hm8 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 ahaha...18z GFS OTS. Of course it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 In the trash it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Christmas to remember. But yeah, pattern looks gradient/Nina like as we head past the 10th or so of the month. Currently thinking, northern and western half of the region could do nicely. Of course, if everything goes as planned. I would just like to see some good snowfall in the Midwest this month, anywhere really, even if I'm on the wrong side of it. Yeah I'm punching something if that happens. Though I guess it's a good thing that hardly any models have had a good LAF/OKK hit yet. I knew that you'd change your tune if we have 'close but no cigar' storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I knew that you'd change your tune if we have 'close but no cigar' storm. Well I'm still happy that somebody in the region got a good one. But ultimately, yes, I want some for MBY too. Close misses may not help though, with frustrations. Ah well, gonna have to wait awhile I guess.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm messin' with ya. It would stink to have this storm just miss to the northwest and have next week's just miss to the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Well I'm still happy that somebody in the region got a good one. But ultimately, yes, I want some for MBY too. Close misses may not help though, with frustrations. Ah well, gonna have to wait awhile I guess.. See what happens. All are pretty much still in the game Dec 26-27. DT called a big winter storm in this timeframe like a month ago (though he has changed his tune from a m.a. snowstorm to an apps runner), and models have had everything from cutting to MSP to suppressed and OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm messin' with ya. It would stink to have this storm just miss to the northwest and have next week's just miss to the southeast. Yes, that would suck. Have to think though that one of these storms hits us at some point. Pattern is delivering lately, just have to nudge it south and east some more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 See what happens. All are pretty much still in the game Dec 26-27. DT called a big winter storm in this timeframe like a month ago (though he has changed his tune from a m.a. snowstorm to an apps runner), and models have had everything from cutting to MSP to suppressed and OTS. I keep seeing the same thing when I load WXRisk web page: discussion from December 12th. Are you seeing something else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I keep seeing the same thing when I load WXRisk web page: discussion from December 12th. Are you seeing something else? Like wxrisk on facebook...he updates that all the time, videos and all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Latest DT storm update on youtube. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 For what it is worth, the 12z ECMWF and 12z GFS today have nearly the same thing at 500mb at 144 hours. Now, on the other hand, the run-run consistency of the GFS (and to some degree the ECMWF) has been crap recently with this shortwave. I first posted about this shortwave a few days back on the Central/Western forum.... both models have changed considerably since that post. (See Central/Western Winter Medium/Long Range Discussion, post #56) check this out. This is a fairly good start at thinking of an Ohio Valley snowstorm, considering this setup should lead to the 500mb energy tracking from the south to southern Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I think the GFS is gonna deliver for someone in the region...if just Ohio, maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I think the GFS is gonna deliver for someone in the region...if just Ohio, maybe Moves up into TN and KY, then transfers due east. Congrats OH/South IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 GFS should make most of Indiana really happy happy happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Is the NCEP site really slow for anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I think the GFS is gonna deliver for someone in the region...if just Ohio, maybe Get's close to a phase, but just misses it. Improvement from the 18z run, similar to the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Is the NCEP site really slow for anyone else? Is it ever not slow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I just love how the GFS cuts off the precip rapidly before it gets here. If there's anything positive with this run the 500 MB pattern took a step towards the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 The euro is phasing in the northern stream..... the gfs is completely unphased. either way they both want to give Ohio a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Is it ever not slow? I haven't used it in a long time. I thought it was faster at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I believe Rex Block's create a more easterly and progressive flow, leading me to believe that this should probably be more of an App Runner or more easterly when it comes together. Would be shocked if this system follows the exact suit as the one that is currently rolling through the Great Lakes region in going up through Lake Michigan. We'll see though, but either way this looks like another big one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Gem OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Gem OTS but shows a decent hit for N.IN,N.OH and Extreme SEMI on x-mas 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 but shows a decent hit for N.IN,N.OH and Extreme SEMI on x-mas 3-6" Might need to narrow the dates for this thread... Think this one should stay for the second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Might need to narrow the dates for this thread... Think this one should stay for the second wave. Agree.. this one may be the one to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 EURO @ 120 has a Low in S AR/N MS @144 Low in S OH along OH river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 EURO @ 120 has a Low in S AR/N MS Miller B/Hybrid storm.... looks good for Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Euro isn't anything special and still transfers to the coast...but still solid for IN/OH/SEMI. 6-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Euro isn't anything special and still transfers to the coast...but still solid for IN/OH/SEMI. 6-10". I'm guessing you have Euro text data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 I'm guessing you have Euro text data? Naw, QPF maps. 6-10" was just a super quick glance at the map and a 10:1 conversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.