CLTwx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 FWIW....Vogan on the Vodka coming to the US and eventually South. http://www.markvoganweather.com/2012/12/22/worlds-coldest-air-compared-to-normal-may-be-heading-for-usa/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2012 Author Share Posted December 22, 2012 before I get banned or told to take this to the banter thread... Strong, I really appreciate the Fox promotion to chief.. so where do I send the check? your addr sir? Franklin is a good friend... and Burger, nothing but love for ya... you are one of the better posters on here and have enjoyed your Euro play-by-plays since you seem to get the maps more quickly than anyone on the eastern seaboard Delta, msuwx & Foothills are all good friends and have knowledgeable input, but I'm not telling you anything you don't know Back on topic: let's hope the subtropical jet keeps kicking and the SOI can at least stay negative at times. The more systems we get to roll across the higher the probability we cash. Welcome aboard! Definitely mad props for the screen name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 before I get banned or told to take this to the banter thread... Strong, I really appreciate the Fox promotion to chief.. so where do I send the check? your addr sir? Franklin is a good friend... and Burger, nothing but love for ya... you are one of the better posters on here and have enjoyed your Euro play-by-plays since you seem to get the maps more quickly than anyone on the eastern seaboard Delta, msuwx & Foothills are all good friends and have knowledgeable input, but I'm not telling you anything you don't know Back on topic: let's hope the subtropical jet keeps kicking and the SOI can at least stay negative at times. The more systems we get to roll across the higher the probability we cash. Welcome! Thanks for the extra input! looking forward to your posts this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 22, 2012 Share Posted December 22, 2012 The GFS graphs seem pretty insistent that the AO will go back in to positive territory after the new year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 before I get banned or told to take this to the banter thread... Strong, I really appreciate the Fox promotion to chief.. so where do I send the check? your addr sir? Franklin is a good friend... and Burger, nothing but love for ya... you are one of the better posters on here and have enjoyed your Euro play-by-plays since you seem to get the maps more quickly than anyone on the eastern seaboard Delta, msuwx & Foothills are all good friends and have knowledgeable input, but I'm not telling you anything you don't know Back on topic: let's hope the subtropical jet keeps kicking and the SOI can at least stay negative at times. The more systems we get to roll across the higher the probability we cash. Welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 before I get banned or told to take this to the banter thread... Strong, I really appreciate the Fox promotion to chief.. so where do I send the check? your addr sir? Franklin is a good friend... and Burger, nothing but love for ya... you are one of the better posters on here and have enjoyed your Euro play-by-plays since you seem to get the maps more quickly than anyone on the eastern seaboard Delta, msuwx & Foothills are all good friends and have knowledgeable input, but I'm not telling you anything you don't know Back on topic: let's hope the subtropical jet keeps kicking and the SOI can at least stay negative at times. The more systems we get to roll across the higher the probability we cash. Welcome to the board and post often........ What's your location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Gville ,SC .Andy Wood.Fox 21.Best met in Greenville! I think the Jan 2-3 time frame is looking good.its been modeled for a while now,and the good snow pack building up will help the cold air involved Welcome to the board and post often........ What's your location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Gville ,SC .Andy Wood.Fox 21.Best met in Greenville! I think the Jan 2-3 time frame is looking good.its been modeled for a while now,and the good snow pack building up will help the cold air involved Good deal........ Looking forward to hearing his analysis and thoughts during the up-coming events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColdRainsStr8cashhomey Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Gville ,SC .Andy Wood.Fox 21.Best met in Greenville! I think the Jan 2-3 time frame is looking good.its been modeled for a while now,and the good snow pack building up will help the cold air involved really appreciate the kind words in this thread I have to say that the longer I forecast weather, the more humbling this science becomes, especially when you think you may know more than the next person also, excuse the question, but how do I make my location visible all that other stuff on the side? TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 before I get banned or told to take this to the banter thread... Strong, I really appreciate the Fox promotion to chief.. so where do I send the check? your addr sir? Franklin is a good friend... and Burger, nothing but love for ya... you are one of the better posters on here and have enjoyed your Euro play-by-plays since you seem to get the maps more quickly than anyone on the eastern seaboard Delta, msuwx & Foothills are all good friends and have knowledgeable input, but I'm not telling you anything you don't know Back on topic: let's hope the subtropical jet keeps kicking and the SOI can at least stay negative at times. The more systems we get to roll across the higher the probability we cash. Welcome aboard good to have another met from the se.. Post often i enjoy reading people's thoughts especially red taggers!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 really appreciate the kind words in this thread I have to say that the longer I forecast weather, the more humbling this science becomes, especially when you think you may know more than the next person also, excuse the question, but how do I make my location visible all that other stuff on the side? TIA Go to your profile and type in your location. As a bonus you can click on the link to the southeast member map that Burger has in his signature. Just put in your lat and long and you will appear on our map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Good to have you on here Andy! Now I won't have to post your thoughts...you'll be posting them first hand! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 really appreciate the kind words in this thread I have to say that the longer I forecast weather, the more humbling this science becomes, especially when you think you may know more than the next person also, excuse the question, but how do I make my location visible all that other stuff on the side? TIA Andy go to the top of page under your tag name..click and go to profile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 really appreciate the kind words in this thread I have to say that the longer I forecast weather, the more humbling this science becomes, especially when you think you may know more than the next person also, excuse the question, but how do I make my location visible all that other stuff on the side? TIA I'd move again first. No sense embarrassing yourself. *** ***I don't do kind words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 before I get banned or told to take this to the banter thread... Strong, I really appreciate the Fox promotion to chief.. so where do I send the check? your addr sir? Franklin is a good friend... and Burger, nothing but love for ya... you are one of the better posters on here and have enjoyed your Euro play-by-plays since you seem to get the maps more quickly than anyone on the eastern seaboard Delta, msuwx & Foothills are all good friends and have knowledgeable input, but I'm not telling you anything you don't know Back on topic: let's hope the subtropical jet keeps kicking and the SOI can at least stay negative at times. The more systems we get to roll across the higher the probability we cash. Dude - What? I cannot believe my eyes. And ColdRainStr8cashhomey? Bonus round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Hey welcome Andy, good to see you on here. I check out Fox 21 blog a lot during the winter to get your expert analysis. Hopefully we will have more to discuss on these blogs this winter. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 00z continues a beautiful look for the New Yearish storm...oh lawdy we need this one to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Our 1/03 storm is still there on the gfs, good consistency showing this storm run by run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 First off...wanna welcome Andy to our forums. Second, even though the 12/30 event disappeared on this run, the cold definitely didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Leave it to the GFS, it sniffs out a pattern change and then just before the pattern change it flips back. That 384 panel is just ...good thing it's off in la la land. Maybe the GFS is now doing the opposite since the cold is coming, it's going to keep promising torches only for them to never come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 00z continues a beautiful look for the New Yearish storm...oh lawdy we need this one to verify. Perfect timing right when we all have to go back to school/work e.t.c. Hopefully we will be here next Saturday night seeing this thing showing up still! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I really like the looks of the 1/03 storm. no doubt the gfs will waffle and probably lose the storm a time or four but with how consistent it has been in showing a southern slider/miller a in that time frame it is hard not to get a little excited about the possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColdRainsStr8cashhomey Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Solid look on the 0z Euro with a canadian shortwave (at 144) diving into the base of the system coming in from California on the 29th and 30th (hr 168)... this reinforces the cold over the Ohio Valley and Midwest as a ridge...? (yep, a ridge) builds out west and even pokes up into British Columbia. I had forgotten what a ridge out west looks like. It's glorious. Meanwhile, the next subtropical piece tucks underneath that ridge as a possible southern slider. There may be some good looks on forecast models in the coming days with the Jan. 2nd-3rd time frame in mind if we can keep that sub-tropical energy tucking underneath the ridge. If nothing else, January starts off much colder than the insect-infested start of January 2012 in the SE. edit: hr216 (valid 7pm on the 31st) looks very cold for all of SE as a vortex pumps a -NAO signature and a huge ridge builds into western Canada tapping Alaskan cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Solid look on the 0z Euro with a canadian shortwave (at 144) diving into the base of the system coming in from California on the 29th and 30th (hr 168)... this reinforces the cold over the Ohio Valley and Midwest as a ridge...? (yep, a ridge) builds out west and even pokes up into British Columbia. I had forgotten what a ridge out west looks like. It's glorious. Meanwhile, the next subtropical piece tucks underneath that ridge as a possible southern slider. There may be some good looks on forecast models in the coming days with the Jan. 2nd-3rd time frame in mind if we can keep that sub-tropical energy tucking underneath the ridge. If nothing else, January starts off much colder than the insect-infested start of January 2012 in the SE. edit: hr216 (valid 7pm on the 31st) looks disgustingly cold as a vortex pumps a -NAO signature and a huge ridge builds into western Canada tapping Alaskan cold damn cold look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 euro sticks with its guns in regards to the big cold on new years. and the gfs is showing a s/w around the 1/02 1/03 timeframe. this should be one of our best true chances at a se winter storm in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The storm for Christmas has always been on the edge of being a let down and should have always been looked at as simply a bonus. For once cold air with a good setup is modeled something this one did not have going for it. Obviously it's so far away anything can happen but it's a great sign that in continues to show up. If it rains, we win!! Can't ever forget that rain has been hard to find for years. Some places anyway, lol It it keeps raining consistently, then gets cold, the two can meet, and make sleet/snow babies, lol. Otherwise it's just a cold drought. Pleasant, but less memorable. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 really appreciate the kind words in this thread I have to say that the longer I forecast weather, the more humbling this science becomes, especially when you think you may know more than the next person also, excuse the question, but how do I make my location visible all that other stuff on the side? TIA Yes, welcome! Cool to have more mets in the SE forum, we've got some of the best!!! Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Folks ... I would like to welcome chief met of fox 21 Carolina in Spartanburg - greenville Andy Wood to AMWX!!!! Show this great dude some love here! Look forward to hearing your thoughts here bro!!! +1.....With out a doubt the best TV Met in the Asheville area! Glad to have you aboard Andy. Please post your thoughts as often as you can. With everything you have on your plate you must have figured out how to squeeze 26 hrs out of each day. BTW.....does Kendra know yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well the 06z GFS had 9/12 members with a gulf low around day 10-11, which is good news. Now for the bad news, the latest run of the CFS backed off on the cold Jan, haven't seen the weekly forecast though, maybe it's just the last half turns warmer and the first 2 weeks are still cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Well the 06z GFS had 9/12 members with a gulf low around day 10-11, which is good news. Now for the bad news, the latest run of the CFS backed off on the cold Jan, haven't seen the weekly forecast though, maybe it's just the last half turns warmer and the first 2 weeks are still cold. Have a feeling we are going to have a 2-3 week window ending in mid-Jan for normal to below temps. Otherwise, the CPC teleconnectors looked less than impressive, ensembles. NAO goes positive, as does the PNA, AO appears to attempt to go positive. This winter, in my opinion, will be a top 20 warm one here at KTRI. Looks to me like this is almost a relaxing of a warm - PNA pattern as compared to a cold pattern establishing itself. When we look back at this, it might become clear that the ENSO has driven the winter pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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