falls 120-132 and all of what falls before 120 Philly would get probably at least 0.50" (maybe even 0.75") of snow before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 As they should be. This is FAR from a lock, and people don't care how close the rain/snow line is if it's plain rain in their backyard, so no need hyping things up yet. Agreed, as to the "rain/snow line" delineation this early out, but Cecily was the only one giving any kind of analysis as to the possible scenarios!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 hr 102 has a sub 996mb loe over nw al...hr 108 sub 996mb low over eastern ten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 hr 114 sub 1000mb primary over eastern ky...and sub 1004mb 2ndry forming just north of raliegh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 hr 120 secondary has taken over fully over fredricksburg va...hr 114 had lgt precip moving in with 850 line over southern del..frz line quarryville, pa-wayne, pa-ttn-nyc hr 120 has 850 line toms river then through northern chester and lanc co..frz line abe-rdg-mdt....25-.5 for everyone... .5-.75 lanc co,del co, phl co, all of south jerz... .75-1 all of del except new castle co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 hr 126 sub 996 low over acy...everyone is rain except pocs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 hr 132 dry slotted with lgt precip over the region.. sub 996 low about 75 miles east of toms river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 Tombo, if you don't mind, what is the euro showing further west for both the christmas storm and the 26th out towards central and western pa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.